CE Week #9: “N.H., Iowa Keep the Candidates’ Attention”

Wallets Open Wide Despite Changes in Primary Calendar
By Matthew Mosk
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, October 31, 2007; A06

PLYMOUTH, N.H. — Just down the block from Anderson’s Bakery and across from the local movie house with a flickering neon sign, a group of young men with laptops moved into a tan Cape Cod and announced their presence with a billboard out front: “Hillary.”

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s storefront office in this New England hamlet (population 5,892) is one of 16 the New York Democrat has set up with paid staff around the state that is expected to hold the nation’s first presidential primary. Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), perhaps her strongest challenger for the Democratic nomination, has plans to open his own office in Plymouth, which will give him a base of operations in 15 locations. Between them, the two campaigns have more than 140 paid field staffers across the state.

The extensive spending here, as described by local officials and laid out in campaign finance reports, provides a look at how money is changing the way presidential hopefuls are approaching the pivotal early contests.

The decision by most of the leading presidential candidates to opt out of the public financing system that would have restricted their primary spending in New Hampshire to less than $800,000 has resulted in armies of paid workers trying to squeeze votes out of every corner of the state.

“The amount of money being spent in the early states are of an order of magnitude that we’ve never seen before,” said Alan Solomont, who oversees northeastern fundraising for the Obama campaign.

The huge spending here has helped debunk the notion that an increasingly front-loaded primary calendar would diminish the influence of New Hampshire and Iowa. Democratic candidates have spent $2.4 million in New Hampshire so far this year on rent and staff alone. That is more than double the $1.1 million they had spent in the state at this point in 2003. The numbers are even more pronounced in Iowa, where Democrats have spent $4.6 million so far this year — almost four times the $1.2 million they expended four years ago. Republicans have spent more than $4 million on rent and staff in New Hampshire and Iowa so far this year.

The glut in spending has come before most of the candidates have started to invest substantial amounts in the most costly aspect of a campaign — television advertising.

To date, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney (R) has dominated the airwaves, spending $6 million to run more than 10,000 television ads in New Hampshire and Iowa. That comes in addition to the more than $500,000 Romney paid to organizers laying the groundwork for an August straw poll in Ames, Iowa, which gave his campaign a boost. Former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani (R) has crafted a strategy that has him devoting considerable amounts of cash to larger states that vote in the days after the first two contests, but he has nonetheless blanketed Iowa with targeted mailers and aired six different radio ads in New Hampshire through last week at a combined cost of more than $450,000.

Tom Rath, a Romney consultant who has worked on every New Hampshire primary since 1964, said the intensity of the spending at this stage is higher than he has ever seen.

“Nobody’s going to run away with it, so there’s been a big, big investment in identifying your voters and being ready to turn those voters out on Election Day,” he said.

For Democrats, the spending has been focused largely on building huge field operations that the candidates hope will allow them to identify persuadable voters, win their support and ensure that they reach the voting booth on Election Day.

Kathy Sullivan, a former state Democratic Party chairman, said that, when she was growing up, campaign jobs were largely put in the hands of volunteers, many of whom were like her mother — stay-at-home moms who had time to get politically engaged. Now, with more moms in the workforce, campaigns have been forced to turn to paid staffers to take on those jobs.

So far this year, Clinton and Obama aides estimate that they each have New Hampshire teams with about 70 paid workers; a spokeswoman for former senator John Edwards (D-N.C.) described his campaign’s New Hampshire operation as having between 60 and 70 salaried employees — about four times as many as he had on the ground four years ago. And they are spread out across the state.

At Clinton’s Plymouth office last week, a field organizer watched over four college-age men seated at desks, tapping away on their laptop computers and calling up potential supporters. Clinton’s investment in such a large operation in the town is a surprise to Carole J. Estes, a first-term state representative. “We’re just so small,” Estes said. “I figured, maybe they were using this as a base to cover the north country.”

But Clinton has the state’s rural northern reaches covered from two other nearby field offices, in Conway (population 8,164) and Berlin (10,331).

A Clinton strategist who has worked on previous New Hampshire presidential campaigns acknowledged that establishing outposts in so many towns represents a shift in tactics here. In past years, campaigns concentrated their operations in such population centers as Manchester, Concord, Nashua and Keene, but in a contest in which fewer than 250,000 voters turned out for the Democratic contest in 2004, turning out new voters may well prove to be decisive. “This year we looked beyond the traditional framework and tried to find emerging Democratic areas,” the strategist said.

Ned Helms, an Obama adviser who is working on his 10th New Hampshire primary, said the field offices have helped transform campaigning in the state. “These aren’t just places to put signs in the windows,” he said. “They are a part of an outreach strategy.”

When Obama volunteers call voters in Berlin, Helms said, they can say, “Hey, I’m over on Elm Street. We’re having a gathering to talk about health care here this weekend. Why don’t you come on by?”

The field workers also spend hours on the phone, with designated call times every night and long lists of possible supporters. Dawn Lemieux, 49, owns the Plymouth print shop next door to Clinton’s field office. She says she gets calls “constantly” from all the candidates. She is a registered independent and remains undecided.

“I’m impressed at how much is going into getting our votes, but I’m not sure how well it’s all working,” Lemieux said. “Most folks in New Hampshire don’t like to be buttonholed.”

Database editor Sarah Cohen, research editor Alice Crites and staff researcher Madonna Lebling contributed to this report.

Published in: on October 31, 2007 at 12:41 pm Comments (2)

CE Week #9: “Ralph Nader Sues Democratic Party”

October 30, 2007

Consumer advocate and 2004 independent presidential candidate Ralph Nader sued the Democratic Party on Tuesday, contending officials conspired to keep him from taking votes away from nominee John Kerry.

Nader’s lawsuit, filed in District of Columbia Superior Court, also named as co-defendants Kerry’s campaign, the Service Employees International Union and several so-called 527 organizations such as America Coming Together, which were created to promote voter turnout on behalf of the Democratic ticket.

 

The lawsuit also alleges that the Democratic National Committee conspired to force Nader off the ballot in several states.

“The Democratic Party is going after anyone who presents a credible challenge to their monopoly over their perceived voters,” Nader said in a statement. “This lawsuit was filed to help advance a free and open electoral process for all candidates and voters. Candidate rights and voter rights nourish each other for more voices, choices, and a more open and competitive democracy.”

Among other things, the lawsuit alleges that the DNC tried to bankrupt Nader’s campaign by suing to keep him off the ballot in 18 states. It also suggests the DNC sent Kerry supporters to crash a Nader petition drive in Portland, Ore., in June 2004, preventing him from collecting enough signatures to get on the ballot.

The lawsuit seeks “compensatory damages, punitive damages and injunctive relief to enjoin the defendants from ongoing and future violations of the law.”

Nader’s attorney, Bruce Afran, argued that the DNC would be terrified of having the case come to trial. He said he hoped the committee would choose to settle the case and apologize.

“This is a case designed to make sure other independent and third party candidates will not be subject to the same kind of conspiracy in the future,” Afran said.

Nader received 463,653 votes in the election, or 0.38% of total votes cast.

DNC spokesman Luis Miranda declined comment on the suit, citing a policy on pending litigation.

CE Week #9: “Rivals home in on Clinton during Democratic debate”

They say vote on Iran helps Bush’s case

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., pass each other during a break in Tuesday’s debate. Associated Press (Associated Press)

Related stories

Elections – Presidential

Anne E. Kornblut and Dan Balz
Washington Post
October 31, 2007

PHILADELPHIA – With just over two months until the first primary contest, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s Democratic rivals aggressively challenged their party’s front-runner here Tuesday night, accusing her of being dishonest and of emboldening President Bush to declare war against Iran.

Former Sen. John Edwards, of North Carolina, lingering in third place in most polls, took the lead in attacking Clinton as Democrats gathered for the fourth of their six official debates. He mocked Clinton for voting to designate Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist group and all but accused her of being corrupt.

Voters, Edwards said, “deserve a president of the United States that they know will tell them the truth, and won’t say one thing one time and something different at a different time.”

Sen. Barack Obama, of Illinois – under pressure to take sharp aim at Clinton – criticized her directly for not releasing her correspondence as first lady. But he kept his cool demeanor, describing her tendency toward secrecy as simply “a problem.”

Under fire, Clinton defended her positions on Social Security and Iran, and denied assertions – made most forcefully during the debate by Edwards – that she was mirroring the Republican Party in her actions and rhetoric.

“Well, I don’t think the Republicans got the message that I’m voting and sounding like them,” Clinton said. “If you watched their debate last week, I seemed to be the topic of great conversation and consternation. And that’s for a reason: because I have stood against George Bush and his failed policies.”

The most pointed back-and-forth came over Iran. Clinton supported a Senate resolution last month that urged the administration to label the Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist organization. The measure was approved by a vote of 76-22, but all of Clinton’s rivals opposed it Tuesday night as the Bush administration enabling a rush to war with Iran.

Clinton defended the vote, saying that early this year she had argued that Bush has no authority to use military force to prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Her opponents, however, sharply challenged her interpretation of the measure. Edwards said the resolution read as if it were “written literally by the neocons.”

 

Sen. Christopher Dodd of Connecticut, recalling the 2002 congressional resolution on Iraq, said that the vote on the Iran resolution could come back to haunt those who supported it.

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson called the resolution “saber rattling” by the Senate that would embolden the administration.

Rep. Dennis Kucinich, of Ohio, accused his fellow Democrats of being “enablers” for not ruling out war against Iran. He said the Democratic support for labeling the Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist group amounted to “licensing President Bush.”

Richardson defended Clinton briefly, a move that seemed destined to fuel speculation that he is interested in being chosen as a vice presidential running mate. He said the debate had gotten “pretty close to personal attacks that we don’t need.”

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CE Week #9: “Libertarians Rising”

By Michael Kinsley

To oversimplify: Democrats are for Big Government; Republicans are against it.

To oversimplify somewhat less, Democrats aren’t always for Big Government, and Republicans aren’t always against it. Democrats treasure civil liberties, whereas Republicans are more tolerant of government censorship to protect children from pornography, or of wiretapping to catch a criminal, or of torture in the war against terrorism. War in general and Iraq in particular–certainly Big Government exercises–are projects Republicans tend to be more enthusiastic about. Likewise the criminal process: Republicans tend to want to make more things illegal and to send more people to jail for longer. Republicans also consider themselves more concerned about the moral tone of the country, and they are more disposed toward using the government in trying to improve it. In particular, Republicans think religion needs more help from society, through the government, while Democrats are touchier about the separation of church and state.

Many people feel that neither party offers a coherent set of principles that they can agree with. For them, the choice is whether you believe in Big Government or you don’t. And if you don’t, you call yourself a libertarian. Libertarians are against government in all its manifestations. Domestically, they are against social-welfare programs. They favor self-reliance (as they see it) over Big Government spending. Internationally, they are isolationists. Like George Washington, they loathe “foreign entanglements,” and they think the rest of the world can go to hell without America’s help. They don’t care–or at least they don’t think the government should care–about what people are reading, thinking, drinking, smoking or doing in bed. And what is the opposite of libertarianism? Libertarians would say fascism. But in the American political context, it is something infinitely milder that calls itself communitarianism. The term is not as familiar, and communitarians are far less organized as a movement than libertarians, ironically enough. But in general communitarians emphasize society rather than the individual and believe that group responsibilities (to family, community, nation, the globe) should trump individual rights.

The relationship of these two ways of thinking to the two established parties is peculiar. Republicans are far more likely to identify themselves as libertarians and to vilify the government in the abstract. And yet Republicans have a clearer vision of what constitutes a good society and a well-run planet and are quicker to try to impose this vision on the rest of us. Now that the Republican Party is in trouble, critics are advising it to free itself of the religious right on issues like abortion and gay rights. That is, the party should become less communitarian and more libertarian. With Democrats, it’s the other way around.

Very few Democrats self-identify as libertarians, but they are in fact much more likely to have a live-and-let-live attitude toward the lesbian couple next door or the Islamofascist dictator halfway around the world. And every time the Democrats lose an election, critics scold that they must put less emphasis on the sterile rights of individuals and more emphasis on responsibilities to society. That is, they should become less libertarian and more communitarian. Usually this boils down to advocating mandatory so-called voluntary national service by people younger than whoever is doing the advocating.

Libertarians and communitarians (to continue this unjustified generalizing) are different character types. Communitarians tend to be bossy, boring and self-important, if they’re not being oversweetened and touchy-feely. Libertarians, by contrast, are not the selfish monsters you might expect. They are earnest and impractical–eager to corner you with their plan for using old refrigerators to reverse global warming or solving the traffic mess by privatizing stoplights. And if you disagree, they’re fine with that. It’s a free country.

The chance of the two political parties realigning so conveniently is slim. But the party that does well in the future will be the one that makes the better guess about where to place its bets. My money’s on the libertarians. People were shocked a couple of weeks ago when Ron Paul–one of those mysterious Republicans who seem to be running for President because everyone needs a hobby–raised $5 million from July through September, mostly on the Internet. Paul is a libertarian. In fact, he was the Libertarian Party presidential candidate in 1988. The computer revolution has bred a generation of smart loners, many of them rich and some of them complacently Darwinian, convinced that they don’t need society–nor should anyone else. They are going to be an increasingly powerful force in politics.

Published in: on October 30, 2007 at 7:01 pm Comments (6)

CE Week #9: “McCain Is Back”

By Joe Klein

There is only one American politician who sounds like this: “With my usual suicidal, masochistic tendencies, I spoke at the Detroit Economic Club last week and supported increased fuel-efficiency standards.” Yes, yes, it’s John McCain, rising from the crypt, but not as a zombie. The foolishly conventional Republican McCain of last year was the zombie. No, this is the funny, free-range McCain reincarnated, the independent who dares speak to an environmental forum in New Hampshire, touting his green credentials, actually supporting a return to the Kyoto global-warming negotiations, which is anathema to most Republicans. That guy–the interesting one–is back.

I am not suggesting that John McCain is a plausible front runner for the Republican nomination. Republicans tend not to like people like McCain: too wild, too willing to work with Senators like Ted Kennedy (gasp!) and Russ Feingold (gulp!) on legislation. Then again, what are the options? There is no plausible front runner. Each of the Republicans is flawed and flailing. The despair and hilarity as the various candidates try to squeeze into the conservative base’s straitjacket, like the stepsisters struggling to fit into Cinderella’s slipper, have been the gaudiest political show of 2007.

To review the bidding on the leading candidates: Rudy Giuliani, the national front runner in the polls, supports abortion rights, supported gun control, supported Democrat Mario Cuomo for Governor, moved in with a gay couple when his second marriage fell apart–and, pause for breath, well, isn’t that enough? Mitt Romney, the front runner in Iowa and New Hampshire, was a liberal when he ran for the Senate from Massachusetts and a moderate when he ran for Governor. He has disavowed his former positions on abortion, gay marriage–and now seems even to disavow the groundbreaking state health-care plan he passed. Asked in a recent debate if he’d seek congressional authorization to take out Iran’s nuclear facilities, he responded, “Well, you sit down with your attorneys …” For a Republican, that’s something like a Democrat saying, “Well, maybe we should overturn Roe v. Wade and turn abortion over to the states.” Also, he is a Mormon, which many religious conservatives consider a cult. Fred Thompson seems to be performing a quarter-hearted presidential-campaign drop-by, living proof that not all actors can play charming. He’s another divorcé, and was once, among other things, a lobbyist for the National Family Planning and Reproductive Health Association.

Given the embarrassing contortions being performed by the three leading candidates, John McCain almost seems comfortable in his apostasy. His attempt to run bland in 2008, an echo of the 2000 edition of George W. Bush, cratered ignominiously. It was, in part, attributable to McCain’s executive ineptitude; when it came to spending, his consultants were as prudent as the pork-peddling legislators he likes to deride. But there was a substantive reason for his failure: his support for a comprehensive immigration bill–the one he co-sponsored with Ted Kennedy–that would provide a path to citizenship for the estimated 12 million immigrants here illegally. “I got the message,” he told a town meeting in Hopkinton, N.H. “Americans want the border secure. I will secure it.” Which seemed to satisfy most of the audience.

A day earlier, McCain had been confronted by a woman who upbraided him for not being a “real” Republican because of his dealings with Kennedy and Feingold. “I reminded her about Ronald Reagan standing in the Rose Garden with Tip O’Neill, a liberal Democrat, pledging to fix Social Security,” McCain told me later, with some satisfaction. “Even a real Republican needs to work with Democrats if you’re going to tackle things like Social Security.” McCain remains the rare Republican candidate who has attempted bipartisanship in Washington. But that doesn’t mean he isn’t stone conservative on most things. He has always been pro-life; he is relentlessly antitax. His brimstone bellicosity about the war in Iraq is unmatched by any of his fellow candidates and unwarranted by reality. McCain’s use of words like victory and surrender indicates a stubborn unwillingness to acknowledge the complexities of the Mesopotamian quagmire.

He is not a likely nominee because many Republicans, of all stripes, tend to believe he “ran against the party” in 2000, as a prominent Republican told me. Indeed, McCain won the New Hampshire and Michigan contests with the help of Democrats and Independents who crossed over to support him. Those votes won’t be so available this time. But it is wonderful to have McCain, the old suicidal, masochistic McCain, back roiling the waters.

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CE Week #9: “Pair looking to the future”

David S. Broder
Washington Post
October 30, 2007

If I had the power to summon all 16 of the people running for president to one place, I would want them in a Senate hearing room for a session that is taking place Wednesday morning.

The hearing has been arranged by Kent Conrad of North Dakota, Democratic chairman of the Budget Committee, and Judd Gregg of New Hampshire, the Republican ranking member.

They have invited David Walker, the comptroller general of the United States and the head of the Government Accountability Office, an arm of Congress; William Novelli, the head of AARP, the senior citizens lobby; Rep. Steny Hoyer of Maryland, the House majority leader; and Leon Panetta, the former White House chief of staff, budget director and former congressman.

 

What brings all these worthies together is an effort to revive the idea of a bipartisan effort to head off the bankrupting of America by runaway entitlement programs.

They and others, including Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, clearly see that unless ways are found to reform the financing and benefits of Social Security and Medicare, the demands imposed by the retirement of millions of baby boomers will consume the federal budget and blight the prospects of the next generations.

Because neither party can solve this problem by itself, Conrad and Gregg have proposed the creation of a bipartisan task force, whose recommendations to the president and Congress chosen next November would be guaranteed quick consideration.

The idea was greeted favorably by leaders of both parties in the Senate, and Paulson found support for it in the White House. But it has encountered criticism from the opposing flanks. Vice President Cheney objected publicly to any consideration of tax increases, and Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw cold water on the idea. Apparently, she does not trust the administration to deal fairly or she may want the Social Security issue saved for Democrats in the coming campaign.

So Conrad and Gregg backed off and decided to begin again – making the case, through expert testimony, that a policy of inaction, looking the other way, is dangerous to the country’s fiscal health.

As Gregg has noted, the first of the baby boomers filed for Social Security benefits this year – and millions more will soon follow. By most official estimates, Medicare and Social Security by 2034 will eat up 20 percent of the gross domestic product – equivalent to the entire federal budget of today.

To Gregg, that flashes a clear warning that “the next president, if he or she serves eight years, will find themselves in very dangerous waters. There is no way to support this system as it is constituted.”

Conrad, who says he inherited a fear of debt from his Depression-era ancestors in North Dakota, said he laments that the government has added $500 billion to the national debt this year, just as those boomers are starting to retire. “You see the dollar going down, and interest rates going up,” he said. “And there’s more to come.”

Neither man expects a quick fix – but both insist that delay is the most costly and wasteful strategy. The task force idea that they developed during a congressional trip to South America this past winter is an effort to assure all parties a voice – and a fair process.

It would have 16 members, equally balanced between Republicans and Democrats. Fourteen would be members of Congress, chosen by the leadership and presumably representing the major economic policy committees. Two would be from the administration, with one of them, the secretary of treasury, serving as chairman.

It would take 12 of the 16 votes to submit a report – guaranteeing each party a voice in the outcome. And the report would be translated into bill form and given a fast track to a final vote in both the House and Senate, with a requirement of 60 percent support for it to go to the president – again, protection for the minority.

Despite all these safeguards, neither Cheney nor Pelosi is satisfied, and without their backing, its prospects seem dim. But the issue will haunt the next president – unless at least the first steps to deal with it are taken now.

That is why those candidates ought to be at this hearing.

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UNIT III Discussion Thread – Chapter #11 “Interest Groups”

Post any questions or answers to posted questions pertaining to Chapter #11 “Interest Groups” in this thread.

CE Week #9: “Stalin, Mao And … Ahmadinejad?”

 

Conservatives have become surprisingly charitable about two of history’s greatest mass murderers.

 

By Fareed Zakaria

NEWSWEEK

Updated: 1:57 PM ET Oct 20, 2007

At a meeting with reporters last week, President Bush said that “if you’re interested in avoiding World War III, it seems like you ought to be interested in preventing [Iran] from having the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear weapon.” These were not the barbs of some neoconservative crank or sidelined politician looking for publicity. This was the president of the United States, invoking the specter of World War III if Iran gained even the knowledge needed to make a nuclear weapon.

The American discussion about Iran has lost all connection to reality. Norman Podhoretz, the neoconservative ideologist whom Bush has consulted on this topic, has written that Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is “like Hitler … a revolutionary whose objective is to overturn the going international system and to replace it in the fullness of time with a new order dominated by Iran and ruled by the religio-political culture of Islamofascism.” For this staggering proposition Podhoretz provides not a scintilla of evidence.

Here is the reality. Iran has an economy the size of Finland’s and an annual defense budget of around $4.8 billion. It has not invaded a country since the late 18th century. The United States has a GDP that is 68 times larger and defense expenditures that are 110 times greater. Israel and every Arab country (except Syria and Iraq) are quietly or actively allied against Iran. And yet we are to believe that Tehran is about to overturn the international system and replace it with an Islamo-fascist order? What planet are we on?

When the relatively moderate Mohammed Khatami was elected president in Iran, American conservatives pointed out that he was just a figurehead. Real power, they said (correctly), especially control of the military and police, was wielded by the unelected “Supreme Leader,” Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Now that Ahmadinejad is president, they claim his finger is on the button. (Oh wait, Iran doesn’t have a nuclear button yet and won’t for at least three to eight years, according to the CIA, by which point Ahmadinejad may not be president anymore. But these are just facts.)

In a speech last week, Rudy Giuliani said that while the Soviet Union and China could be deterred during the cold war, Iran can’t be. The Soviet and Chinese regimes had a “residual rationality,” he explained. Hmm. Stalin and Mao—who casually ordered the deaths of millions of their own people, fomented insurgencies and revolutions, and starved whole regions that opposed them—were rational folk. But not Ahmadinejad, who has done what that compares? One of the bizarre twists of the current Iran hysteria is that conservatives have become surprisingly charitable about two of history’s greatest mass murderers.

If I had to choose whom to describe as a madman, North Korea’s Kim Jong Il or Ahmadinejad, I do not think there is really any contest. A decade ago Kim Jong Il allowed a famine to kill 2 million of his own people, forcing the others to survive by eating grass, while he imported gallons of expensive French wine. He has sold nuclear technology to other rogue states and threatened his neighbors with test-firings of rockets and missiles. Yet the United States will be participating in international relief efforts to Pyongyang worth billions of dollars.

We’re on a path to irreversible confrontation with a country we know almost nothing about. The United States government has had no diplomats in Iran for almost 30 years. American officials have barely met with any senior Iranian politicians or officials. We have no contact with the country’s vibrant civil society. Iran is a black hole to us—just as Iraq had become in 2003.

The one time we seriously negotiated with Tehran was in the closing days of the war in Afghanistan, in order to create a new political order in the country. Bush’s representative to the Bonn conference, James Dobbins, says that “the Iranians were very professional, straightforward, reliable and helpful. They were also critical to our success. They persuaded the Northern Alliance to make the final concessions that we asked for.” Dobbins says the Iranians made overtures to have better relations with the United States through him and others in 2001 and later, but got no reply. Even after the Axis of Evil speech, he recalls, they offered to cooperate in Afghanistan. Dobbins took the proposal to a principals meeting in Washington only to have it met with dead silence. The then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, he says, “looked down and rustled his papers.” No reply was ever sent back to the Iranians. Why bother? They’re mad.

Last year, the Princeton scholar, Bernard Lewis, a close adviser to Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney, wrote an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal predicting that on Aug. 22, 2006, President Ahmadinejad was going to end the world. The date, he explained, “is the night when many Muslims commemorate the night flight of the Prophet Muhammad on the winged horse Buraq, first to ‘the farthest mosque,’ usually identified with Jerusalem, and then to heaven and back. This might well be deemed an appropriate date for the apocalyptic ending of Israel and if necessary of the world” (my emphasis). This would all be funny if it weren’t so dangerous.

URL: http://www.newsweek.com/id/57346

CE Week #9: “It’s Independents’ Day”

 

In New Hampshire even Ron Paul could have a shot.

 

By Howard Fineman

NEWSWEEK

Updated: 2:07 PM ET Oct 20, 2007

Whatever Hollywood says a presidential candidate is supposed to look like, Ron Paul isn’t it. At 72, wearing mall-walking shoes and an inquisitive smile, he looks like a retired obstetrician, which he is. His platform is hardly from central casting, either. He not only wants U.S. troops home from Iraq, he wants them home from the rest of the planet. He wants to abolish an alphabet of federal agencies and the income tax, dismantle the Patriot Act, reconnect the dollar to the price of gold, decriminalize prostitution and call an end to the drug war. Seated in the House Speaker’s Lobby, he speaks matter-of-factly, like a doctor describing an easy delivery. “This is my freedom message,” says the Texas representative. “People have to be left alone.”

Much of the world dismisses Paul as a libertarian crank. But mainstream candidates from Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama to Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney have good reason to watch him. That reason’s called the New Hampshire primary. Always unpredictable—there’s not even a date set for it yet—the primary is more mysterious now because a record 44 percent of voters have registered “undeclared.” Suspicious of established politics, with an antiwar sentiment stretching back to Vietnam, they decide at the last minute. Since they can vote in either party’s race, their migrations choose the outcome in both. In 2000, two thirds asked for GOP ballots, boosting John McCain and dooming Bill Bradley, who was going after the same voters.

This time, Obama, Giuliani and Mc Cain are the big names fishing in the sea of independents. But conditions have changed: it’s expected that two thirds of those voters will take part in the Democratic contest, which could be Obama’s main, or last, chance. His yearning to change a “broken political system” is a good hook, but only if he can convince voters he has the guts and skill to do it. He has work to do: a recent Marist College poll shows Clinton leading him among independents 38 to 29 percent. A hot Democratic race would be bad for McCain and Giuliani, whose appeal rests in part on their perceived distance from GOP orthodoxy. The arithmetic of the undeclared is one reason Romney is sprinting to the right and why Mike Huckabee is getting a look in the state.

As George W. Bush’s Republican coalition falls apart, its rougher edges become more visible and Paul’s small-government, isolationist message gets heard. Many New Hampshirites see the state’s Live Free or Die motto as an article of faith, and they blame mushrooming federal deficits as much on the GOP as on the Democrats. “Independents are so mad about spending they can’t see straight,” says Jennifer Donahue of Saint Anselm College in Manchester. These voters loathe the war in Iraq, too. “They are as antiwar as anyone here, maybe more so,” she says.

For now, Paul is a blip on New Hampshire’s radar; in a recent poll, he stood at 5 percent among independents. But that could change. He’s banked more than $5 million, recently raised more in the state than most other candidates, has a huge Web presence and just bought $1.1 million in New Hampshire TV ads. His staff is inexperienced, but smart. Andy Smith, a pollster at University of New Hampshire, says Paul could get 10 to 20 percent of the vote in the GOP race. That would be a dramatic story, but maybe not one most Republicans would want to read.

URL: http://www.newsweek.com/id/57350

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CE Week #9: “Papers? I Don’t See Any Papers.”

 

He says he’s ‘pro-disclosure,’ but Bill has kept Hillary’s White House files under wraps.

 

By Michael Isikoff

NEWSWEEK

Updated: 4:08 PM ET Oct 20, 2007

When author Sally Bedell Smith was researching her new book about Bill and Hillary Clinton’s White House years, she flew to Little Rock to visit the one place she thought could be an invaluable resource: the new William J. Clinton Presidential Library. Smith was hoping to inspect records that could shed light on what role the First Lady played in her husband’s administration. But Smith quickly discovered the frustrations of dealing with a library critics call “Little Rock’s Fort Knox.”

An archivist explained to Smith that the release of materials was tightly controlled by the former president’s longtime confidant Bruce Lindsey. Could she look at memos detailing the advice Hillary gave Bill during debates over welfare reform? Smith asked. No, the archivist said, those memos were “closed” to the public because they dealt with “policy” matters. What about any records that show what advice Bill gave his wife about her 2000 U.S. Senate campaign? Those, too, were closed, the archivist said, because they dealt with “political” matters. “He essentially told me I had no chance of getting anything,” says Smith, whose book, “For Love of Politics: Bill and Hillary Clinton, the White House Years,” hits the bookstores this week.

The response Smith got isn’t unusual. Nearly three years after the Clinton Library opened—and more than 21 months after its trove of records became subject to the Freedom of Information Act—barely one half of 1 percent of the 78 million pages of documents and 20 million e-mail messages at the federally funded facility are public, according to the National Archives. The lack of access is emerging as an issue in Hillary’s presidential campaign: she cites her years of experience as First Lady as one of her prime qualifications to be president. Like other Democratic candidates, she has decried the “stunning record of secrecy” of the Bush administration; her campaign Web site vows to bring a “return to transparency” to government. But Clinton’s appointment calendar as First Lady, her notes at strategy meetings, what advice she gave her husband and his advisers, what policy memos she wrote, even some key papers from her health-care task force—all of this, and much more documenting her years as First Lady, remains locked away, most likely through the entire campaign season. With nearly 300 FOIA requests pending for Clinton documents, and only six archivists at the library to process them, Archives spokeswoman Susan Cooper says it is “really hard to predict” if any of this material will be released before the election.

Bill Clinton has tried to cast blame for the backlog on the Bush White House. “Look, I’m pro-disclosure,” Clinton said in a testy exchange with reporters during a recent press conference. “I want to open my presidential records more rapidly than the law requires and the current administration has slowed down the opening of my own records.” But White House spokesman Scott Stanzel tells NEWSWEEK the Bush White House has not blocked the release of any Clinton-era records, nor is it reviewing any. (Under the 1978 Presidential Records Act, the former president and the current president get to review White House records before they are disclosed. Either one can veto a release.) Ben Yarrow, a spokesman for Bill Clinton, says the former president was referring “in general” to a controversial 2001 Bush executive order—recently overturned, in part, by a federal judge—that authorized more extensive layers of review from both current and former presidents before papers are released. (Hillary’s campaign didn’t respond to requests for comment.)

But documents NEWSWEEK obtained under a FOIA request (made to the Archives in Washington, not the Clinton library) suggest that, while publicly saying he wants to ease restrictions on his records, Clinton has given the Archives private instructions to tightly control the disclosure of chunks of his archive. Among the document categories Clinton asked the Archives to “consider for withholding” in a November 2002 letter: “confidential communications” involving foreign-policy issues, “sensitive policy, personal or political” matters and “legal issues and advice” including all matters involving investigations by Congress, the Justice Department and independent counsels (a category that would cover, among other matters, Whitewater, Monica Lewinsky and the pardons of Marc Rich and others). Another restriction: “communications directly between the President and First Lady, and their families, unless routine in nature.”

Archives officials say Clinton is within his legal rights. But other Archives records NEWSWEEK reviewed show Clinton’s directives, while similar, also go beyond restrictions placed by predecessors Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, neither of whom put any controls over the papers of their wives. This undoubtedly reflects the larger policy role Hillary played in her husband’s administration. Still, some analysts are surprised at the broad range of documents Clinton asked the Archives to withhold. “It does sound pretty expansive. You start to wonder what’s not included,” says Steven Aftergood, director of the Federation of American Scientists’ Project on Government Secrecy. Tom Fitton, president of Judicial Watch, a conservative watchdog group suing the Clinton library for failing to respond to its FOIA requests, is struck by the former president’s restriction on records relating to his and his wife’s families. That, he says, blocks disclosure of records relating to Roger Clinton, the former president’s half brother, and Hillary Clinton’s two brothers, Tony and Hugh Rodham, both of whom were involved in controversial business deals and efforts to secure last-minute pardons later investigated by Congress. But John Carlin, a former Archives chief (and a Clinton appointee) who got the 2002 letter from Clinton, didn’t blame the former president. “Given all that they went through in office,” he says, the restrictions Clinton placed were “not surprising.” Who knows, he asked, how the papers might be used by political foes? That’s a question the Clintons don’t want answered—at least not before next November.

URL: http://www.newsweek.com/id/57351

Published in: on at 10:14 am Comments (1)

CE Week #9: “Solving ‘Fission Impossible’”

 

Oct 29, 2007 Issue

We all know that $30-a-barrel isn’t coming back. Just as we know that simply turning off a few lights won’t halt global warming. Yet the search for a low-emission, non-fossil-fuel source of energy has been a bit like “American Idol”: every now and then, another fresh-faced alternative-energy rock star wanna-be is eliminated. Wind and solar are nice and clean—but the sun doesn’t work 24/7 and the wind is fickle. Ethanol offers politicians the irresistible combination of grow-your-own energy independence and the potential to make primary voters in Iowa rich. But because it’s corrosive and soluble in water, it’s hard to transport ethanol over long distances through pipelines. Besides, to raise a crop sufficient to meet our gasoline thirst, we’d have to plant the entire continental United States with maize, leaving only a small corner of Delaware for bedrooms and a den.

As contestants are eliminated, it’s worth looking at the geezer in the bunch: nuclear power. Nearly 50 years after the Shipping port Atomic Power Station in Pennsylvania became the first commercial power plant to hit critical mass, the New Jersey-based utility NRG last month filed papers seeking permission to build a nuclear power plant in Texas. This represents the first such new application since 1979, nuclear’s annus horribilis. Two weeks after the debut of the fear-inducing nuclear-disaster flick “The China Syndrome,”life imitated art, as the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Pennsylvania suffered a partial meltdown. That effectively forestalled the creation of new nuclear power plants for a generation. The last reactor to come online was the Watts Bar reactor in Tennessee, in May 1996.

So what’s changed? Thirty years of safe operations have helped pave the way for NRG, and for a couple of dozen other possible plants in the works. Indeed, even as they’re mocked in popular culture—like on “The Simpsons”—the nation’s 104 commercial nuclear generating units have been quietly humming along without significant incident. “The Bureau of Labor Statistics will tell you that the nuclear industry is the safest place to work—safer than real estate and Wall Street,” former New Jersey governor Christine Todd Whitman tells NEWSWEEK. (You remember her—she played the environmentalist in the first Bush term). Through the first half of this year, nukes provided 19.8 percent of U.S. electricity generation, about the same proportion as they did in 1990.

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More important, thanks to developments in the broader environment, many longtime critics are changing their tune. As a cofounder of Greenpeace, Patrick Moore used to call nuclear energy “synonymous with nuclear holocaust.” But he now believes “nuclear is the cleanest, safest and has the smallest footprint” of any major energy-alternative source. He says that nukes are cheap and reliable, unlike alternative-energy sources like wind and solar. Neither do nuclear plants spew sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere, like coal-powered plants do, or create massive volumes of CO2 emissions, like gas-fired plants do. The attitude of Moore, who co-chairs the Clean and Safe Energy Coalition, an industry-backed supporter of nuclear energy, is virtually indistinguishable from that of David Crane, chief executive officer of NRG: “Advanced nuclear technology is the only currently viable large-scale alternative to traditional coal-fueled generation to produce none of the traditional air emissions—and most importantly in this age of climate change—no carbon dioxide or other greenhouse gases.”

Another megatrend is working in nuclear’s favor: demographics. In 2006, an estimated 41.3 percent of the population was below 30. Which is to say that the percentage and number of Americans who remember the accidents at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl decline with every passing year.

To be sure—in any article dealing with alternative energy, there’s always a “to be sure” section—nuclear power has some serious problems. It takes a lot of money, and a long time to build new capacity. NRG says that if all goes well, its new nuclear units, which could power 2 million homes, may come online in 2014 and 2015. And investors aren’t eager to commit billions of dollars to controversial long-term projects that might never get built. The government is trying to help by providing risk insurance and streamlining the approval process.

Published in: on at 10:11 am Comments (1)

CE Week #9: “Dumbledore revelation just a detail”

Leonard Pitts Jr.
Miami Herald
October 26, 2007

We’re off to see the wizard.

No, not the one who lives at the end of the yellow brick road. This one might be said to live somewhere over the rainbow, as in the flag that symbolizes gay pride.

Or hadn’t you heard about Albus Dumbledore? If you are, or live in proximity to, a Harry Potter fan, you’ve already made the acquaintance. If not, suffice to say that he is our hero’s mentor, the headmaster of Hogwarts, the school for wizards in training. Last week, we learned that he was also something else.

The revelation came in response to a question from a reader during author J.K. Rowling’s appearance at Carnegie Hall. The reader asked if Dumbledore ever finds “true love.” Rowling replied that Dumbledore is gay and in love with a rival wizard, Gellert Grindelwald, whom he once defeated in battle. According to news accounts, the audience gasped – and then applauded.

The revelation has brought scattered condemnation from conservative religious types who already hate the books because of their supposed ability to make children worship the occult. But truth to tell, the criticism has seemed relatively muted, especially as compared with the praise.

I conducted my own focus group survey of two Potter fans in Miami and their responses echoed what I’ve seen in press reports. “Me and my sister are so happy,” gushed Katherine Robertson, 14, “because we’re big on gay pride.”

Her sister Anne Marie, 17, added, “I think the gay community was one of the few groups that was not represented in the books and it was important that they were. I don’t think it changes my perception of him at all. It’s just that as a Harry Potter fan, it’s an extra detail about him that I would like to know.”

His sexuality is an extra detail, she says. Not destiny, not definition. Just detail.

I am reminded that five years ago, Marvel Comics outed one of its signature characters, Ben Grimm, the rocky orange guy from the Fantastic Four: not as gay, but as Jewish. Apparently, in the minds of creators Stan Lee and Jack Kirby, he was always a Jew, but that was something they felt constrained to keep quiet back in 1961.

As a comic book geek of long standing, I felt much like Anne Marie Robertson does. It didn’t change my perception, but it was a detail I liked having.

The trouble is, not all details are created equal. Details of culture, color and sexuality are dangerous because they assume outsized importance in our mental calculus, because they have this ability to shape people’s understanding of who one is. So that to be gay is often to live confined to a prison of others’ perceptions, no longer a complex amalgam of likes and dislikes, weaknesses and strengths like anyone else, but reduced instead to a single neon characteristic. You are your sexuality and nothing more.

Or as actor T.R. Knight once put it, “I hope the fact that I’m gay isn’t the most interesting part of me.”

For some people, it is, and always will be.

Which is why there’s a subversive genius in what Rowling has done. By declining to lead with sexuality, she allows readers to first know a beloved character in the fullness of his likes and dislikes, weaknesses and strengths – like anyone else. And the revelation, when it comes, is only “an extra detail.”

We live in a nation where some people still accuse gays of “recruiting.” And equate homosexuality with pederasty. And give cheap applause to preachers and politicians who use gay men and lesbians as easy scapegoats.

Could the boy wizard help a generation learn to look at a gay person and see, neither definition nor destiny, but only detail?

That would be the greatest magic trick of all.

Published in: on October 27, 2007 at 6:55 am Comments (18)

CE Week #9: “Iran Becomes an Issue In Democratic Contest”


Clinton Moves to Counter Rivals’ Criticism
By Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, October 25, 2007; A07

In the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination, Iran has become the new Iraq.

Iran is now the front line in a foreign policy debate that has found Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) defending a vote that her rivals said could embolden President Bush to once again launch unilateral military action against a Middle Eastern nation.

The discussion is almost identical to one that took place earlier in the campaign over Clinton’s 2002 vote for the resolution authorizing Bush to go to war in Iraq, except that, in this case, she finds herself on the opposite side of all her leading rivals for the nomination.

The focus on Iran highlights the extent to which national security remains the key fault line in the Democratic race as Clinton’s opponents seek to slow her momentum. With the administration now preparing to designate a branch of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization and to impose sanctions on Iran, the debate is only likely to intensify.

Clinton has moved aggressively to contain any possible damage. Over the weekend, her campaign flooded Iowa — the most competitive state in the Democratic contest — with a mailer that included a lengthy letter from the candidate explaining why she supported a Senate measure urging the administration to label the IRGC a terrorist organization.

The flier, which came two weeks after a testy public exchange over the issue between Clinton and an Iowa voter, also contained a rebuttal of statements by critics of the amendment. That rebuttal came from Sen. Richard J. Durbin (D-Ill.), who voted the same way Clinton did on the measure and who also happens to be one of the leading supporters of a rival, Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.).

Obama, who opposed the measure but was absent on the day of the vote, has been among Clinton’s harshest critics. He followed her foray into the mailboxes of Iowa Democrats with a flier of his own challenging her judgment and telling voters that he is the only leading candidate who opposed both the Iraq war and the Iran amendment.

But Obama’s critics, including some of his rivals, contend that the Illinois senator is on shaky ground because, earlier, he joined Clinton in support of a pending measure that would also label the IRGC a terrorist organization.

Former senator John Edwards (N.C.) has been even more relentless. He attacked Clinton hours after the vote and has not let up on his criticism since. Sens. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (Del.) and Christopher J. Dodd (Conn.), who voted against the measure, and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson have eagerly joined in the attacks.

Edwards, who, like Clinton, supported the 2002 Iraq war resolution, said she failed to learn a lesson from that episode. “I think it’s an enormous mistake to give George Bush the first step in the authority to move militarily on Iran,” Edwards said in a telephone interview from Iowa yesterday. “My view is that the resolution on the Iranian Revolutionary Guard did that.”

Biden, in a session with Washington Post editors and reporters yesterday, said labeling the IRGC as a terrorist group was a “serious, serious mistake” because it could force the United States to back up the designation with action. “Big nations can’t bluff,” he said.

Clinton has been steadfast in her contention that the amendment to the defense authorization bill was not a vote for war but, instead, a call for robust diplomatic action to deal with Iran. “I oppose any rush to war but also believe doing nothing is not acceptable — diplomacy is the right path,” she said in her campaign mailer.

Iran sprang up as a campaign issue on Sept. 26, when the Senate voted 76 to 22 for a defense authorization bill amendment sponsored by Sens. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) and Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.). The amendment not only urged the administration to label the IRGC a terrorist organization but also said that the U.S. military presence in Iraq could have a critical impact on Iran’s ability to pose a threat to the entire Middle East.

Twenty-eight other Democrats supported the amendment, including eight who voted against the 2002 Iraq resolution and Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (Nev.), a fervent critic of Bush’s Iraq policies. Only two Republicans opposed it, Sens. Richard G. Lugar (Ind.), the ranking minority member on the Foreign Relations Committee, and Chuck Hagel (Neb.), a frequent foreign policy critic of the White House.

In her defense, Clinton has made several points. First, that she has long been on the record opposing the use of military force against Iran and has been a co-sponsor of legislation, with Sen. James Webb (D-Va.), explicitly saying that Bush lacks the authority to use force against Iran.

Webb, however, voted against the Iran amendment, saying that it was enough to allow the administration to use force against Iran. “I think everybody knew what that vote was about,” Webb said on MSNBC’s “Hardball With Chris Matthews.”

Durbin, who opposed the Iraq war resolution in 2002, took the opposite view in explaining why he supported the measure. “I don’t think this resolution gives them a green light to do anything,” he told Bloomberg Television, referring to the administration.

Clinton also said that she supported the measure only after she and other Democrats had persuaded Republicans to remove more belligerent language toward Iran.

Obama’s opposition is unique among the Democratic candidates because he is on record supporting the designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization. His opposition, said an adviser, is based on other sections of the measure that use Iran to justify the continued U.S. military presence in Iraq and that say it is in the national interest for the U.S. military to counter Iran in Iraq. The adviser said the amendment is worrisome because there is no stipulation noting that nothing in it authorizes military action.

One Clinton adviser called Obama’s position “contrived.” Clinton spokesman Howard Wolfson said: “There is nothing in the bill that gives George Bush any additional authority to wage war in Iran; and if Senator Obama believed that it did, he should have spoken out against it, fought against it and voted against it.”

But it is Clinton who remains on the defensive. Her advisers said they have not seen erosion in her support in Iowa but moved preemptively with the mailer nonetheless. Her Democratic rivals think she took action because the issue was already causing her problems.

Whichever view is correct, Clinton’s actions have elevated Iran even more as an issue in the Democratic campaign and demonstrated anew her possible vulnerabilities among dovish Democrats on national security issues.

Research editor Alice Crites contributed to this report.

Published in: on October 26, 2007 at 7:37 am Comments (0)

UNIT III Discussion Thread – Chapter #8 “Political Parties”

Post any questions or answers to posted questions pertaining to Chapter #8 “Political Parties” in this thread.

Published in: on October 25, 2007 at 3:19 pm Comments (2)

CE Week #9: “Media myths about the Jena 6″

A local journalist tells the story you haven’t heard.

By Craig Franklin

 

Jena, La.

By now, almost everyone in America has heard of Jena, La., because they’ve all heard the story of the “Jena 6.” White students hanging nooses barely punished, a schoolyard fight, excessive punishment for the six black attackers, racist local officials, public outrage and protests – the outside media made sure everyone knew the basics.

There’s just one problem: The media got most of the basics wrong. In fact, I have never before witnessed such a disgrace in professional journalism. Myths replaced facts, and journalists abdicated their solemn duty to investigate every claim because they were seduced by a powerfully appealing but false narrative of racial injustice.

I should know. I live in Jena. My wife has taught at Jena High School for many years. And most important, I am probably the only reporter who has covered these events from the very beginning.

The reason the Jena cases have been propelled into the world spotlight is two-fold: First, because local officials did not speak publicly early on about the true events of the past year, the media simply formed their stories based on one-side’s statements – the Jena 6. Second, the media were downright lazy in their efforts to find the truth. Often, they simply reported what they’d read on blogs, which expressed only one side of the issue.

The real story of Jena and the Jena 6 is quite different from what the national media presented. It’s time to set the record straight.

Myth 1: The Whites-Only Tree. There has never been a “whites-only” tree at Jena High School. Students of all races sat underneath this tree. When a student asked during an assembly at the start of school last year if anyone could sit under the tree, it evoked laughter from everyone present – blacks and whites. As reported by students in the assembly, the question was asked to make a joke and to drag out the assembly and avoid class.

Myth 2: Nooses a Signal to Black Students. An investigation by school officials, police, and an FBI agent revealed the true motivation behind the placing of two nooses in the tree the day after the assembly. According to the expulsion committee, the crudely constructed nooses were not aimed at black students. Instead, they were understood to be a prank by three white students aimed at their fellow white friends, members of the school rodeo team. (The students apparently got the idea from watching episodes of “Lonesome Dove.”) The committee further concluded that the three young teens had no knowledge that nooses symbolize the terrible legacy of the lynchings of countless blacks in American history. When informed of this history by school officials, they became visibly remorseful because they had many black friends. Another myth concerns their punishment, which was not a three-day suspension, but rather nine days at an alternative facility followed by two weeks of in-school suspension, Saturday detentions, attendance at Discipline Court, and evaluation by licensed mental-health professionals. The students who hung the nooses have not publicly come forward to give their version of events.

Myth 3: Nooses Were a Hate Crime. Although many believe the three white students should have been prosecuted for a hate crime for hanging the nooses, the incident did not meet the legal criteria for a federal hate crime. It also did not meet the standard for Louisiana’s hate-crime statute, and though widely condemned by all officials, there was no crime to charge the youths with.

Myth 4: DA’s Threat to Black Students. When District Attorney Reed Walters spoke to Jena High students at an assembly in September, he did not tell black students that he could make their life miserable with “the stroke of a pen.” Instead, according to Walters, “two or three girls, white girls, were chit-chatting on their cellphones or playing with their cellphones right in the middle of my dissertation. I got a little irritated at them and said, ‘Pay attention to me. I am right now having to deal with an aggravated rape case where I’ve got to decide whether the death penalty applies or not.’ I said, ‘Look, I can be your best friend or your worst enemy. With the stroke of a pen I can make your life miserable so I want you to call me before you do something stupid.’”

Mr. Walters had been called to the assembly by police, who had been at the school earlier that day dealing with some students who were causing disturbances. Teachers and students have confirmed Walters’s version of events.

Myth 5: The Fair Barn Party Incident. On Dec. 1, 2006, a private party – not an all-white party as reported – was held at the local community center called the Fair Barn. Robert Bailey Jr., soon to be one of the Jena 6, came to the party with others seeking admittance.

When they were denied entrance by the renter of the facility, a white male named Justin Sloan (not a Jena High student) at the party attacked Bailey and hit him in the face with his fist. This is reported in witness statements to police, including the victim, Robert Bailey, Jr.

Months later, Bailey contended he was hit in the head with a beer bottle and required stitches. No medical records show this ever occurred. Mr. Sloan was prosecuted for simple battery, which according to Louisiana law, is the proper charge for hitting someone with a fist.

Myth 6: The “Gotta-Go” Grocery Incident. On Dec. 2, 2006, Bailey and two other black Jena High students were involved in an altercation at this local convenience store, stemming from the incident that occurred the night before. The three were accused by police of jumping a white man as he entered the store and stealing a shotgun from him. The two parties gave conflicting statements to police. However, two unrelated eye witnesses of the event gave statements that corresponded with that of the white male.

Myth 7: The Schoolyard Fight. The event on Dec. 4, 2006 was consistently labeled a “schoolyard fight.” But witnesses described something much more horrific. Several black students, including those now known as the Jena 6, barricaded an exit to the school’s gym as they lay in wait for Justin Barker to exit. (It remains unclear why Mr. Barker was specifically targeted.)

When Barker tried to leave through another exit, court testimony indicates, he was hit from behind by Mychal Bell. Multiple witnesses confirmed that Barker was immediately knocked unconscious and lay on the floor defenseless as several other black students joined together to kick and stomp him, with most of the blows striking his head. Police speculate that the motivation for the attack was related to the racially charged fights that had occurred during the previous weekend.

Myth 8: The Attack Is Linked to the Nooses. Nowhere in any of the evidence, including statements by witnesses and defendants, is there any reference to the noose incident that occurred three months prior. This was confirmed by the United States attorney for the Western District of Louisiana, Donald Washington, on numerous occasions.

Myth 9: Mychal Bell’s All-White Jury. While it is true that Mychal Bell was convicted as an adult by an all-white jury in June (a conviction that was later overturned with his case sent to juvenile court), the jury selection process was completely legal and withstood an investigation by the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division. Court officials insist that several black residents were summoned for jury duty, but did not appear.

Myth 10: Jena 6 as Model Youth. While some members were simply caught up in the moment, others had criminal records. Bell had at least four prior violent-crime arrests before the December attack, and was on probation during most of this year.

Myth 11: Jena Is One of the Most Racist Towns in America. Actually, Jena is a wonderful place to live for both whites and blacks. The media’s distortion and outright lies concerning the case have given this rural Louisiana town a label it doesn’t deserve.

Myth 12: Two Levels of Justice. Outside protesters were convinced that the prosecution of the Jena 6 was proof of a racially biased system of justice. But the US Justice Department’s investigation found no evidence to support such a claim. In fact, the percentage of blacks and whites prosecuted matches the parish’s population statistics.

These are just 12 of many myths that are portrayed as fact in the media concerning the Jena cases. (A more thorough review of all events can be found at www.thejenatimes.net – click on Chronological Order of Events.)

As with the Duke Lacrosse case, the truth about Jena will eventually be known. But the town of Jena isn’t expecting any apologies from the media. They will probably never admit their error and have already moved on to the next “big” story. Meanwhile in Jena, residents are getting back to their regular routines, where friends are friends regardless of race. Just as it has been all along.

Craig Franklin is assistant editor of The Jena Times.

CE Week #9: “A hero who has no Nobel”

Susan Estrich
Creators Syndicate
October 25, 2007

The kids in one of my son’s ninth-grade classes were asked to write essays on their heroes. With two exceptions, they all picked Al Gore. That’s easy: He was in the news that week. Only a kid with my son’s backbone would debate whether all of the science in Al Gore’s presentation was correct, whether he really would be a stronger candidate than Hillary, or whether his loss in 2000 wasn’t at least in part his own fault.

But the question of picking a hero remained. So he asked me who mine was.

 

That’s probably why I found myself dreaming of Williams v. Walker-Thomas Furniture Store. Most people dream of romance and adventure. On occasion, I do, too. But when I go to bed thinking of heroes, I’m more likely to dream of an obscure furniture store in Washington, D.C., that used to take advantage of poor people who had nowhere else to go to buy tables and chairs, or refrigerators and stoves. So they went to Walker-Thomas Furniture, which promised credit for everyone, with a catch. The catch was that the interest rates were higher than anyone would pay in any other part of town, and repossession came faster than it ever would from Hecht’s or Woodward and Lothrop if they missed even a single payment. Did I mention that all the customers were black?

That’s the way it was until a man named J. Skelly Wright wrote a decision I read about in my first year of law school. I’d never heard of Wright, and when I started reading, it was just one more case to be briefed by morning. But this one was different. The Uniform Commercial Code, one of the most boring documents I encountered in law school, prohibited unconscionable commercial transactions. No one had ever thought that meant charging poor people usurious interest rates for goods they desperately needed and then repossessing them for even a single nonpayment, as explained in very small writing.

Wright thought that was exactly what it prohibited, and he wrote a decision that outraged many in the business community for its audacity in seeking to regulate arms-length commercial transactions between willing sellers and desperate buyers.

“What do you think of that?” my then-professor asked the class. I thought I might have found my hero.

Long before he protected poor people from being treated like dirt in furniture stores, Wright, a self-described “good Catholic boy” from New Orleans, a night-law-school graduate, a working-class kid who took seriously what he learned in school and in church, had been appointed to the federal district court by Harry Truman while still in his 30s because he was the only guy around who thought every ballot was supposed to be counted, once. But no one expected this good ol’ boy to decide that if separate but equal was inherently unequal, it was his job as a federal judge to order the first blacks to attend LSU Law School, to integrate the New Orleans school systems.

The Klan burned crosses on his lawn so often his son once told me that when his parents went out, his dad told him to just ignore them unless they got too close to the house, in which case he should call the fire department.

He didn’t set out to be a hero. He just believed it was his job to do what was right, to enforce the law. By the early ’60s, Richard Russell, then the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, had told the president’s men that Skelly Wright would never be confirmed for the Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit, which covered the South, or for the Supreme Court. But if the new president wanted to get him out of Louisiana and put him on the U.S. Court of Appeals in D.C., he’d skip the hearing that day. That is what President Kennedy did.

I was Wright’s second woman clerk. He had to tell me that his good friend William Brennan, then the most liberal justice on the U.S. Supreme Court, a job my judge would have loved and could never have, wouldn’t be hiring me because I was a woman. He sat with me as I tried not to cry.

A few months later we were assigned an important rape case. The fancy law firm representing the defendant was trying to uphold the corroboration requirement that Wright’s closest friend on the court had championed. I came close to tears again. I explained how I’d been raped and there had been no corroboration, and the rule that would have kept this case from the jury would have kept mine away as well. This one’s for you, he told me. It was the day I came to understand that lemons could be made into lemonade.

He never got rich. I used to joke years later that he was the only person I knew who drove a car worse than mine: I drove a Maverick, and he drove a Pinto. As the Supreme Court changed, he got reversed more and more often. But he never stopped fighting.

The year I worked for him was the year my world fell apart: I lost my father, my family was in shambles, I didn’t have a dime to call my own, and I could barely remember why I had become a lawyer. It was also the year my world came back together, under the kind and gentle tutelage of a man who never wore his courage on his sleeve, never expected, or received, much acclaim, but taught me what it was to believe in something enough to put your life and your heart on the line for it every day.

I spent Christmas that year with the Wrights. It was the finest Christmas of my life. For it was his soul that made J. Skelly Wright a hero. He never got a Nobel Prize, but truth be told, he didn’t need one.

CE Week #9: “Don’t write off Huckabee”

James P. Pinkerton
Newsday
October 25, 2007

Remember “The Lord of the Rings”? Sure you do. So, now let’s play Republican “Lord of the Rings.” As in, who’s going to win the GOP presidential nomination?

The rings of political power tell the tale. Four rings, outermost to innermost, can give us clues. But it’s that innermost ring – the ring of buzz and momentum – that reveals the most.

The outer Republican ring – that is, the ring furthest from the minds of core activists – is the November 2008 election. In this “electability” ring, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is strongest in matchups against Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, the leading Democrat. Of course, Giuliani would run best in November, because by many measures he is more of an independent, even a liberal, than a conservative. And the middle is where elections are won.

 

But that’s not where primary contests are won. So we come to the next ring – the battle for hearts and souls within the Republican Party itself. And here again, Giuliani has the lead, though not by much. The folks at RealClearPolitics.com have averaged out the most recent polls, showing Giuliani with 27 percent – 9 points ahead of former Sen. Fred Thompson. It’s better to be ahead than behind, but if barely more than a quarter of primary voters support you, you aren’t a very strong front-runner.

And besides, a lot of those GOP voters are, by definition, in places that don’t have much say in the nomination. So, who speaks loudly re: The nomination? The answer can be summed up in four words: “Iowa and New Hampshire.” Those two states make up the next ring. After the Hawkeye State’s caucus and the Granite State’s primary, there won’t be more than three Republicans left in the race. Now that’s political power.

Interestingly, Giuliani is fourth in Iowa and second in New Hampshire. For all his strength across the country, he’s having trouble among close-in, hard-core Republicans. So, who’s ahead in those two states? It’s former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, according to the same RealClear site.

In fact, Romney always has been a favorite among many Republicans, especially professional Republicans. Why? Because he looks like a president – or, more precisely, he looks like Hollywood’s idea of a president; few actual presidents have ever been so handsome. And, oh yes, it doesn’t hurt that he has the most money to spend and doesn’t mind spending it. Professionals appreciate that about Romney.

But now we come to the innermost ring. This ring is the hardest to quantify because the key metric – “buzz” – can’t really be expressed in a hard number, at least not until Election Day.

But buzz is real, nonetheless. It’s the juice that animates the activists, the folks who actually power a candidate to victory. As the American Revolutionary Samuel Adams put it centuries ago, “It does not require a majority to prevail, but rather an irate, tireless minority keen to set brush fires.”

So who, if anyone, is burning up the grass roots? A visit to the Values Voters Summit, convened last Saturday by the Family Research Council in Washington, provided the answer. The “hot” candidate, measured by standing ovations, was former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. As he said, “I am someone who comes not to the faith community but from the faith community.”

And the Values Voters straw poll underscored the power of Huckabee’s connection to these innermost voters: Romney won the overall balloting, including online “votes,” but of the 1,000 or so activists who cared enough to be in the room, 51 percent endorsed Huckabee – compared with 10 percent for Romney, 8 percent for Thompson and virtually none for Giuliani.

So then is Huckabee the front-runner? Nope. Way behind in money and name recognition, Huckabee is still a dark horse. But he is a buzzing dark horse, lit up by that fourth, white-hot, innermost ring.

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CE Week #9: “Tough times in Obama’s camp”

David S. Broder
Washington Post
October 25, 2007

CHICAGO – These are difficult days for supporters of Barack Obama.

This city is filled with people who have voted for, worked for, contributed to, and in many cases prayed for the success of the young senator from Illinois. The struggle he has had in trying to overtake Hillary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination is wearing on their morale.

Last weekend, I heard them tell each other that while the race started months ago, it is still early going; that the crucial days in Iowa and New Hampshire are still ahead; and that there is time for Obama to close with a rush, as he did when he came from behind to capture the nomination for his Senate seat back in 2004.

 

But the steady drumbeat of polls showing Clinton with more support than all the other Democrats combined – and twice as much as Obama – is taking a toll. In their private moments, they wonder whether even Obama, as gifted as he is, can pull off this feat.

Such doubts can afflict any trailing candidate’s campaign, but they are particularly pronounced – and poignant – in this case. Obama burst onto the national stage with such high expectations, fueled by his remarkable speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, that nothing, including the presidency, seemed to be beyond his reach.

The elevated stature he enjoyed nationally was nothing compared to the near reverence he commands among his friends here. Those I met who have worked closely with him through the past decade in politics, community affairs or the anti-war movement exhaust the list of superlatives in speaking about him and his wife, Michelle.

They see Obama as someone uniquely positioned to heal a divided nation – and to change the image of America in the world, simply by virtue of his own history and personality. They can visualize the headlines and television coverage around the globe if he were elected to the White House.

Among the Obama faithful, Hillary Clinton is not reviled. Indeed, there is a good deal of admiration for the way she has conducted herself in the campaign.

But at every turn, Obama’s people feel that he has been outmaneuvered and outsmarted by Clinton’s timing and tactics. Nothing is more painful to them – or more typical – than what happened on Oct. 2.

That date was the fifth anniversary of the speech that Obama gave to a rally outside Chicago City Hall, called to mobilize opposition to the looming war with Iraq. In the speech, which has been quoted many times, Obama, then eyeing a Senate campaign, defied public opinion and decried what he called a “dumb” war.

He has often cited his prescience on that issue as the best evidence that, despite his short tenure in Washington, he has the judgment to make the right calls on crucial questions of national security.

The Obama campaign, therefore, announced that the fifth anniversary would be a special day for them, the date of a major foreign policy address. After some debate, the campaign decided not to stage a repetition of the outdoor rally, but rather to have him speak in a college auditorium, a better setting for a thoughtful address.

The speech that he delivered at DePaul University here was as serious a discussion of the lessons of Iraq and the future of American foreign policy as anyone could wish. And, as I was repeatedly reminded by the Obama people, it got next to no national press coverage. It was briefly summarized on Page 8 of the Washington Post, Page 11 of the Boston Globe and Page 20 of the New York Times.

Why? Because the Clinton campaign, with exquisite timing, that same morning released its latest-quarter fundraising totals, which put her ahead of Obama for the first time in the money race. The Page 1 stories in the next day’s Times and Post were simple: Clinton, leading all the polls, now leads in campaign finances as well.

The pessimists in the Obama camp worry that never again will they have such an opportunity to highlight his early opposition to the war – in contrast to Clinton’s vote for the resolution that President Bush used when he ordered the attack on Baghdad.

That is probably an exaggeration. Future debates, especially those coming in Iowa and New Hampshire, may provide more openings. It is also the case that the voters in those states are far less firmly attached to their current candidate preferences than polling numbers would suggest. There is, in fact, time for Obama to rally. It’s just hard for his people to believe it right now.

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CE Week #9: “Louisiana’s Jindal basks in gubernatorial victory”

36-year-old embraced face-to-face campaign

Louisiana Gov.-elect Bobby Jindal answers a question in Kenner, La., on Sunday. Associated Press (Associated Press)

Miguel Bustillo
Los Angeles Times
October 24, 2007

MONROE, La. – When Bobby Jindal lost his first Louisiana governor’s race four years ago, some experts told him that white people here were not ready to elect a dark-skinned son of Indian immigrants.

On Tuesday, as he dashed across the state in a victory caravan following his historic landslide win Saturday, Louisiana’s Republican governor-elect had a message for his rural supporters: Thank you for proving the political wisdom wrong.

Jindal, 36 – who will become the first Indian-American governor of any state, the youngest current governor in the country and the first nonwhite to lead Louisiana since Reconstruction – refused to believe that his ethnicity was an obstacle to achieving his political dreams.

He essentially never stopped campaigning after his 2003 loss to Democratic Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco, an election in which he failed to win over many of the white rural voters who should have loved his conservative positions.

Jindal was convinced that if voters got to know him, they would see him as a fellow native son from Baton Rouge, not a foreigner with an Ivy League degree.

So he made more than 70 trips to northern Louisiana cities such as Shreveport, and the devout Catholic seemingly attended Sunday mass at every small church in the state, even after he was elected to represent suburban New Orleans in Congress in 2004.

 

“In these small Louisiana towns, retail politics is very important,” Jindal said in an interview from his tour bus as he rode to Natchitoches. He always believed Blanco beat him simply because she was better known. “I don’t think there’s any substitute for staring someone in the eye and listening,” he said.

Jindal’s tireless tours of Louisiana, especially here in the conservative northern parishes that were considered the keys to his earlier defeat, impressed political observers, who said that by the time his rivals entered this year’s race, Jindal’s hard-earned backing in the rural stronghold was insurmountable.

“I have never seen anyone work so hard,” said Bernie Pinsonat, a Louisiana pollster and political consultant. “I had a local legislator tell me that he had to go to church more often, because Jindal had been to his church more times than he had.”

Jindal wound up winning all but four of Louisiana’s 64 parishes – nearly the entire state except New Orleans. It was an embarrassing defeat for Democrats, who were unable even to force Jindal into a runoff election. Under Louisiana’s open primary rules, a candidate who can secure more than half the total vote wins outright. Jindal received 54 percent, despite competing against 11 candidates.

Blanco opted not to seek re-election earlier this year after her response to Hurricane Katrina drew widespread criticism, and no prominent Democrat stepped in to challenge Jindal.

Piyush “Bobby” Jindal’s meteoric rise through the Republican Party ranks is already legend in Louisiana – as is his personal version of the American dream. His parents moved to Baton Rouge from India shortly before he was born so his mother could study nuclear physics at Louisiana State University. His father is a civil engineer.

At age 4, Jindal asked his teacher to refer to him henceforth as Bobby, after the character from ” The Brady Bunch.” His parents worried he was going through a phase but also obliged, and Jindal has been known as Bobby since. When he converted from Hinduism to Catholicism at age 18, he used Robert as his baptismal name.

At age 24, the Brown University and Oxford-educated wunderkind was named head of the Louisiana Department of Heath and Hospitals by then-Gov. Mike Foster, placing him in charge of a $4 billion budget and 13,000 employees, and on the political fast track.

Yet he learned in 2003 that his resume was not enough to be elected governor in Louisiana – and could even serve as a hindrance. Democrats ran ads criticizing the steep cuts Jindal had made as health chief and questioning whether the Ivy Leaguer was in touch with common folk. The ads worked.

Following his defeat, Jindal launched his statewide charm offensive.

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CE Week #9: “Rossi to launch second campaign for governor”

Republican lost to Gregoire in 2004

A “Re-Vote” sign from the 2004 governor’s race still hangs in the Olympia office window of state Sen. Jerome Delvin, R-Richland. The Spokesman-Review (RICHARD ROESLER The Spokesman-Review)

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Elections – Washington state

Richard Roesler
Staff writer
October 24, 2007

OLYMPIA – The 2008 governor’s race officially launches Thursday, when Republican Dino Rossi is expected to announce – in Spokane and Issaquah – that he will again challenge Democrat Chris Gregoire.

“I won’t deny anything, but it’s Dino’s announcement to make,” his campaign spokeswoman Jill Strait said Tuesday. The Associated Press, citing anonymous GOP sources, reported late Monday that Rossi will run.

If so, it will be a rematch of the 2004 cliffhanger, which left Rossi trailing the former attorney general by 133 votes after two recounts and election lawsuit in Wenatchee. But after three years as a quiet candidate-in-waiting, some political observers say, Rossi faces a tougher fight. Over the past three years, Gregoire has led trade missions, brokered deals, written two budgets and made many appearances across the state.

“Compared to the last go-round, she’s in a somewhat stronger position,” said David Nice, a political science professor at Washington State University. “I don’t have a sense that she’s done too many things that have made people mad.”

Gregoire – who’s clearly running but has yet to officially kick off her campaign – has raised $3 million for the race and has been buoyed by round after round of economic good news over the past year and a half. The governor has also won grudging admiration from some of the same Republican lawmakers who refused to applaud her opening speech as governor in 2005.

Long gone are the “Re-vote or revolt!” signs that adorned some cars in the legislative parking lot. One of the few visible reminders of the bitter feelings at the time is a “Re-vote” sign still hanging in the Olympia office window of state Sen. Jerome Delvin, R-Richland.

“The winds kind of went out of the sails of that ’she’s not my governor’ stuff,” said Todd Donovan, a political science professor at Western Washington University. While party stalwarts on both sides vividly remember the high drama at the time, he said, independent voters probably don’t.

“They’re not thinking back four years,” he said. “And that’s who makes or breaks an election.”

As an example, both Nice and Donovan cited the 2000 presidential race, Florida ballot flap and Bush-Gore U.S. Supreme Court fight.

 

“How much did the Florida thing hurt George Bush four years later?” Donovan said. “It didn’t. People forgot about it, and when he ran for re-election, he did even better.”

State GOP chairman Luke Esser – who would say only that he’s “very optimistic” about Thursday’s announcement from Rossi – says Gregoire’s record will be a minus, not a plus.

“It was all about promises four years ago,” he said. “Now there’s a real record that can be pointed out to voters.”

He cited tax increases, particularly reinstatement of Washington’s estate tax and large increases in state spending, both of which the governor has characterized as key “investments,” particularly in education. Esser also criticized ongoing problems with the foster-care system and early release of felons by the state Department of Corrections during Gregoire’s watch.

“There’s a lot wrong in state government that can be pointed to,” he said.

Esser said he’s also heartened by a couple of polls this year that suggested Gregoire’s approval rating with voters is below 50 percent. (Rossi’s was a couple points lower, but within the margin of error.) For an incumbent, Esser said, that suggests Gregoire’s vulnerable.

State Democrats have been convinced that Rossi would run for months. This summer, they filed a complaint with state campaign-finance officials, charging that Rossi’s “Forward Washington” foundation and speeches were actually a stealth campaign. It’s still under investigation.

This morning, in a “curtain-raiser” meant to undercut Rossi’s usual line of attack, Democrats plan to circulate a Web video that touts the business and economic climate in Washington: “210,000 new jobs…Record investment in education…Lowest unemployment in state history…Time for a new rationale, Dino.”

“Nothing will be taken for granted, but Washington state is moving forward together under Gov. Gregoire’s leadership,” said state Democratic Party spokesman Kelly Steele. “Voters will understand Republican Dino Rossi would take us dangerously in the wrong direction.”

In Spokane, county GOP chairman Curt Fackler said he’s excited to have Rossi as a candidate. But Gregoire is a formidable opponent, he said, particularly when rising state spending is masked by a growing economy.

“I think Gregoire is very politically smart,” he said. “I think it’s going to be difficult.”

Rossi’s best hope, Fackler said, will be Elections 101: getting Republican voters to vote. Republicans were stunned a year ago, when voter anger over the war in Iraq cost Republicans numerous seats in the statehouse.

“The reason that Republicans did so lousy is that our people just didn’t vote,” Fackler said.

With a hotly contested presidential race under way, it also may be harder for Rossi to tap national donors for money than it was in 2004, Nice said.

“A lot of money’s getting vacuumed up,” he said.

Despite Gregoire’s $3 million lead, Esser said he’s confident that Rossi will get enough money to get his message across to voters.

“She’ll need more,” Esser said of Gregoire. “She’s got a lot of explaining to do.”

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CE Week #8: “As Campaigns Chafe at Limits, Donors Might Be in Diapers”

By Matthew Mosk
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, October 24, 2007; A06

Elrick Williams’s toddler niece Carlyn may be one of the youngest contributors to this year’s presidential campaign. The 2-year-old gave $2,300 to Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.).

So did her sister and brother, Imara, 13, and Ishmael, 9, and her cousins Chan and Alexis, both 13. Altogether, according to newly released campaign finance reports, the extended family of Williams, a wealthy Chicago financier, handed over nearly a dozen checks in March for the maximum allowed under federal law to Obama.

Such campaign donations from young children would almost certainly run afoul of campaign finance regulations, several campaign lawyers said. But as bundlers seek to raise higher and higher sums for presidential contenders this year, the number who are turning to checks from underage givers appears to be on the rise.

“It’s not difficult for a banker or a trial lawyer or a hedge fund manager to come up with $2,300, and they’re often left wanting to do more,” said Massie Ritsch, a spokesman for the Center for Responsive Politics. “That’s when they look across the dinner table at their children and see an opportunity.”

Asked about the Williams family giving, Obama spokesman Bill Burton said, “As a policy, we don’t take donations from anyone under the age of 15.” After being asked by The Post about the matter, he said the children’s donations will be returned.

Although campaign finance laws set a limit of $2,300 per donor per campaign, they do not explicitly bar donors based on age. And young donors abound in the fundraising reports filed by presidential contenders this year.

A supporter of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney (R), Susan Henken of Dover, Mass., wrote her own $2,300 check, and her 13-year-old son, Samuel, and 15-year-old daughter, Julia, each wrote $2,300 checks, for example. Samuel used money from his bar mitzvah and money he earned “dog sitting,” and Julia used babysitting money to make the contributions, their mother said. “My children like to donate to a lot of causes. That’s just how it is in my house,” Henken said.

Just how much campaign cash is coming from children is uncertain — the FEC does not require donors to provide their age. But the amount written by those identifying themselves as students on contribution forms has risen dramatically this year, according to an analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics. During the first six months of the 2000 presidential campaign, students gave $338,464. In 2004, that rose to $538,936.

This year, the amount has nearly quadrupled, to $1,967,111.

“What’s driving it is a desire by maxed-out donors to max out on their maxing out,” said Fred Wertheimer, president of campaign finance reform organization Democracy 21, who sought, unsuccessfully, to outlaw child donations five years ago. “More often than not, you’re dealing with people who are simply trying to circumvent the limits of what they can give.”

Congress tried to outlaw political contributions from those under age 18 as part of the McCain-Feingold Act in 2002, but the Supreme Court struck down that provision as an infringement on the constitutional rights of minors. With that ruling in mind, the Federal Election Commission wrote new regulations two years ago that tried to balance what it considered a legitimate desire among some children to make political contributions against the possibility that parents would seek to pad their donations by funneling money through children.

The regulations established a three-step test to determine whether a contribution is acceptable: It must be made with the child’s money, the parent cannot reimburse the child for making the donation and the contribution has to be knowing and voluntary.

That last part of the test is the one that would seem to rule out a 2-year-old, said Michael E. Toner, a former FEC chairman who helped draft the rules. “If they are 16 or 17, they’re clearly old enough to know what they’re doing, as compared to someone who is, say, 10 years old. . . . I don’t know any 2-year-old who is capable of making that kind of decision.”

Paula Madison, a Los Angeles entertainment executive who is one of Elrick Williams’s sisters (he referred calls to her), said Williams had not been regularly involved in political fundraising but got excited about the notion of seeing an African American elected president. He talked to every member of the family about his desire to help Obama. One relative served as a trustee for a fund set up for Williams’s children, nieces and nephews, Madison said.

They believed that because a trustee was legally responsible for handling the children’s money, that trustee could make the donations on their behalf. “This wasn’t about routing money through the children,” Madison said. “It wasn’t like, ‘We’ll do this under someone else’s name.’ ”

Lawrence Noble, a former FEC general counsel, said the involvement of a trustee can help prove that the child used his or her own money — which is important — but does not, on its own, make the contribution legal.

This is the second time in two months that the Obama campaign has returned contributions from young children. The first involved donations from Maryland developer Aris Mardirossian’s two children, Matthew, 8, and Karis, 7; each contributed $2,300 to Obama’s primary campaign and $2,300 more for a possible general-election contest.

Although the campaign immediately returned the money, Mardirossian, who along with his wife also gave maximum contributions to Obama, said he saw no need for the campaign to do so.

“My children are very engaged in politics, Mardirossian said. “The whole family is engaged. Every Sunday we get together, all the cousins, everybody comes and talks about politics. The children sit down and listen to the debates and everything.”

Helen Maloof Aranda offered a terse explanation when asked how her two children, ages 10 and 16, came to donate the maximum allowed to New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson’s Democratic presidential bid — some of the more than $32,000 in contributions that Maloof family members gave Richardson.

“We just support him,” Aranda said when reached at the family’s Santa Fe beer distributorship.

Research editor Alice Crites and staff researcher Madonna Lebling contributed to this report.

 
Published in: on October 24, 2007 at 10:09 am Comments (17)

CE Week #8: “With Trippi’s Rise, Some See a New John Edwards”

By Chris Cillizza
washingtonpost.com Staff Writer
Tuesday, October 23, 2007; A01

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton may have a widening lead in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, but John Edwards is not about to give her a free ride.

“Instead of moving from primary mode to general election mode, why don’t we have tell-the-truth mode, all the time, and not say something different one time than we say another time?” Edwards asked pointedly last week in New Hampshire.

From the day he announced his candidacy in New Orleans last December, Edwards has presented himself as an outsider, someone much different from the senator who was John F. Kerry’s running mate in 2004. But in recent weeks he has launched a markedly more aggressive attack on what he says is Clinton’s poll-tested commitment to the status quo, and the new tone to his campaign has coincided with the growing influence of the strategist behind Howard Dean’s assault on the Democratic establishment four years ago — Joe Trippi.

Those who know Edwards best insist that his campaign reflects his own life experiences, including his wife’s ongoing battle with cancer, and that in hiring Trippi, a cult figure on the party’s left for his role with Dean, Edwards has found someone who can translate his instincts into a coherent campaign message. Trailing Clinton and Barack Obama in the polls, Edwards is basing his campaign on a vision of bold change not shared by either senator.

“Trippi has made him more aggressive and tuned him in to the anger and passion of the Net roots,” said Carter Eskew, a senior Democratic strategist not affiliated with any 2008 campaign.

While Trippi was described as a senior adviser when he joined the Edwards campaign in mid-April, he has become much more in the intervening six months: the de facto campaign manager, lead media consultant and — perhaps most important — trusted confidante of Elizabeth Edwards, whose influence in the campaign far exceeds that of the conventional candidate’s wife.

By all accounts, Elizabeth Edwards and Trippi have developed a close relationship, beginning during their first meeting this spring at the Edwardses’ home in Chapel Hill, N.C. An hour and a half into listening to the couple’s pitch to join the campaign, Trippi suddenly flinched when his diabetic neuropathy — a nerve disorder that sends pains shooting through his body at random intervals — began bothering him. Elizabeth Edwards noticed. And when Trippi started talking about his illness, she told him that she suffers from the same condition.

Still, Trippi turned down the offer to join the campaign. “I told them there was no way I could do it again,” Trippi recounted recently. “That I really liked them and really believed they were going to take on a broken system — but I was not going to do it.”

For decades Trippi has been a part of Democratic presidential politics, often working for long shots — Rep. Richard A. Gephardt in 1988, Jerry Brown in 1992 — and through a combination of sharp elbows and sharply defined messages transformed them into legitimate candidates.

As Dean went from an afterthought in the 2004 presidential race to the Democratic front-runner, Trippi’s star rose with him. But when the former Vermont governor finished third in the Iowa caucuses, the campaign was essentially over, and Trippi was suddenly out of a job. And, many assumed, he was out of presidential politics — a decision seemingly affirmed at his meeting with the Edwardses.

On March 22 all of that changed. In a televised news conference, Elizabeth Edwards announced that her breast cancer had returned but that her husband’s campaign would continue. “I sat there in my house with my wife and my neuropathy firing away,” Trippi recalled, “and just said, ‘You know, I am not done either,’ and I picked up the phone and offered to join the campaign.”

In an entry on the Edwards campaign blog titled “I’m Signing On,” Trippi announced his return. “I really thought that the 2004 presidential campaign would be the last I would be involved in,” he wrote. But the decision by the Edwardses to continue the campaign in the face of the return of Elizabeth’s cancer “made me realize that I wasn’t done trying to make a difference either.”

For John Edwards, it was a chance to fix his struggling campaign, which had seen the departure of a number of his original senior staff members, including 2004 campaign manager Nick Baldick. Former congressman David Bonior (Mich.) had been serving as the campaign manager, but his skills were clearly more as a surrogate than a strategist.

Officially, Trippi has been described as part of a trio of advisers that includes pollster Harrison Hickman and longtime adviser Jonathan Prince. But the evidence seemed to suggest that it was Trippi who now had the Edwardses’ trust.

In July, the campaign brought on Paul Blank to handle the day-to-day operations of the campaign and Chris Kofinis to head up communications. Both Blank and Kofinis have ties to Trippi: Blank was political director in Dean’s campaign before joining Wake Up Wal-Mart, where Trippi served as a consultant. Kofinis was communications director at Wake Up Wal-Mart. At the same time, it was announced that Bonior’s role would evolve into serving as a stand-in for the candidate, though he would retain the title of campaign manager.

Then, in mid-August, Marius Penczner, who had served as Edwards’s lead media consultant since late 2003, parted ways with the campaign. Trippi, a media consultant by training, took over crafting Edwards’s ads, with an assist from Prince.

Trippi declined to discuss his role in the campaign’s day-to-day operations. “I hope that I have brought a better focus to the campaign and his message — and helped better define the differences between the change John Edwards would bring to Washington [versus] the business as usual candidacy of Hillary Clinton,” he said.

Asked to explain Trippi’s rise within the Edwards inner circle, a former staffer said: “Two words: Elizabeth Edwards.” The source, who was granted anonymity to speak candidly, added: “I think Trippi’s influence grows daily, and because that influence is Elizabeth-sanctioned it makes it all the more powerful.”

Although Trippi plays down the closeness of his relationship with Elizabeth Edwards — the two have spoken directly only five or six times during the campaign, he said — it is clear that they share the same ideas about aggressive campaigning.

Take Elizabeth Edwards’s decision to confront conservative commentator Ann Coulter during Coulter’s appearance on MSNBC’s “Hardball.” It was Trippi who gave her the number for the show’s control room.

Or take the video that Trippi produced for the CNN-YouTube debate that poked fun at the media’s obsession with how much John Edwards paid for a haircut. Trippi said Elizabeth Edwards “really liked” that video — a phenomenon on the Web.

And, in contrast to her husband’s campaigns in 2004, when she played a somewhat peripheral role, Elizabeth Edwards often takes the fight to her husband’s opponents more aggressively than he does. She was the first to broach the idea that her husband, and not Clinton, is the strongest advocate for women in the race, and she most pointedly questioned whether Obama’s voting record in the Senate matched his antiwar rhetoric before joining Congress.

Those familiar with the relationship between Trippi and Elizabeth Edwards offer several reasons for their alliance. One connection is over their health issues. Another is over the Internet. Trippi became interested in how it could be used in politics, and Elizabeth Edwards became fascinated with its power to create social connections while she dealt with her cancer.

As David Weinberger, an Internet strategist for Dean and part-time consultant to the Edwards campaign, wrote on the Huffington Post, “during times that could have crushed her — that would have beaten most of us down — she found strength in and with others, many on the Internet.”

Others say Elizabeth Edwards sees this race as more a cause than a campaign, a belief that makes her and Trippi — an unapologetic believer in the power of liberal ideals and the overthrow of “transactional politics” — ideological soulmates.

It’s that message — a fiery, some say angry, populism — that has drawn attention to John Edwards of late.

One Democratic consultant who has worked with Trippi said the common thread in the majority of the presidential campaigns with which Trippi has been involved is an outrage with the way Washington operates.

A former senior staffer for Dean’s presidential campaign said, “Anyone that knows Joe could see a marked difference in the creation of the new John Edwards once Joe came aboard.” Trippi, the staffer added, “is an incredibly powerful force on any campaign, and when given a malleable candidate he will have an enormous impact.”

The Edwards campaign — and many people formerly affiliated with it — reject the notion that the candidate is anything but his own invention.

“This is who he is,” Prince said, noting that as far back as his 1998 campaign against Sen. Lauch Faircloth (R-N.C.), Edwards was talking about fighting for the little guy and against special interests. In one ad during that race, Edwards said: “Insurance companies have plenty of lobbyists fighting for them. I don’t want to be their senator. I want to be yours.”

Prince agreed that the tone of the 2008 campaign is different than that of the 2004 race, explaining that “there is more intense emotion to it, more passion.” But, he said, that change is due to Edwards’s experiences as the vice presidential nominee, his work on the issue of poverty in 2005 and 2006, and the impact of his wife’s cancer diagnosis and relapse. Those developments “make you look up close at what’s important,” Prince added.

Whoever is more responsible, the question for the campaign is whether it can turn what has been an insurgent effort into something more substantial. For Trippi, it’s a question that lingers from Dean’s cometlike trajectory.

“The way it ended in Iowa, no one knows if Joe was right or not,” said a consultant who has worked with Trippi on past races.

Published in: on October 23, 2007 at 2:29 pm Comments (5)

CE Week #8: “Cheney, Like President, Has a Warning for Iran”

By SHERYL GAY STOLBERG

LANDSDOWNE, Va., Oct. 21 — Vice President Dick Cheney issued a pointed warning to Iran on Sunday, calling the government in Tehran “a growing obstacle to peace in the Middle East” and promising “serious consequences” if the government there does not abandon its nuclear program.

The remarks, just days after President Bush suggested that a nuclear-armed Iran could lead to “World War III,” amounted to Part II of a one-two punch from the administration at a moment when it is trying to persuade its allies in Europe to impose stiffer sanctions on Tehran. Those efforts grew more complicated on Saturday when Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator resigned on the eve of crucial talks with Europe.

“The Iranian regime needs to know that if it stays on its present course, the international community is prepared to impose serious consequences,” Mr. Cheney said, without specifying what those might be. “The United States joins other nations in sending a clear message: We will not allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon.”

Mr. Cheney delivered his warnings during a wide-ranging foreign policy speech to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, a research organization. During the 35-minute talk, he also took aim at Syria, accusing Damascus of using “bribery and intimidation” to influence the coming elections in Lebanon, and he presented the case for the administration’s muscular approach to investigating suspected terrorists.

But Mr. Cheney reserved his harshest language for Iran. Calling it “the world’s most active state sponsor of terrorism,” he said, “our country, and the entire international community, cannot stand by as a terror-supporting state fulfills its most aggressive ambitions.”

That language is not radically different from what Mr. Cheney has used in the past. But people at the conference said that, placed in the context of Mr. Bush’s remarks, it represented a significant step toward increasing pressure on Iran. The speech seemed to lay the groundwork for the threat of military action — either because the administration actually intends to use force or because it wants to use the threat of force to prod Europe into action.

“This week we heard a significant ratcheting up of the rhetoric,” said Dennis Ross, who served as a Middle East envoy for President Clinton and the first President Bush and is now a scholar at the Washington Institute. Repeating Mr. Cheney’s remark about serious consequences, he said those were “strong words” with “serious implications.”

Mr. Bush has repeatedly said the administration would not “tolerate” a nuclear-armed Iran. But during a news conference on Wednesday, the president went further, saying of Iran: “If you’re interested in avoiding World War III, it seems like you ought to be interested in preventing them from having the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear weapon.”

That distinction — having the knowledge to make a nuclear weapon, as opposed to actually having a weapon — is one the administration has not made in the past. David Makovsky, a senior fellow at the Washington Institute who moderated a panel discussion before and after Mr. Cheney’s speech, said the vice president also seemed to draw a new red line when, instead of saying it is “not acceptable” for Iran to have a nuclear weapon, he said the world “will not allow” it.

“The first is a condition,” Mr. Makovsky said. “The second is a commitment.”

In an interview on Friday, the new chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Adm. Mike Mullen, made it clear that he thought immediate attacks inside Iran would be a bad idea, while warning Tehran not to “mistake restraint for lack of commitment or lack of concern or lack of capability.”

The United Nations Security Council has already imposed sanctions on Iran and called on the government in Tehran to abandon its program to enrich uranium, and Iran has defied those sanctions. Now the United States is beginning to examine even tougher economic penalties, including a far broader cutoff of bank lending and technology to Iran than in the past.

Since 2005, Iran has taken a two-pronged approach toward the West, allowing its chief negotiator, Ali Larijani, to engage in talks with Europe and the International Atomic Energy Agency while the country’s president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, says there is no room to negotiate. Mr. Larijani has been viewed as more moderate than Mr. Ahmadinejad. Mr. Larijani resigned Saturday and is being replaced by more of a hard-liner.

The Bush administration, for its part, seems to be making an appeal directly to the Iranian people in the hope that they will rise up against the Ahmadinejad government. The White House wants to avoid any perception that it would use military force to bring about a change in government but has made clear that it would be only too happy if the Iranians brought it about themselves.

Mr. Bush said Wednesday that he intended to continue to pursue a policy of isolating Iran with the hope that “at some point in time, somebody else shows up and says it’s not worth the isolation.”

Mr. Cheney echoed that theme. “The spirit of freedom is stirring in Iran,” he said, adding, “America looks forward to the day when Iranians reclaim their destiny, the day that our two countries, as free and democratic nations, can be the closest of friends.”

Published in: on October 22, 2007 at 9:14 pm Comments (17)

CE Week #8: “Can the Democratic Party ignore Florida’s primary?”

Florida Democrats filed suit against the national party for imposing sanctions against the state for its early primary.

By Ariel Sabar | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor

 

WASHINGTON

Does a national political party have to count every vote in choosing its nominee for president? Or can it enforce its rules in a way that leaves some voters ­– or even an entire state – out of the process? Those questions are at the heart of a lawsuit unfolding in Florida that is the latest volley between states and the national parties over the scrambled primary calendar.

The lawsuit, filed this month by Florida’s leaders in Congress, accuses the Democratic National Committee and state officials with the unconstitutional and “wholesale disenfranchisement” of Florida’s 4 million Democratic voters.

The plaintiffs want the US District Court in Tallahassee, Fla., to undo the DNC’s sanctions against Florida for its early primary date. Those sanctions stripped Florida of all its delegates to the 2008 Democratic convention, where the national delegate count determines the party’s White House nominee.

Without delegates, the lawsuit alleges, the results of Florida’s Jan. 29 primary will be moot, denying a voice to all of the state’s Democratic voters – and particularly its blacks, who disproportionately vote Democratic.

Experts in election law say the lawsuit faces significant hurdles, mainly because courts have given political parties wide leeway to set rules for primaries. In landmark cases in Wisconsin in 1981 and Illinois in 1975, the US Supreme Court effectively said that party rules trump state law in the selection of nominees.

Florida lawsuit claims

Still, precedent is relatively scarce. And some experts say a few of the Florida suit’s claims – particularly those alleging racial bias under the Voting Rights Act – may be novel enough to draw a judge’s eye. The suit also takes an unusual tack in naming as defendants not just the national party but state government, which courts would be likely to hold to a higher standard than a party alone, experts say.

The lawsuit says the Republican-led legislature and GOP Gov. Charlie Crist moved the primary from its traditional March date to January after the DNC had announced the penalties for setting primaries before Feb. 5, a window reserved under Democratic rules for Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina.

“A suit against the state is on stronger ground than a suit against the party,” says Guy-Uriel Charles, an election law specialist and co-dean of the University of Minnesota Law School. “Because one might say that the state moved the primary up specifically to deprive these voters of their rights.”

That is a claim Florida officials flatly deny. The legislature, with the governor’s support, did vote this spring to move the primaries – Democratic and Republican – to Jan. 29. But after Democratic amendments to set a Feb. 5 primary failed, nearly every Democratic lawmaker joined the Republican majority in favor of the Jan. 29 date.

Several Democrats invoked the same reason as Republicans: to give the nation’s fourth most populous state a bigger role in the nominating process.

“Moving the primary up earlier puts Florida center stage,” Anthony DeLuise, a spokesman for the governor, said in a phone interview. He said that Governor Crist has declared his support for the lawsuit, which was filed by Sen. Bill Nelson and Rep. Alcee Hastings, Democrats of Florida, in their capacity as delegates to the convention, and by Janet Taylor, an African-American county commissioner and possible delegate.

“It’s the national Democratic Party” – not Florida – “that is unfairly punishing Democratic voters,” Mr. DeLuise said.

A DNC spokeswoman, Karen Finney, said the Democratic Party was on firm ground to disregard contests that run afoul of party rules. “The DNC has the absolute legal right to treat the state-run primary as a mere beauty contest,” she said in an e-mail interview.

Earlier this month, a federal judge in Tampa seemed to second that view in throwing out a somewhat similar lawsuit over the DNC sanctions. “The Supreme Court has consistently recognized that national political parties have a constitutionally protected right to manage and conduct their own internal affairs, including the enforcement of delegate selection rules and the decision as to which state delegates it will recognize,” Judge Richard Lazzara wrote.

Citing the First Amendment right to free association, courts tend to treat political parties as private bodies, much as they might a parade organization, which is free to decide who may march.

Kendall Coffey, a Miami lawyer for the Florida plaintiffs, sought in an interview to distinguish his case from such rulings. In those cases, he said, parties had compelling reasons to exclude some voters. In the 1981 Wisconsin case, for instance, the Supreme Court ruled that the DNC could ignore that primary because Republicans and other non-Democrats were permitted to participate, a violation of Democratic Party rules.

Limiting a party primary to members of that party is rational, he said. But in the Florida case, Mr. Coffey asserts, the DNC’s reasons – to protect the traditional roles of a few early-voting states – are too weak to justify what the lawsuit calls “disenfranchisement on a massive scale” of that party’s own members.

“It’s one thing if you have a reasonable basis for making minor adjustments based on the goals of the Democratic Party,” he said. “But it’s completely different to say all 4 million-plus votes count for zero.”

Because party primaries are often run and financed by government, courts have set some limits. In a series of rulings from the 1920s to 1950s known as the “white primary cases,” for instance, the Supreme Court banned racial restrictions on who could vote.

Lawsuit’s potential impact

If even parts of the Florida suit are successful, experts say, it could have far-reaching implications for the balance of power between states and the parties over the primary calendar. “Depending on how any injunction is crafted, parties could potentially lose some of their ability to regulate the primary process,” said Michael Kang, an election law specialist at the Emory University School of Law.

The defendants – the DNC, its chairman Howard Dean, and Florida Secretary of State Kurt Browning – have 20 days to file an answer to the lawsuit. It is unclear when a judge might rule.

The dispute has particular resonance in Florida, the site of the disputed 2000 presidential election, decided by the Supreme Court in favor of George W. Bush, the Republican, over Al Gore, the Democrat. The lawsuit calls the DNC sanctions a “monumental irony”: “In the annals of modern politics, no national party has inflicted so devastating and sweeping a ‘geographic discrimination’ ” against its own members.

The strong language suggests to some election-law specialists that the suit is as much a political exercise as a legal one.

“Fundamentally, lawsuits like this are about shaming the national political party into counting the votes,” said Nathaniel Persily, a Columbia University law professor who reviewed an early draft of the lawsuit but is not involved with the case. “It seems inconceivable to me that the Democratic convention will lock its doors and leave the Florida delegation outside.”

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CE Week #8: “On the Fence: A Voter’s Guide To the 2008 Election”

By Mark Halperin

We know. Baseball playoffs have only just begun. You’ve barely thought about Thanksgiving, yet it’s time to start figuring out whom to support for President. The recent announcement that Iowa voters plan to caucus while college-football bowl games are still being played in the first week of January just increases the odds that party nominees may be selected before most of the country has even tuned in. That’s a problem, with the stakes so high in a country unsettled by war and so many untested–and still unfamiliar–candidates. A recent Time poll shows Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton leading their respective competitors nationally, but the race is still wide open. Bill Clinton has described campaigning for President as a job interview, with an application process consisting of unrelenting media scrutiny and a grueling coast-to-coast gauntlet of events and debates. Here we present the top-tier finalists for the job.

Go to the AP GO PO website under 2008 Presidential Race. Open the 2008 Voter’s Guide to get the rest of the details on this article.

Published in: on October 21, 2007 at 11:38 am Comments (4)

CE Week #8: “Does Merle Haggard Speak for America?”

By Joe Klein

Merle Haggard has always had his guitar hardwired to the gutbucket pulse of Middle America. Back in the Vietnam era, he seemed the essence of a historic political migration: white males fleeing the feminized, antiwar, politically correct Democratic Party. He was your basic Reagan Democrat, fully loaded with a resonant, iron-edged voice and the ability to write razor lyrics that stuck in the mind and the craw. His brilliant anthem–Okie from Muskogee–became a rallying cry for those who were disgusted by the “hippies out in San Francisco” smoking marijuana and burning draft cards. His next patriotic volley had this chorus: “When they’re runnin’ down my country, man, you’re walkin’ on the fightin’ side of me.” And so when I heard that Haggard had written a song endorsing Hillary Clinton for President, which you can hear him sing on Time.com I was more than curious about the motivation for his apparent left turn. And Merle let me know that he was more than happy to talk politics, given that he has a new album, The Bluegrass Sessions, which seems a political and musical return to his family’s Okie and New Deal Democratic roots.

He picked me up at the Holiday Inn in Redding, Calif., a wizened guy in a black T shirt and jeans driving a politically incorrect white Hummer. “Believe it or not, this is a pretty nice little town,” he said as we headed out to his ranch, past a bleak, unending landscape of big-box stores that brought to mind a recent Haggard lyric: “Everything Wal-Mart all the time, no more mom and pop five and dimes … What happened, where did America go?” A vague populist annoyance with big stores and big shots is one of the themes that have led Haggard to “change labels,” as he told me with a laugh. “The folks don’t have a say-so anymore. They’re being force-fed–music, yeah, but every other darn thing too. I supported George W. I’m not exactly a liberal. But I know how that Texas thing works, who those oil folks are and what they wanted in Iraq … I’m a born-again Christian too, but the longer I live, the more afraid I get of some of these religious groups that have so much influence on the Republicans and want to tell us how to live our lives.”

But Haggard’s greatest complaint is a matter of pride–and pride, in his hardscrabble past and his country, has always been his favorite song. “The thing that gets under my skin most about George W. is his intention to install fear in people,” he said, after walking me down a hallway lined with gold and platinum records. “This is America. We’re proud. We’re not afraid of a bunch of terrorists. But this government is all about terror alerts and scaring us at airports. We’re changing the Constitution out of fear. We spend all our time looking up each other’s dresses. Fear’s the only issue the Republican Party has. Vote for them, or the terrorists will win. That’s not what Reagan was about. I hate to think about our soldiers over in Iraq fighting for a country that’s slipping away.”

So, the question: Is Merle Haggard indicative of a larger movement among his white male country brethren? This is a key to the next election, the subject of a new book by David Paul Kuhn, The Neglected Voter: White Men and the Democratic Dilemma. Kuhn accurately links the Republican dominance of the past 40 years to the loss of the Haggard vote. The percentage of white males identifying themselves as Democrats has declined from 47% in 1952 to about 25% in 2004. Much of that decline was an unavoidable consequence of two honorable positions the party took in the 1960s: in favor of civil rights and against the war in Vietnam. But civil rights slid into special preferences (for everyone, it seemed, but white men), and Vietnam slouched, all too often, into reflexive pacifism and a distrust of the military. Is it possible now, with the Republicans diving into foolish militarism and the indulgence of Thou-shalt-not killjoys, that Reagan Democrats might be tempted to come home?

They will have to be wooed, of course. Kuhn wisely suggests a ploy similar to John Kennedy’s in 1960: Make the argument that we’re weaker because of the Republicans.

But there is also a matter of style, of political correctness. Haggard sensed a certain reluctance among the Hillarians to embrace his endorsement–in part, I imagine, because he’s not shy about saying that one of the biggest things Hillary has going for her is Bill, who ranks up with Reagan in the Haggard pantheon and not only because the former President used to have a pickup truck with Astroturf in the back. “He cared about this country, about our problems,” Haggard said, with a twinkle. “And I figure that whatever she doesn’t know, he does.”

Published in: on at 11:23 am Comments (1)

CE Week #8: “The Incredibly Shrinking Court”

By David Von Drehle

Once a year, as another December gives way to a chill January, Chief Justice John Roberts rereads a poem published in 1749 by the great writer, moralist and late-night conversationalist Samuel Johnson. Roberts began the ritual in the 1970s as an undergraduate at Harvard, where he was one of many students taught to revere Johnson by the master biographer Walter Jackson Bate.

It is an odd pairing, not least because Roberts comes off as upbeat as a roomful of Rotarians, while Johnson, despite his vast accomplishments–including singlehandedly compiling the first comprehensive dictionary of the English language–was haunted by the inevitability of disappointment. The poem, “The Vanity of Human Wishes,” is a devastating reflection on remorseless fate. “Life protracted is protracted Woe,” the poet says.

Roberts, by all appearances, is fate’s darling: wealthy, handsome, at the pinnacle of his profession. Having recovered from a strange but evidently benign seizure this summer at his vacation home in Maine, the young chief no doubt sees protracted life as pretty good. (At 52, Roberts is 35 years younger than the court’s oldest Justice, John Paul Stevens, and is surely the first Chief Justice whose schedule has included back-to-school night at his children’s grade school.) His combination of keen intelligence and undeniable charm is such that another of his college professors, the liberal lion Laurence Tribe, continues to extol Roberts’ “wisdom” even as he laments the conservative course the Roberts court has taken.

So picture the chief at New Year’s–this man who has it made, settled into his comfortable chair in his big house in the wealthy Washington suburb of Chevy Chase, Md. He’s reading, maybe for the 30th or 35th time, this intricate, almost overwhelming poem about how nothing in this world can be counted on to turn out right. What’s the meaning of this annual discipline? Perhaps that the conservatism of John Roberts goes much deeper than mere politics. That he favors authority and tradition while distrusting reforms and revolutions because he believes in the ancient notion that it is human nature to screw things up. The image of the Supreme Court as a great righter of wrongs, ingrained among liberals by the stirring cases of the Warren Court–school desegregation; one man, one vote; right to counsel; and so on–has no power over a judge so rooted in the conservatism of the 18th century, of Samuel Johnson and Edmund Burke, a mind-set always focused on the fact that even well-intended changes often go awry.

In which case, no one should be surprised that Roberts has turned out to be an uncompromising conservative on a court split 4 to 4 on ideology, with a fifth conservative, Justice Anthony Kennedy, deciding case after case according to his own self-dramatizing muse. When Roberts was picked to be the nation’s 17th Chief Justice, he talked a great deal about the need for the fractious court to find more coherence and common ground, to wage fewer ideological spats on the pages of unnecessary separate opinions. Some wondered if this was an offer on his part to split the difference between the rival camps, but no one wonders anymore. In two terms, Roberts has not taken a single position on a high-profile case that you would not expect a darling of the conservative Federalist Society to take.

Republican Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania, chairman of the Judiciary Committee in 2005, when Roberts was confirmed, was so annoyed by some of the Chief Justice’s opinions last term that he threatened to investigate whether Roberts had misled the panel. But Roberts has told friends he stands by every word. He wasn’t talking about compromising on ideological principles, he explains. He was talking about conducting disputes and expressing outcomes in the voice of a durable institution–not as nine voices of nine headstrong pundits.

So much for human wishes. Roberts, of all people, ought to have been more circumspect in trumpeting his plans to reform the vociferous court. His ambitions have so far been in vain. The warring factions of the Roberts court–and their pocked and smoking battlefields–have made his talk of self-effacing harmony seem obsolete. After a brief honeymoon of unanimous opinions in obscure cases, it is the same four Justices on the right and the same four on the left in one high-profile case after another, with Kennedy determining the law. Bombast, rhetorical excess and dueling opinions are thick as Pompeian ash.

Yet there is something strange about all this heat and division. As the dust rises and the opinions, concurrences and dissents pile up, the court turns its attention to ever smaller cases related to ever narrower points of law. There is, it seems, an inverse relationship between the passions expressed in judicial writings and the import of the cases that inspire them. In the midst of these battles, no one seems to have noticed that the stakes have diminished. This trend–a steady shrinking of the judicial role in public policy and a handing over of issues to the states–is consistent with Roberts’ conservative philosophy. And it points to an obvious question about the highest court in the land. How much does the Supreme Court matter anymore?

The Incredible Shrinking Court

The irony is that the Court’s ideology is playing a dwindling role in the lives of Americans. The familiar hot-button controversies–abortion, affirmative action, the death penalty, police powers and so on–have been around so long, sifted and resifted so many times, that they now arrive at the court in highly specific cases affecting few, if any, real people. And it’s not clear that Roberts wants to alter that trend. His speeches on the judicial role suggest a man more interested in the steady retreat of the court from public policy than in a right-wing revolution. Unless the Roberts court umpires another disputed presidential election (à la Bush v. Gore in 2000–a long shot, to say the least), the left-right division will matter mainly in the realm of theories and rhetoric, dear to the hearts of law professors and political activists but remote from day-to-day existence. What once was salient is now mostly symbolic.

For example, in 1954 the Supreme Court decided a set of cases challenging racial segregation of schools. Brown v. Board of Education changed the lives of millions, beginning with the students in the affected school districts and radiating throughout the country. Compare that with the race-and-schools cases decided by the Roberts court last term, which affected at most a few hundred students.

In 1973 Roe v. Wade dramatically altered the abortion options of most American women. By contrast, the abortion case decided last term staked out an equivocal position on a specific procedure that, according to abortion-rights advocates, is rarely used.

A single death-penalty decision, Furman v. Georgia, in 1972 struck down more than 30 state laws and spared some 600 prisoners. This year the Roberts court will hear a case asking whether death is an excessive punishment for the rapist of a child. There is only one such prisoner on death row in the U.S.

Of course, symbols matter. Court cases dealing with Executive power over Guantánamo detainees will directly affect relatively few people, but such cases help strike the philosophical balance between security and human rights that is relevant to the entire nation and to America’s place in the world. As Harvard professor Frederick Schauer pointed out in an influential recent law-review article, however, “most of the court’s agenda lies some distance from the nation’s.” Compounding this is the fact that the court is tackling fewer cases than at any other time in the past half-century. Last term’s output of just 68 decisions was the lowest since 1953. Court watchers and even the Justices themselves aren’t sure why the docket is so small. Nor do the Justices have a plan for picking up the pace. The U.S. is the world’s most litigious society, but our lawsuits aren’t sexy enough to interest the Justices of the Roberts Court. We’re not that into them, and they’re not that into us.

The Dryest Court in the Land

John Roberts not only has an abiding philosophy, but he also has a temperament. He is a technocrat of appellate law and a groupie of Supreme Court culture. He clerked for the late Chief Justice William Rehnquist and became one of the most prominent members of the Supreme Court bar as head of appellate practice at the law firm Hogan & Hartson. Roberts argued 39 cases before the court–which meant studying the personalities of Justices to whom he would direct his arguments and identifying the questions that might pique their intellectual fancy.

This makes him a perfect representative of a highly technocratic and specialized court. The Roberts Court exemplifies a striking change in the anthropology of the high tribunal. For much of the institution’s history, Justices arrived from diverse backgrounds. Some were distinguished lawyers in private practice, such as Louis Brandeis and Lewis Powell. Some were presidential advisers–like Roger Taney, James Byrnes and Abe Fortas. Dwight Eisenhower put Earl Warren in the job after the then Governor locked up California for Ike in 1952. There have been relatively obscure state-court judges like William Brennan and Sandra Day O’Connor, law professors like Felix Frankfurter and even a former President, William Howard Taft. On the court that decided Brown, only one Justice had come up from the federal courts.

Today’s court includes a woman and an African American, but in other ways it is far less diverse than in the past. All the Justices were promoted from the federal courts of appeals. Most of them have backgrounds as law-school professors or as veterans of the intellectual realms of the Justice Department–the Solicitor General’s office or the élite Office of Legal Counsel.

That these Justices so often find their attention captured by discrete cases that pirouette on a narrow point of law suits their shared temperament. They are like priests, schooled from an early age in the orthodoxies, mysteries and controversies of the constitutional faith. Many of them have been enfolded from an early age in the ideological apparatus of the right or the left. As young Justice Department lawyers in the early days of Ronald Reagan, Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito played on the same volleyball team, and both men were quickly marked for big things and nurtured for the bench. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s cocoon was the American Civil Liberties Union. Stephen Breyer’s inculcation came on Senator Edward Kennedy’s Judiciary Committee staff.

An ordinary citizen visiting the court on an oral-argument day is likely to feel as though she has wandered into a Vatican conference room filled with adepts in Augustinian theology debating arcane questions in hurried Latin. The Justices are scarlet-capped cardinals; the law clerks are the brilliant new seminary graduates, their razor minds undulled by actual experience; the lawyers at the dais are the theologians commissioned to assist in plumbing the sacred texts.

The Gloves Come Off

Opposite Roberts’ desk in his paneled chambers is a door that leads to the Supreme Court conference room, where in order of seniority the Justices discuss cases. It is a small space for such robust egos and large minds, but by all accounts, the exchanges are unfailingly cordial.

But if the Justices are polite in conference, the muzzles come off when they set pen to paper. For many years, the sharpest tongue on the Supreme Court belonged to Justice Antonin Scalia, whose stinging, highly quotable and sometimes quite personal dissents made him a hero to conservatives back when they weren’t winning all the time. Now that they are, his operatic style has spread. You never know anymore, as you read an opinion, when the case law is going to give way to aggrieved wailings and self-righteous asides. Even Roberts, whose opinions are characterized by clear prose and occasional sports analogies, has been known to indulge from time to time.

Take the schools case from the 2006-07 term. On June 28, as the term was ending in a burst of 5-to-4 decisions, the court ruled on a controversy involving public schools in Seattle and Jefferson County, Ky. Parents had sued to end policies that classified children by race and–occasionally–used this data in determining which school students would attend. The goal of the programs was to make schools racially diverse even if neighborhoods were not.

The court has been deciding cases in this realm since before Roberts was born. As you might expect, given all that history, the unresolved issues were rather narrow. Author Richard Kluger once wrote of Brown, “Probably no case ever to come before the nation’s highest tribunal affected more directly the minds, hearts and daily lives of so many Americans.” All these years later, the Seattle and Kentucky cases affected “a few handfuls” of students in Seattle, according to lower court findings, and fewer than 1 out of 20 school assignments in Jefferson County.

Apparently, firing a popgun requires a lot more rhetoric than loosing a thunderclap. The unanimous court in Brown needed just 14 calmly crafted pages to deliver its ruling. The Roberts Court devoted 178 pages, in five separate opinions, to its narrow resolution of the smaller questions. And what did the Justices say in all those pages? Little, if anything, new. As the Rehnquist Court held in 2003, schools may not use simple racial classifications as the determining factor for admitting students. Administrators in Seattle and Jefferson County were advised to find more nuanced ways to achieve diversity.

The opinions in the case featured page after page of rich and exhaustive legal reasoning, befitting the intellectually dazzling court. Justice Clarence Thomas reiterated his often expressed opposition to affirmative action of all kinds, this time in 36 pages. Justice Stevens delivered a relatively terse ad hominem attack on the majority and offered his nonbinding belief that “no Member of the Court that I joined in 1975 would have agreed with today’s decision.” (The other eight are dead, so this couldn’t be confirmed.) Kennedy offered an airy critique of both sides of the argument.

Meanwhile, Roberts and Breyer churned out the lion’s share of the verbiage, writing for and against the court’s ruling. Each strove to wrap the case in the lustrous legacy of Brown. “Before Brown,” Roberts intoned, “schoolchildren were told where they could and could not go to school based on the color of their skin,” and now these schools are doing the same. Not true, countered Breyer. Indeed, “to invalidate” those policies “is to threaten the promise of Brown,” he warned.

The inescapable conclusion, for anyone with the fortitude to read the entire tome, was that each faction of the court wanted the public to believe that the other side was soft on racism and imperiling one of the monuments of American justice. All based on a case that broke little new ground and affected few, if any, people.

A sense of proportion is among the defining qualities of a judge. Yet the Roberts Court so far is better known for making symbolic mountains out of real-life molehills. Roberts’ first written dissent, published six months after he joined the court, seemed to accuse the majority of making the world safe for wife beaters. The case at hand dealt with a fillip in the vast edifice of Fourth Amendment law governing police searches. To wit: What if a husband and wife are together at their home and the wife invites the police in to search for her husband’s drug paraphernalia but the husband says no? Is the consent of just one spouse sufficient? Previous courts had handled the slightly different instance in which one spouse is sleeping, as well as the slightly different instance in which the wife gets the drug paraphernalia and hands it to the police. This case simply resolved the small number of instances in which both Bickersons are at the door together.

That this is an intriguing philosophical puzzle was evident from the opinions–six of them–totaling 48 pages. In places, they read like the midnight bull session of the world’s smartest law students. But when Roberts warned that the decision would effectively seal battered women in their homes with the police locked outside, he sent Breyer and Justice David Souter to their keyboards to write yet more pages establishing the long settled fact that police are allowed to enter a home to stop domestic violence, with or without consent.

Even soft-spoken Ginsburg belted out an aria last term. The decision to uphold a federal ban on so-called partial-birth abortions provoked a speculative outburst from the legendary women’s rights advocate. The ban, she declared from the bench, “and the court’s defense of it cannot be understood as anything other than an effort to chip away at a right declared again and again by this Court–and with increasing comprehension of its centrality to women’s lives.” Someday we’ll know whether the right to abortion will be chipped to nothing by the Roberts Court–or whether, as some legal theorists predict, the issue fades away with the arrival of further advances in contraception. As for the actual decision that provoked Ginsburg, it’s a stretch to think that it will be central to the lives of women.

Heartfelt disputes have been a part of the court forever, but that doesn’t mean the Justices have always treated one another this way. When Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. famously dissented from the Supreme Court’s 1905 ruling rendering governments nearly powerless to regulate working conditions–for decades one of the most consequential cases in history–he needed just three paragraphs to say his piece. He was piercing but entirely civil and expressed sadness that he felt compelled to write at all: “I regret sincerely that I am unable to agree with the judgment in this case.”

Benjamin Wittes, a fellow at the Brookings Institution, is among the court watchers distressed by the bellicose tone of some recent decisions. He points to the once rancorous Washington Circuit Court of Appeals as an example of an ideologically divided panel that has managed to find its way back to civility. “It’s not clear yet if John Roberts understands that that achievement requires the judges to give something up,” Wittes says. “Namely, excess rhetoric.” Even some Justices express concern on occasion. The newest of the nine, Alito, has confided that he finds the rhetoric dismaying, and he recently noted during a question-and-answer session at Pepperdine School of Law that it can be almost impossible to slip in a question among all the speechifying by his colleagues during oral argument.

Heading into the Second Inning

The Chief Justice has been encouraging people not to make too much of the court’s divisions. A lifelong baseball fan, he turns again to a sports analogy. A single term in the life of the court, he likes to say, is like a single at bat in a baseball game.

But with voting rights, the death penalty, Guantánamo detainees and, in all likelihood, gun control on the docket this term, there will be plenty of fuel to heat up the rhetoric again. The question is whether Roberts and his colleagues will put away their matches.

No one knows better than Roberts how difficult this will be. Many of these Justices seem to seek the spotlight–the hotter, the better. Thomas’ headline-making memoir, thick with grievances, drowns out the substantive work of the court. Other Justices prefer to give speeches, barely disguised as questions, from the bench or to jet around the globe to conferences and panel discussions.

As a clerk for Rehnquist in 1980, Roberts was assigned to conduct research for an article on the power of a Chief Justice to set the court’s tone. He found an essay in which Frankfurter scoffed at the very notion. Every Justice “is his own sovereign,” Frankfurter wrote; you can’t expect Justices to get along just because a new chief smiles at them. Rehnquist’s article concurred.

A quarter-century later, John Roberts still wants to believe that something more is possible. A Chief Justice ought to aspire to persuade his colleagues “to be open to the considered views of the others,” as he explained in a 2006 speech at Georgetown University. Roberts added, “There will, of course, be divisions on the court, and those cannot and should not be artificially suppressed.” Still, “working toward broader agreement should be one of [the] shared aims” of all Justices.

It should be–but so far, it isn’t. That’s the story of the Roberts Court, a tale of the gap between should be and is.

With reporting by Text by Jeninne Lee-St. John

Published in: on at 11:20 am Comments (0)

CE Week #8: “Clinton’s rivals cite electability”

Some say candidacy will energize GOP

Related stories

Elections – Presidential

Jill Zuckman
Chicago Tribune
October 21, 2007

WHEAT RIDGE, Colo. – Steve Valdez, a retired high school history teacher, is keeping an eye on the presidential campaign and wondering about Sen. Hillary Clinton’s chances.

“Is history ready?” asks Valdez, an independent voter, unsure whether voters will embrace the former first lady for president.

With Clinton consolidating her lead over Sen. Barack Obama and former Sen. John Edwards, her Democratic rivals are increasingly questioning her ability to win the White House in a general election. They say her polarizing persona will keep her from defeating a Republican, hoping the seeds of doubt they plant now will cause voters to look their way come primary or caucus day.

Ever since Clinton stepped onto the presidential stage with her husband, she has been a lightning rod on the right and sometimes the left. She offended some women when she defended her decision to work, saying, “I suppose I could have stayed home and baked cookies and had teas.” She raised eyebrows when the public learned she had turned $1,000 into $100,000 from cattle futures trading. And she became a political target when she tried to overhaul the health care system with closed-door meetings.

 

Her opponents argue that Clinton engenders such hostile feelings that she will energize Republicans against her and other Democratic candidates, particularly in swing states such as Colorado. Already, the Republican National Committee is taking aim at Clinton multiple times a day while virtually ignoring her rivals.

The question of electability is often tied up in a candidate’s likability, and in Clinton’s case it could also be an alternative way of asking whether a woman can be elected president. It is a loosely defined but fundamentally important part of the formula for a winning candidate.

“I think there’s no doubt that she carries some significant baggage,” said David Axelrod, Obama’s chief strategist, adding that her high negative ratings would only get worse in a general election. “I guess water sometimes runs upstream, but the history of presidential politics is not that people go in and reduce their unfavorables. That’s not the way it works.”

David Bonior, Edwards’ campaign manager, said Republicans will “unload on her” in a general election, dredging up “the personal stuff.”

“There are just a lot of local state officials and activists who are very nervous about having her at the head of the ticket,” Bonior said. “They think she will be the catalyst to unite the Republican Party with great fervor, they believe she will be a tremendous drag on the ticket and that we will forfeit the opportunity to make gains in the Congress, state legislatures and gubernatorial seats.”

However, Clinton campaign officials say Obama and Edwards are losing the so-called electability argument, as poll after poll shows the New York senator beating not just them, but each of the Republican candidates.

A new Gallup poll shows 50 percent of Democrats support Clinton, compared to just 21 percent for Obama and 13 percent for Edwards. A CNN poll finds 45 percent of voters believe she is most likely to win the general election – far more than any other candidate. And the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute shows Clinton beating each of the Republican candidates in the key battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

“I think you’re seeing a higher level of frustration and desperation,” said Mark Penn, Clinton’s chief strategist, of Obama and Edwards.

How Clinton would fare next November is an open question here in Colorado, a state that denied John Kerry a win in 2004 while handing Democrats victories in a string of recent congressional, legislative and gubernatorial races.

Pat Waak, the Colorado Democratic chairwoman, is optimistic that any of the Democratic candidates can carry the state, noting that Republicans’ numerical advantage over Democrats has dropped 25 percent over the last three years and unaffiliated voters seem frustrated with the status quo.

“What I hear from (Republicans) is their disenchantment with the war in Iraq, the budget deficit and the feeling that their party has been taken away from them by extremists,” she said.

Dick Wadhams, on the other hand, said he can hardly wait for Clinton to win the nomination. The state Republican chairman believes Clinton will harm the chances of Rep. Mark Udall, D-Colo., who is running for Senate.

“I think she’s going to be an albatross to any Democratic candidate in Colorado in a competitive seat,” Wadhams said. “I’m looking forward to Hillary Clinton being nominated president of the United States in downtown Denver in August 2008 with Mark Udall standing by her side and every (Democratic) candidate for the Legislature saying, ‘Why on Earth did we bring this convention to Colorado?’ “

Published in: on at 11:10 am Comments (9)

CE Week #8: “Giuliani pushes for ‘values voters’”

Romney, Huckabee win multimedia poll

Straw poll results

Results of a straw poll of “values voters” conducted Saturday by the conservative Family Research Council.

Mitt Romney, 27.6 percent

Mike Huckabee, 27.2 percent

Ron Paul, 15 percent

Fred Thompson, 9.8 percent

Undecided, 5.7 percent

Sam Brownback, 5.1 percent

Duncan Hunter, 2.4 percent

Tom Tancredo, 2.3 percent

Rudy Giuliani, 1.9 percent

John McCain, 1.4 percent

All Democrats combined, less than 1 percent

Related stories

Elections – Presidential

Jim Kuhnhenn
Associated Press
October 21, 2007

WASHINGTON – Rudy Giuliani tried to find peace Saturday with a restless bloc of the Republican Party, telling religious conservatives not to fear him for his stand on issues such as abortion or expect he would change purely for political advantage.

The GOP presidential candidate won praise for simply showing up before an audience that has been casting about for the best social conservative in the Republican field. But former governors Mitt Romney, of Massachusetts, and Mike Huckabee, of Arkansas, shared the limelight with the former New York mayor, handily winning the top two spots in a straw poll of “values voters” conducted by the conservative Family Research Council.

Giuliani sought common ground with Christian conservatives by casting himself as an imperfect man who has asked for guidance through prayer. He recalled crossing himself during his first day of law school after 16 years of attending Catholic schools.

He offered assurances that despite his support for abortion rights, he would seek to lower the number of abortions. He pledged that if elected, he would appoint conservative judges, support school choice and insist on victory in Iraq – all issues important to the audience at the Values Voter Summit.

 

The straw poll, conducted online and at the conference, placed Giuliani in eighth place, second to last. The top vote-getter was Romney, who unlike Giuliani, worked actively to encourage supporters to vote for him. Huckabee was close behind, but won overwhelmingly among voters who cast the ballots onsite at the event.

In a 40-minute speech that drew respectful applause, Giuliani invoked, as he often does, Ronald Reagan’s admonition that “my 80 percent friend is not my 20 percent enemy.”

“My belief in God and reliance on his guidance is at the core of who I am, I can assure you of that,” Giuliani said. “But isn’t it better for me to tell you what I believe rather than change my positions to fit the prevailing wind?”

It was among his better received lines.

“He won simply by coming,” said Tony Perkins, the president of the Family Research Council, which sponsored the three-day conference. “He helped himself; he certainly didn’t lose any ground.”

But his reception was in stark contrast to the ovations for Huckabee, a one-time Baptist preacher who is a sentimental favorite of many religious conservatives.

Huckabee mixed humor, biblical references and the rhythms of a man used to the pulpit as he implored the crowd to put values above politics and not make expedient decisions.

He called for a constitutional amendment declaring marriage to be between a man and a woman and decried the “holocaust of liberalized abortion.”

“We do not have the right to move the standards of God to meet cultural norms. We need to move the cultural norms to meet God’s standards,” he said, bringing the crowd to its feet.

Their GOP rivals, in speeches Friday, courted the conservative religious voters, who have a tradition of influence in elections.

Romney has been assiduously courting social conservatives, trying to erase doubts over his Mormon faith and his past support of abortion rights.

Giuliani’s speech was an important milestone in his search for the Republican presidential nomination. He supports abortion rights and has moderate views on immigration and gay rights. Married three times and distanced from his son and daughter, Giuliani made a rare reference to his personal troubles.

“You and I know that I’m not a perfect person,” he said. “I’ve made mistakes in my life, but I’ve always done the best that I could to learn from them.”

His front-runner status in the crowded GOP 2008 field has dismayed some social conservative leaders. Some even have contemplated supporting a third-party candidate if Giuliani is the Republican nominee.

“People of good conscience reach different conclusions about whether abortions should be legal in certain circumstances,” Giuliani said while vowing to increase adoptions.

“We may not always agree,” he said. “I don’t always agree with myself. But I will give you reason to trust me.”

Giuliani did not mention the subject of gay marriage in his remarks. Gary Bauer, a Christian activist and former presidential candidate, said Giuliani should have addressed the issue. But, he added, Giuliani helped himself by offering assurances on other fronts.

Published in: on at 11:09 am Comments (4)

CE Week #8: “An Inconvenient Price”

 

Want to eliminate what otherwise will soon be the world’s second leading cause of death? Impose a global speed limit of 5mph.

By George F. Will

NEWSWEEK

Updated: 3:30 PM ET Oct 13, 2007

Economics is “the dismal science,” in part because it puts a price tag on the pleasure of moralizing. This is pertinent to the crusade, often masquerading as journalism, aimed at hectoring developed nations into taking “strong” actions against global warming. For such nations (developing nations have more pressing priorities), the question, plainly put, is: How much are they willing to pay—in direct expenditures, forgone economic growth, inefficiencies and constricted freedom—in order to have a negligible effect on climate change?

Zealots say fighting global warming is a moral imperative, so cost-benefit analyses are immoral. Like our Manichaean president, they have a simple fixation: Are you with us or not? But in his book “Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist’s Guide to Global Warming,” the Danish economist Bjorn Lomborg suggests that global warming, although real, is not apt to be severe; that many of its consequences will be beneficial, and that the exorbitant costs of attempting to substantially curtail it would squander resources that, put to other uses, could have effects thousands of times more ameliorative. He offers cautionary calculations:

The warming that is reasonably projected might be problematic, although not devastating, for the much-fretted-about polar bears, but it will be beneficial for other species. The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment anticipates increasing species richness.

Global warming was blamed for 35,000 deaths in Europe’s August 2003 heat wave. Cold, however, has caused 25,000 deaths a year recently in England and Wales—47,000 in each winter from 1998 to 2000. In Europe, cold kills more than seven times as many as heat does. Worldwide, moderate warming will, on balance, save more lives than it will cost—by a 9-to-1 ratio in China and India. So, if substantially cutting carbon dioxide reverses warming, that will mean a large net loss of life globally.

How cool do we want the world to be? As cool as it was when the Arctic ice pack extended so far south that Eskimos in kayaks landed in Scotland? Just cool enough to prevent the oceans from inundating us?

The U.N.’s 2007 report estimates that by 2100, sea levels will rise about a foot—as much as they have risen since 1860. That will mean a number of local problems, not a planetary crisis. More people now live near coasts (which is why hurricanes have become more costly; they have not become more frequent or violent), but protecting people and property from the sea would be far less costly than attempting to turn down the planet’s thermostat.

In an example of what has been called titillating “climate porn,” we have been warned that warming might make malaria endemic in Vermont. Well. Malaria kills more than a million people a year worldwide and was endemic in parts of America’s South within living memory (which is why the Centers for Disease Control are in Atlanta). But Lomborg says malaria is “related strongly to economic development and weakly to changing climate.” Increasing prosperity and low-tech methods like mosquito nets, not controlling climate change, is the key to preventing 85 million malaria deaths by 2100.

Warming will help agriculture in some regions and hurt it in others, but even a net negative effect will be less injurious than current agriculture policies are. The farm bill currently taking odious shape in Congress will be a killer—literally. Rich countries subsidizing their agriculture limit the ability of poor countries to prosper—and become healthier—by selling their products in rich countries’ markets.

Recent loopiness about warming has ranged from the idiotic (an academic study that “associated” warming with increased Italian suicide rates) to the comic (London demonstrators chanting, “What do we want? Carbon taxes! When do we want them? Now!”). Well, you want dramatic effects now? We can eliminate what the World Health Organization says will be, by 2020, second only to heart disease as the world’s leading cause of death.

The cause is traffic accidents. The surefire cure is speed limits of 5mph. In 2008 alone, that would save 1.2 million lives and $500 billion in damages, disproportionately in the Third World, which will be hardest hit by increasing traffic carnage. But a world moving at 5mph would be, over the years, uncountable trillions of dollars poorer, which would cost some huge multiple of 1.2 million lives through forgone nutrition, education, infrastructure—e.g., clean water—medicine, research, etc.

The costs of such global slowing would be the medievalization of the world, so the world accepts the costs of velocity. There also are high costs of what Lomborg calls “impossibly ambitious and yet environmentally inconsequential” plans for inventing a “big knob of climate change” that we can give a twist or two, thereby making the climate “better” and making nothing worse.

Sums that are small relative to the cost of trying to fine-tune the planet’s climate could prevent scores of millions of deaths from AIDS, unsafe drinking water and other clear and present dangers. If nations concert to impose antiwarming measures commensurate with the hyperbole about the danger, the damage to global economic growth could cause in this century more preventable death and suffering than was caused in the last century by Hitler, Stalin, Mao and Pol Pot combined. Nobel Peace Prize, indeed.

Published in: on October 20, 2007 at 10:06 am Comments (1)

CE Week #8: “Dems Are the New Republicans”

 

Democrats are kicking the tar out of their rivals this campaign cycle.

By Daniel Gross

NEWSWEEK

Updated: 3:30 PM ET Oct 13, 2007

Don’t take this the wrong way. But everything you know about the link between business and politics is incorrect. For nearly the entire 20th century, a simple formula held: business people like Republicans and don’t like Democrats. Republican politicians and voters heartily embrace free trade and lower taxes, while Democratic politicians and their constituencies cotton to protectionism and higher taxes. Over the decades, racial, ethnic and geographic realignments altered the shape of the national parties beyond recognition.

But when it came to the wealthy, there was less movement than in the facial muscles of an over-Botoxed newscaster.

Until now. Democrats, who have never out-fund-raised Republicans in the modern political era, are kicking the tar out of their rivals this campaign cycle. Through the first half of this year, Democratic entities—congressional, presidential and party operations—raised $388.8 million, compared with $287.3 million for their Republican counterparts, according to The Wall Street Journal. In the third quarter, the top three Democratic candidates—Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards—raised 50 percent more money than the top four Republicans.

The Democrats’ funds aren’t just coming from enraged readers of DailyKos.com who chip in $20.08 via the Internet. They’re flowing in from people who can afford to throw $4,000 in post-tax income into campaign coffers. You know the Reagan Democrats, NASCAR dads and soccer moms. Now we have the Fed-Up CEOs and the Angry Yuppies.

Back in 2000, George W. Bush called his base “the haves, and the have-mores.” But the have-mores are clearly more receptive to Democrats than they were seven years ago. “It’s a much easier pitch drumming up support this cycle from business people, there’s no question,” says Steve Rattner, founder of the private-equity firm Quadrangle Group, who is a longtime Clinton backer. His take: Fed-Up CEOs are reacting to the bungled war in Iraq, poor fiscal and disaster management, and to conscious outreach efforts by Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

As happens every four years during the primary season, Republican business leaders are rallying around the establishment candidate. This time, however, it’s a Democrat. Morgan Stanley chief executive officer John Mack, who raised more than $200,000 for W’s 2004 campaign, came out for Hillary this spring. James Robinson III, the Atlanta-born banker, former CEO of American Express and co-founder of RRE Ventures, tells NEWSWEEK: “I’ve been a Republican all my life. I believe in fiscal conservatism and being a social moderate.” But this Fed-Up CEO now makes the case for Hillary as effectively as James Carville. “It seems to me she’s the person who has got the broadest experience. She understands the importance of business development, innovation and entrepreneurship,” he says.

The financial and personal endorsements are partially a symptom of the business world’s chronic trendiness. As the noted management guru Bob Dylan once said: “You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.” Wall Street CEOs can read polls as well as they read balance sheets, and they like to be on the winning team. Also, many well-heeled donors give the maximum to several Democratic and Republican candidates—the way you and I might buy a few packages of Girl Scout cookies, and then toss a dollar into the Salvation Army bucket. For hedge-fund managers, maxing out to multiple candidates is a cheap hedge. And plenty of well-known business leaders are sticking with Republicans. Ebay CEO Meg Whitman was the finance co-chair for Mitt Romney’s exploratory committee.

But it’s not just the ultrarich who are abandoning Republicans. CNN’s exit poll last fall showed that voters in the East making between $150,000 and $200,000 favored Democratic candidates by a 63-37 majority. Since 2004, the percentage of professionals identifying themselves as Republicans fell from 44 percent to 37 percent, according to a September Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. The same survey found 59 percent of Republican voters agreed with the statement that free trade has been a negative for the country.

Things have clearly changed. But you wouldn’t know it from the campaigns—on either side. In last week’s Republican economic debate, the leading candidates sang loudly from the GOP hymnal: hailing income inequality as a wonderful product of the free market, and blaming economic woes on lawyers and Democrats.

With the exception of John Edwards, the Democratic candidates and their congressional allies have been loath to embrace measures that would alienate their new friends. The trial balloon floated earlier this month to enact a war income surtax, which would weigh heavily on high earners, was swiftly shot down. Closing the loophole that allows private-equity and hedge-fund managers to pay low long-term capital-gains taxes on the compensation they get for managing other people’s money would be a popular way to pay for Democratic priorities. But last week Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told private-equity lobbyists that Congress would move no such legislation this year.

After all, it’s primary season. And during primary season candidates must shore up their base.

Published in: on at 10:04 am Comments (3)

CE Week #8: “Tough to oppose coach kneeling”

Linda P. Campbell
Fort Worth Star-Telegram
October 20, 2007

The day an ambulance transported a player from a football scrimmage, I prayed he would be all right.

The night the trainer was holding up fingers in front of a dazed defender, I prayed the injury wasn’t major.

And when a tight end was helped to the sideline and then taken to the hospital, I prayed he wouldn’t suffer lasting damage.

There might not be crying in baseball, but there is praying in football.

It’s a violent game. Contested in an emotional atmosphere. By young men who in the best of worlds have bonded with their teammates and their coaches. And people get hurt.

 

So a little head-bowing, a moment of silence, a reminder from the announcer that “it’s just a game” strike me as comforting, not constitutional tinder.

But a New Jersey town has been upended over what separation of church and state means for locker rooms, playing fields and pregame rituals.

Last year, U.S. District Judge Dennis Cavanaugh decided that football coach Marcus Borden, who also teaches Spanish at East Brunswick High School, could take a knee and bow his head during his players’ pregame prayers.

Cavanaugh ruled from the bench that Borden wasn’t leading the prayers – or even really participating in them.

“I agree that an Establishment Clause violation would occur if the coach initiated and led the activity, but I find nothing wrong with remaining silent and bowing one’s head and taking a knee as a sign of respect for his players’ actions and traditions, nor do I believe would a reasonable observer,” wrote Cavanaugh, who was appointed to the bench in 2000 by President Clinton.

(Read a transcript at www.thnt.com/assets/html/ B535522726.HTM.)

If only it were so simple.

For most of his 24 years at East Brunswick, Borden perpetuated the “tradition” by appointing players to lead prayers at mandatory pregame meals and conducting a locker room prayer circle, according to court filings.

He did it even though the Supreme Court ruled in the 1960s that the First Amendment bars school officials from conducting classroom prayers or Bible devotions.

Even though the Supreme Court ruled in 1992 that public schools unconstitutionally promote religion by organizing or leading graduation prayers.

Even though the Supreme Court ruled in 2000 that school officials can’t appoint or arrange for students to lead public prayers before football games.

Borden did it until 2005, when some cheerleaders, players and parents complained to the superintendent. They told her, among other things (according to a court brief), that those who objected to pregame dinner prayers were told to wait them out in the bathroom.

When the district told Borden to stop leading prayers, he quit his job; then he withdrew his resignation and sued for a court order allowing him to quietly bow his head and take a knee with his team.

District officials have asked the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which covers New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and the Virgin Islands, to rule that even his silent action would go too far toward endorsing religion.

“Borden does not get to infringe students’ and parents’ religious freedom because, as a public employee, he does not get to make policy: The District does,” the district’s lawyers argue in a brief. A three-judge panel heard arguments Oct. 3.

They’re absolutely correct about public employees not coercing students to engage in favored religious conduct. Teachers shouldn’t evangelize on school time. They shouldn’t use their positions of influence to promote certain beliefs, denigrate others or make students feel ostracized.

But honestly, once we start policing what’s intended when people take a knee, have we divorced the law from reality?

When is it genuflection and when sincerely secular?

Ideally, coaches should neutrally respect their athletes’ choices to pray or not, but where’s the line that they dare not cross between promoting unity and seeding discord?

And when you hear about a coach secretly selling players’ medical information to big-money donors, how do you escape the sense that there are worse things that a coach can do than take a knee with his team?

CE Week #8: “Genocide vote is foolhardy”

Cal Thomas
Tribune Media Services
October 20, 2007

Just as it appears the United States may have turned an important corner in Iraq with the reported disabling of al-Qaida, Turkey is threatening to invade northern Iraq in an attempt to stop attacks by Kurdish rebels on Turkish territory.

House Democrats added fuel to the combustible situation when the House Foreign Affairs Committee on Oct. 10 passed a resolution that recognizes as genocide the mass killings of Armenians by the Ottoman Empire during World War I. The resolution is opposed by the Bush administration, not necessarily because it disagrees that genocide occurred nearly a century ago, but because such a resolution will inflame passions at a time when there are passions enough in the neighborhood. Democrats, who control Congress, are playing a dangerous game that might severely damage America’s foreign policy, further diminish President Bush, hand over a weakened presidency to his successor and put more of our troops in jeopardy. That reality apparently began to reach the Democratic congressional leadership by midweek, as supporters of the resolution began a retreat and senior Democrats urged House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to drop her support for the measure.

 

Since Saddam Hussein was toppled from power, Turkey has been threatening to invade northern Iraq to settle old scores. Turkey has the provocation it believes it needs in the killing of 30 Turkish soldiers and civilians by members of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (known as the PKK) in just the last two weeks.

Writing in the publication Insight, Gallia Lindenstrauss notes, “(Turkish) President Abdullah Gul accused American politicians of sacrificing big issues for petty games of domestic politics.” That sounds about right. Are Democrats so cynical that they would stir an already boiling pot in hopes that it would negate whatever success America may finally be having in quelling terrorist acts in Iraq? One would hope that is not the case, but given their leadership’s rhetoric about the war already being lost and their refusal to acknowledge even the slightest progress in Iraq as positive lest it reflect well on the Bush administration, cynicism about their cynical actions might be justified.

If Turkey will not be dissuaded from entering Iraq to root out the rebels, the Bush administration might consider helping the Turks do the job quickly and as painlessly as possible so that they might hastily return to their side of the border. If the Kurds wish to continue with their prosperous and more peaceful lifestyles, they will help locate and expunge the rebels among them. The last thing the region needs is to inflame Islamic fundamentalists, who, despite tensions that have long threatened to topple Ankara’s secular government, have so far managed to peacefully coexist with moderate Muslims, as well as secularists.

A senior commander of the rebel group, Duran Kalkan, was quoted in an Associated Press story as saying the Turkish military will suffer a serious blow if it launches a cross-border offensive and would be “bogged down in a quagmire.” Another quagmire is precisely what is not needed in Iraq. Oil prices, which have increased in recent days in anticipation of Turkish military action, would go even higher should another front be opened in Iraq.

There should be no rush to condemn a genocide that took place more than nine decades ago (and the very word “genocide” is in dispute as a description of what happened). Politically, it might play well for Democrats, but it could backfire and have severe repercussions for American foreign policy, American forces in Iraq (supply lines could be disrupted) and American interests in Iraq and throughout the region for years to come. The next president cannot possibly enjoy long-term benefits from such shortsightedness by House Democrats.

Whatever immediate political gain Democrats might hope to extract from this misguided and ill-timed resolution will be overcome by the long-term pain it generates. Apparently, there are limits beyond which even Democrats are not willing to go in their pursuit of political gain. There are some issues that ought to transcend partisanship, and this is one of them.

CE Week #8: “An unlikely treasure-trove of donors for Clinton”

The candidate’s unparalleled fundraising success relies largely on the least-affluent residents of New York’s Chinatown — some of whom can’t be tracked down.

By Peter Nicholas and Tom Hamburger
Los Angeles Times Staff Writers

October 19, 2007

NEW YORK — Something remarkable happened at 44 Henry St., a grimy Chinatown tenement with peeling walls. It also happened nearby at a dimly lighted apartment building with trash bins clustered by the front door.

And again not too far away, at 88 E. Broadway beneath the Manhattan bridge, where vendors chatter in Mandarin and Fujianese as they hawk rubber sandals and bargain-basement clothes.

All three locations, along with scores of others scattered throughout some of the poorest Chinese neighborhoods in Queens, Brooklyn and the Bronx, have been swept by an extraordinary impulse to shower money on one particular presidential candidate — Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Dishwashers, waiters and others whose jobs and dilapidated home addresses seem to make them unpromising targets for political fundraisers are pouring $1,000 and $2,000 contributions into Clinton’s campaign treasury. In April, a single fundraiser in an area long known for its gritty urban poverty yielded a whopping $380,000. When Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) ran for president in 2004, he received $24,000 from Chinatown.

At this point in the presidential campaign cycle, Clinton has raised more money than any candidate in history. Those dishwashers, waiters and street stall hawkers are part of the reason. And Clinton’s success in gathering money from Chinatown’s least-affluent residents stems from a two-pronged strategy: mutually beneficial alliances with powerful groups, and appeals to the hopes and dreams of people now consigned to the margins.

Clinton has enlisted the aid of Chinese neighborhood associations, especially those representing recent immigrants from Fujian province. The organizations, at least one of which is a descendant of Chinatown criminal enterprises that engaged in gambling and human trafficking, exert enormous influence over immigrants. The associations help them with everything from protection against crime to obtaining green cards.

Many of Clinton’s Chinatown donors said they had contributed because leaders in neighborhood associations told them to. In some cases, donors said they felt pressure to give.

The other piece of the strategy involves holding out hope that, if Clinton becomes president, she will move quickly to reunite families and help illegal residents move toward citizenship. As New York’s junior senator, Clinton has expressed support for immigrants and greater family reunification. She is also benefiting from Chinese donors’ naive notions of what she could do in the White House.

Campaign concerns

As with other campaigns looking for dollars in unpromising places, the Clinton operation also has accepted what it later conceded were improper donations. At least one reported donor denies making a contribution. Another admitted to lacking the legal-resident status required for giving campaign money.

Clinton aides said they were concerned about some of the Chinatown contributions.

“We have hundreds of thousands of donors. We are proud to have support from across New York and the country from many different communities,” campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson said. “In this instance, our own compliance process flagged a number of questionable donations and took the appropriate steps to be sure they were legally given. In cases where we couldn’t confirm that, the money was returned.”

The Times examined the cases of more than 150 donors who provided checks to Clinton after fundraising events geared to the Chinese community. One-third of those donors could not be found using property, telephone or business records. Most have not registered to vote, according to public records.

And several dozen were described in financial reports as holding jobs — including dishwasher, server or chef — that would normally make it difficult to donate amounts ranging from $500 to the legal maximum of $2,300 per election.

Of 74 residents of New York’s Chinatown, Flushing, the Bronx or Brooklyn that The Times called or visited, only 24 could be reached for comment.

Many said they gave to Clinton because they were instructed to do so by local association leaders. Some said they wanted help on immigration concerns. And several spoke of the pride they felt by being associated with a powerful figure such as Clinton.

New take, old game

Beyond what it reveals about present-day campaign fundraising, Chinatown’s newfound role in the 2008 election cycle marks another chapter in the centuries-old American saga of marginalized ethnic groups and newly arrived immigrants turning to politics to improve their lot.

In earlier times, New York politicians from William “Boss” Tweed to Fiorello LaGuardia gained power with the support of immigrants. So did politicians in Philadelphia, Cleveland, Chicago and other big cities.

Like many who traveled this path, most of the Chinese reported as contributing to Clinton’s campaign have never voted. Many speak little or no English. Some seem to lead such ephemeral lives that neighbors say they’ve never heard of them.

“This is a new game,” said Peter Kwong, a professor at Hunter College in New York who studies Chinatown communities across the country. Historically, Kwong said, “voting in Chinatown is so weak” that politicians did not go out of their way to court residents.

“Today it is all about money,” he said.

The effort is especially pronounced among groups in the Fujianese community. More than a decade ago, Fujianese cultural associations ran gambling operations and, more ominously, at least one was home to a gang that trafficked in illegal Fujian native immigrants.

The human-smuggling problem came to a head in 1993, when a cargo ship, the Golden Venture, ran aground off New York City. As shocked police and immigration officials looked on, hundreds of Fujian natives who had spent weeks below deck struggled to make it to shore. Several died in the attempt.

A crackdown by the FBI’s organized-crime task force led to the indictment of more than 20 Fujian native traffickers. Today, the problem has substantially dissipated, says Konrad Motyka of the FBI’s New York field office, who participated in the investigation of the Golden Venture.

Although Motyka is wary of the havoc wreaked in the past by Fujianese organized crime, he said: “I welcome signs that the community is participating in politics.”

High hopes

At his tiny restaurant in the south Bronx, which has one table and a takeout counter, Chang Jian Lin displays a prized memento: a photo of himself and Clinton. The picture was taken at a fundraising banquet in Chinatown this spring.

Lin and his wife, who also works in the restaurant, said through an interpreter that they believe Clinton, if elected president, will reunite their family. The Lins’ two teenage children remain in Fujian, a mountainous coastal province in southeastern China opposite Taiwan.

“If she gets to be the president, we want our children to come home,” Chang Jian Lin said.

Campaign officials point out that Clinton has sponsored legislation aimed at family reunification; the proposals failed. And immigration measures being discussed in Congress would assign a lower priority to family reunification, which tends to bring in poor people, and give preference to immigrants with more-lucrative job skills.

Moreover, the Lins appeared to have an exaggerated impression of a president’s ability to change such things as immigration laws single-handedly.

Kwong thinks Clinton may be “exploiting the vulnerabilities of recent immigrants.”

Nonetheless, Lin is planning to attend another Clinton fundraiser, a birthday bash next week. He said his support rested on more than his hope for reuniting his family. “Besides the immigration issue with my kids, the overall standard of living will improve for the Chinese people” living in the U.S., he said.

He has never before supported a U.S. politician and, not yet a citizen, he is barred from voting. But when Fujianese community leaders asked him to donate to Clinton, he said, he eagerly contributed $1,000. Immigrants who have permanent resident status can legally make campaign contributions.

Coming up with the money was hard, Lin acknowledged, adding: “The restaurant is really small.”

Missing persons

The tenement at 44 Henry St. was listed in Clinton’s campaign reports as the home of Shu Fang Li, who reportedly gave $1,000.

In a recent visit, a man, apparently drunk, was asleep near the entrance to the neighboring beauty parlor, the Nice Hair Salon.

A tenant living in the apartment listed as Li’s address said through a translator that she had not heard of him, although she had lived there for the last 10 years.

A man named Liang Zheng was listed as having contributed $1,000. The address given was a large apartment building on East 194th Street in the Bronx, but no one by that name could be located there.

Census figures for 2000 show the median family income for the area was less than $21,000. About 45% of the population was living below the poverty line, more than double the city average.

In the busy heart of East Broadway, beneath the Manhattan Bridge, is a building that is listed as the home of Sang Cheung Lee, also reported to have given $1,000. Trash was piled in the dimly lighted entrance hall. Neighbors said they knew of no one with Lee’s name there; they knocked on one another’s doors in a futile effort to find him.

Salespeople at a store on Canal Street were similarly baffled when asked about Shih Kan Chang, listed as working there and having given $1,000. The store sells purses, jewelry and novelty Buddha statues. Employees said they had not heard of Chang.

Another listed donor, Yi Min Liu, said he did not make the $1,000 contribution in April that was reported in his name. He said he attended a banquet for Clinton but did not give her money.

Clinton “has done a lot for the Chinese community,” he said.

One New York man who said he enthusiastically donated $2,500 to Clinton doesn’t appear to be eligible to do so under federal election law. He said he came to the United States from China about two years ago and didn’t have a green card.

Out of the periphery

A key figure helping to secure Asian support for Clinton is a woman named Chung Seto, who came to this country as a child from Canton province and has supported Bill and Hillary Clinton since the 1990s. She called Fujian natives’ support for Hillary Clinton the beginning of civic engagement for an immigrant group that had long been on the periphery.

She said she stationed translators at the entrance of one event to try to screen out improper contributions.

Qun Wu, a 37-year-old waiter at a Chinese restaurant in Flushing, saw a reference to a Clinton fundraiser in a Chinese-language newspaper. He took a day off from work to go. Though he only makes $500 a week, he considers his $1,000 donation to be money well-spent. He got his picture taken with Clinton, hung it prominently in his house, then had color reprints made and sent to family in China.

“Every day I go home and see it,” he said. “I see my picture with Hillary, and I feel encouraged. It’s a great honor.”

Many, on the other hand, said they gave for reasons having more to do with the Chinese community than with Clinton. He Duan Zheng, who gave $1,000, said of the Fujianese community: “They informed us to go, so I went.

“Everybody was making a donation, so I did too,” he said. “Otherwise I would lose face.”

peter.nicholas@latimes.com

tom.hamburger@latimes.com

Times staff writers Dan Morain in San Francisco and Walter F. Roche Jr. and Jordy Yager in Washington, and Times researchers Janet Lundblad, Vicki Gallay and John Jackson in Los Angeles, contributed to this report.


Published in: on October 19, 2007 at 6:26 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #8: “Cosby’s uncomfortable truth”

James P. Pinkerton
Newsday
October 19, 2007

The 17th-century philosopher Blaise Pascal once observed that mankind is suspended between two infinities – the infinitely large and the infinitely small. And so it is with two figures in the news: Al Gore wishes to speak for the planet, while Bill Cosby wishes to speak to the human heart.

And it’s revealing, given the liberal biases of our culture, that one man receives so much attention and the other man, so little.

Gore, former vice president-turned-pundit-movie star, has chosen, as his topic, the infinitely big. And he has been rewarded hugely: He just won the Nobel Peace Prize, on top of many other awards showered down on him by the elite culture, including an Oscar and an Emmy. So Gore will ascend into the jet stream of world renown – the same left-tilting empyrean occupied by such globetrotters as Bono and Bill and Melinda Gates.

 

In the meantime, closer to the ground, the comedian-turned-reformer Bill Cosby has joined with Alvin F. Poussaint of Harvard Medical School to write a book, “Come on People: On the Path from Victims to Victors,” which argues that many of the problems within the black community are self-inflicted, the result of a counterproductive culture of violence and victimhood.

Cosby has been making this point for years – and has been attacked by the left for years. Michael Eric Dyson, speaking for the liberal street-activism left over from the ’60s, wrote an entire book attacking Cosby’s “poisonous” view of black culture.

But Cosby and Poussaint have the cold terrible facts on their side: “In 1950, five out of every six black children were born into a two-parent home. Today that number is less than two out of six.” Yes, white racism exists, but it was worse a half-century ago. Something bad is happening within black culture, and Cosby and Poussaint are not shy about naming it: the celebration of violence and ignorance emblemized in the “gangsta” lifestyle.

The unyielding truth is that any group climbs into the middle class only by embracing middle-class values. This is a “conservative” fact of life that was once equally embraced by liberals, before they “progressed” on to “liberation” as a new goal.

But after decades of disaster, black thinkers such as Cosby and Poussaint – and before them, John McWhorter, Juan Williams and, yes, Clarence Thomas – are leading a moral renaissance among African Americans, which surely counts as the most hopeful social trend in our national life today. And yet with the remarkable exception of NBC’s Tim Russert, who bravely devoted the entire hour of Sunday’s “Meet the Press” to Cosby and Poussaint, the mainstream media seem little interested in this black renaissance.

Why is that? Perhaps because the liberal-leaning elites realize that they are losing the debate over poverty and uplift – the winners being those who speak for hard work, abstinence and delayed gratification.

No wonder the chattering classes, fleeing from their horror of such a “bourgeois” existence, have moved on to new, greener pastures.

But there’s a problem looming ahead for Gore and his many fans: how to radically reduce “greenhouse gases.” The environmentalists have their answer: some sort of global authority to restrict factories and cars – which would, not coincidentally, authorize them to rule the world. But maybe China won’t cooperate. Maybe the Chinese will watch as we shut down our factories – and they keep theirs open. And then who will win the next war? Not a war of polar bears and the Prius, but a real war of ships and airplanes.

If Gore wants to be constructive, he will figure out to how to reduce pollution – while still preserving American industry. If he could do that, he would truly earn the respect and admiration of all Americans.

But in the meantime, Cosby and Poussaint have taken on a challenge that we can win, because the struggle will take place within our own hearts.

CE Week #8: “Troops know Iraq’s reality”

Robert Scheer
Creator’s Syndicate
October 19, 2007

When will we listen to the troops? I’m not talking about soldiers used as props for a George W. Bush photo-op, telling reporters what Washington wants to hear. The military is disciplined and thus accustomed, from Gen. David Petraeus on down, to toeing the official line. But the Iraq war has also produced brilliant messages of dissent from the ranks that should cause us to stop in our tracks and reconsider what we have wrought. First, a group of sergeants came forward, and on Tuesday it was the captains’ turn to speak out.

 

In “The War as We Saw It,” an eloquent op-ed article published in the New York Times in August, seven Army sergeants summarized the futility of their 15 months fighting in Iraq: “To believe that Americans, with an occupying force that long ago outlived its reluctant welcome, can win over a recalcitrant local population and win this counterinsurgency is far-fetched.” After penning that cri de coeur, two of the soldiers died in Iraq, and a third was severely wounded.

On Tuesday, the Washington Post printed, “The Real Iraq We Knew,” by 12 Army captains, all of whom served in Iraq, which begins: “Today marks five years since the authorization of military force in Iraq, setting Operation Iraqi Freedom in motion. Five years on, the Iraq war is as undermanned and under-resourced as it was from the start. And, five years on, Iraq is in shambles.

“As Army captains who served in Baghdad and beyond, we’ve seen the corruption and the sectarian division. We understand what it’s like to be stretched too thin. And we know when it’s time to get out.”

How come those brave veterans know it’s time to get out, but leading Democrats, who voted for the war to be authorized, are still pussyfooting about quickly removing the troops from this ever-deepening quagmire? They’re jockeying for political advantage, knowing that drawing out the war hurts the Republicans.

It is a deeply cynical ploy that works only because, with our all-volunteer military, most Americans don’t have to face the choice of sacrificing themselves or their loved ones in a futile and losing war.

Yes, it costs the taxpayers, but so do the “Halo 3″ video games Americans are purchasing in record numbers, and for most, Iraq is a make-believe war. Even the cost seems unreal, as Bush is the first president in U.S. history to cut taxes in a time of war, with the result that more than a trillion dollars in long-term obligations will not come due while his administration has to foot the bills.

If there were a military draft, people would be in the streets demanding an end to this carnage, which now threatens to go on for decades. That is precisely why the neoconservative ideologues who got us into this mess built their fantasies on a volunteer force, supplemented by hundreds of thousands of contractors (including 50,000 mercenary troops like those from Blackwater) and the purchase of largely irrelevant but highly profitable high-tech weaponry – although they forgot about simple armor for the troops.

The most fraudulent neocon claim was that pro-Western, even pro-Israel, Iraqis, such as their favorite, the now totally discredited Ahmed Chalabi, would police the country as surrogates for the United States, and that Iraqi oil sales would pay for it all.

The 12 captains, who worked with the local Iraqi residents, are very clear as to the forlorn outcome of that plan. “And, indeed, many of us witnessed the exploitation of U.S. tax dollars by Iraqi officials and military officers. Sabotage and graft have had a particularly deleterious impact on Iraq’s oil industry, which still fails to produce the revenue that Pentagon war planners hoped would pay for Iraq’s reconstruction,” they wrote.

As for that other ongoing illusion – that we are turning over power to Iraqi forces we have trained – the captains write: “Iraqi soldiers quit at will. The police are effectively controlled by militias. And, again, corruption is debilitating. U.S. tax dollars enrich self-serving generals and support the very elements that will battle each other after we’re gone.”

Building an empire on the cheap and by proxy doesn’t work. If you want one, and of course most of us shouldn’t because only a few fat cats benefit from such imperial adventures, you need a vast conscript army. As the captains put it: “There is one way we might be able to succeed in Iraq. To continue an operation of this intensity and duration, we would have to abandon our volunteer military for compulsory service. Short of that, our best option is to leave Iraq immediately.” Enough said.

Published in: on at 12:42 pm Comments (3)

CE Week #8: “Ignoring intolerance makes it grow”

Leonard Pitts Jr.
Miami Herald
October 18, 2007

I already know what’s going to happen after I write this column.

Someone is going to say, why did you waste space condemning the latest drivel from the mouth of Ann Coulter? Don’t you know she only says these outrageous things to promote her books? Why reward her with attention?

The argument is not without merit. Coulter plays the news media like Louis Armstrong once played his cornet. She is a virtuoso of stage-managed controversy. So there’s something to be said for refusing to play along, for ignoring her in the hope that she will just go away.

 

But some things only fester and grow in the dark. Some things use silence as assent.

Last week, Coulter said that in her perfect America, everyone would be a Christian. She said this to Donny Deutsch, who was hosting her on his CNBC program, “The Big Idea.” Deutsch, who is Jewish, expressed alarm. Whereupon Coulter told him Jews simply needed to be “perfected” – i.e., made to accept Jesus as savior. Which is, of course, one of the pillars (along with the slander of Christ’s murder) supporting 2,000 years of pogroms, abuse and Holocaust.

I suspect the reason some people believe that kind of ignorance is best ignored is that they find it difficult to take it seriously, or to accept that Coulter – or those who embrace her – really believes what she says. After all, this is not 1933, not 1948, not 1966. It is two-thousand-by-God-oh-seven, post-Seinfeld, post-Gore-Lieberman, post-”Schindler’s List.” We no longer live in the era when open anti-Semitism could find wide traction. This is a different time.

But time, Martin Luther King once observed, is neutral. Time alone changes nothing. It is people who make change in time. Or not. So you have to wonder if this determined sanguinity in the face of intolerance is not ultimately an act of monumental self-delusion.

While some of us are cheerfully assuring one another that They Don’t Really Mean It, the Southern Poverty Law Center reports that the number of hate groups in this country has risen by a whopping 40 percent in just the last seven years. If you had spent those years, as I have, jousting in print with the agents of intolerance, you would not be surprised. It would be all but impossible to quantify, but I’ve noted a definite spike, not simply in the hatefulness of some people, but in the willingness to speak that hatefulness openly and without shame. What used to be anonymous now comes with a name and address.

Like Coulter, many of those people find intellectual cover under the cloak of conservatism. It is a development thoughtful conservatives (the very need to use that qualifier makes the case) ought to view with alarm. For all that Colin Powell, J.C. Watts, the presidents Bush and others have done to posit a friendly new “big tent” conservatism, Coulter and others have done even more to drag the movement back toward open intolerance.

That will be read as criticism of conservatism, but I intend a larger point. After all, liberalism has had its own unfortunate extremes – the drug use of the ’60s, the Weather Underground, the Symbionese Liberation Army and the like. The difference is, say what you will about Michael Moore or Jesse Jackson, they are not pushing back toward that which has been discredited. Coulter is.

And if some of us are laughing that off, not everybody is.

So this is not about bashing conservatives. It is, rather, about challenging them, and all of us. Within living memory, we have seen Jews in boxcars and blacks in trees and silence from those who should have been shouting. They pretended it wasn’t happening until it already had.

So, what about Ann Coulter? What about the push-back against diversity, pluralism and tolerance that she represents? I keep hearing that we should just ignore it.

My point is, that’s been tried before. It didn’t work.

Published in: on October 18, 2007 at 3:33 pm Comments (3)

CE Week #8: “Supreme Court Halts Va. Inmate’s Execution”


Ruling Could Lead To National Hiatus In Lethal Injections

By Robert Barnes and Jerry Markon
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, October 18, 2007; A01

The Supreme Court stopped the execution of Virginia death row inmate Christopher Scott Emmett yesterday, a move that legal experts said might signal a nationwide halt to lethal injections until the justices decide next year whether the procedure amounts to cruel and unusual punishment.

The court granted the stay of execution just four hours before Emmett was to be put to death. It is the second time the justices have stopped an execution since agreeing to decide whether lethal injections carry the potential for pain that would violate constitutional standards.

“I think this is a de facto moratorium,” said Douglas A. Berman, a sentencing expert at Ohio State University’s law school. Since almost all executions are carried out by lethal injection, he said a halt “would mean the most profound hiatus in the operation of the death penalty in at least two decades.”

The justices review applications for stays on a case-by-case basis and gave no indication what their decision means for other death row inmates. They gave no reason for halting Emmett’s execution, saying only that the stay would last until a federal appeals court in Richmond rules on the case “or further order of this court.”

Emmett’s attorneys have brought numerous appeals, and the Supreme Court turned down his latest Oct. 1. Emmett, 36, beat a co-worker to death with a brass lamp in a Danville, Va., motel room in 2001 and then stole his money to buy crack.

“The Supreme Court has spoken, and we will follow their decision,” said David Clementson, a spokesman for Virginia Attorney General Robert F. McDonnell (R), who had urged that the execution be carried out.

Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D), who previously had delayed Emmett’s execution so the justices could consider his latest appeal, said in a statement that he “had no reason to question the prosecutor’s decision to seek the death penalty or the jury’s decision that death was an appropriate punishment.”

The court’s action spared Kaine, who personally opposes the death penalty but has overseen four executions in his time as governor, from having to make the decision to either halt the execution or allow it to go forward before the justices decide whether lethal injection is constitutional.

Other governors and courts are facing the same question. Executions by lethal injection have been delayed in at least six states, including Texas, which leads the nation in executions, since the court announced Sept. 25 that it was taking up the issue by accepting a Kentucky case. Other states had suspended the use of lethal injections because of questions about it.

“I think you’ll see that very few states want to be the outliers when the court seems ready to step in and stop” the planned executions, Berman said.

Richard Dieter, executive director of the Washington-based Death Penalty Information Center, agreed. “I believe this stay in Virginia, combined with previous stays in a number of other states, confirms that a moratorium on all lethal injections is in place in this country until the Supreme Court rules on the issue,” he said.

Lethal injection is the primary method of execution in 37 of the 38 states that have the death penalty. Nebraska uses electrocutions, but no executions are scheduled there.

Kent Scheidegger, legal director and general counsel for the Criminal Justice Legal Foundation, which favors capital punishment and opposes expansion of criminal rights, said he had hoped the court would explain its reasoning in its case-by-case review of the stay requests. Another appeal, from Georgia, is likely to reach the court this week.

If the court’s action amounts to a moratorium, Scheidegger said, it would dilute “the deterrence effect” of the death penalty and “cause more innocent people to die.”

Even without a halt to the use of lethal injections, the pace of executions nationally is the slowest in a decade. A Texas execution carried out on the day the court announced it had accepted the Kentucky case was the last.

The case, Baze v. Rees, does not question the constitutionality of the death penalty but whether lethal injection violates the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition of cruel and unusual punishment.

Since accepting the case, the justices have issued stays in two executions that lower courts in Texas and Virginia had said could move forward. Tuesday night, they refused to vacate a stay that the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit had issued for an Arkansas death row inmate.

Justice Antonin Scalia dissented from that decision, saying that the appeals court applied the “mistaken premise” that the court’s decision to take Baze“calls for the stay of every execution in which an individual raises an Eighth Amendment challenge to the lethal injection protocol.”

No other justice signaled agreement with Scalia, and he did not note a dissent in the stay of Emmett’s execution.

States began using lethal injection in 1978 on the grounds that it was more humane than electrocution and the gas chamber. Almost all the states that employ lethal injection use the same combination of three chemicals: sodium thiopental, a barbiturate intended to render the inmate unconscious at the start of the procedure; pancuronium bromide, which paralyzes the muscles; and potassium chloride, to stop the heart.

Studies have shown that if the barbiturate is not administered properly, some inmates might be fully aware as the paralyzing agent cuts off their ability to breathe. Moreover, pancuronium is known to cause severe pain, but the inmate would be unable to express that.

Maryland’s method of lethal injection is being challenged in federal court, and the state’s highest court ruled in December that state officials had not properly adopted the regulations for carrying it out. Gov. Martin O’Malley (D), an opponent of capital punishment, has delayed issuing those regulations.

Virginia’s Clementson said the commonwealth’s procedures have been reviewed by the courts “and always found to be humane and constitutional.” The state has no more executions scheduled this year.

UNIT II REVIEW QUESTIONS/COMMENTS

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Published in: on October 17, 2007 at 4:24 pm Comments (8)

CE Week #8: “The real panic in health care fight”

Froma Harrop
Providence Journal
October 17, 2007

Whether Graeme Frost has an affluent father or lives in a $400,000 house with granite counters is of no consequence to me. But such details have led a right-wing attack on the Democrats’ poster family for expanding the State Children’s Health Insurance Program, which President Bush vetoed.

These charges happen to be untrue. The Frost family income is $45,000. Their Baltimore house, bought 17 years ago for $55,000, is now worth about $250,000, and the kitchen counters are concrete.

 

But even if the counters were gold, I wouldn’t care. America needs a universal health care plan that puts the rich and poor, young and old, sick and well into one big insurance pool.

And whether the Frosts could sell their house and use the money to obtain health coverage is irrelevant. They tried to buy a policy, but insurers wouldn’t sell them one because of pre-existing medical conditions. Graeme and his sister suffer brain injuries from a car crash.

The right does these issues on automatic pilot – and the left knows how to hit back – but the center feels conflicted. Megan McArdle, a blogger for the Atlantic magazine’s Web site, worries about forcing families to sell assets to qualify for public health care benefits. “On the other hand,” she writes, “many people, including me, don’t want to pay for the health care of someone so that they can stay in their Park Avenue mansion.”

Honey, you already do.

The taxpayers are footing the medical bills of many a Park Avenue swell over 65. There’s little means testing in Medicare, yet Bush pushed a drug benefit on top of the program’s already generous coverage. It will cost many times the price of SCHIP, even were it to cover the likes of Graeme Frost.

So let’s discuss what the panic is really about. Republicans know that once government health coverage seeps up into the middle class, there’s no stopping it.

Note how Bush does this big “compassionate conservative” thing about very much wanting SCHIP for poor people. Programs for the poor are fine, because you can always cut the living daylights out of them. Politicians who mess with middle class benefits find their heads in the return mail.

The happiest campers in American health care today are the people in Medicare, a government-run program that sets prices. Middle-class families who taste similar fruits will not say: “Please, oh, please. Send my health coverage back into the exciting free market.” And their neighbors will ask, “Where can I get some?”

As last stands go, issuing cries of injustice that an insured family making $40,000 might be asked to subsidize the health care of an uninsured family making $60,000 is neither heroic nor smart.

The more rational response would be to let the folks making $40,000 also join the program – and require employers to raise their paychecks by the amount previously taken out for health coverage. Both the family and the bosses would come out ahead.

Really, how did American workers become the last people in any industrialized democracy to be subject to such anxiety about paying for medical care? They already fund the health care of retirees, the poor, the disabled, convicts and government employees, including members of Congress. Their taxes pay for everyone’s health care except their own.

Republicans can’t possibly believe that today’s expensive and chaotic mess of a health care “system” is a “conservative” approach. They see their former business allies running into the arms of Democrats for deliverance from the unpredictable costs of insuring workers.

Right-wingers, give it up! You’re fighting a battle you shouldn’t want to win. A country without universal coverage isn’t conservative. It’s primitive.

CE Week #8: “Iowa GOP moves caucuses to Jan. 3″

Date raises specter of heavy campaigns in holiday season

At a glance
Tentative presidential voting dates

The schedule as it stands for presidential primaries and caucuses from January through March 2008:

Jan. 3: Iowa GOP caucuses

Jan. 5: Wyoming GOP caucuses

Jan. 14: Iowa Democratic caucuses (tentative)

Jan. 15: Michigan primary (tentative)

Jan. 19: South Carolina GOP (tentative), Nevada caucuses

Jan. 22: New Hampshire (tentative, may move up)

Jan. 26: South Carolina Democrats

Jan. 29: Florida

Feb. 1: Maine GOP caucuses

Feb. 5: Alabama, Alaska (caucuses), Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado (caucuses), Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho (Democratic caucuses only), Illinois, Kansas (Democratic caucuses only), Minnesota (caucuses), Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico (Democratic caucuses only), New York, North Dakota (caucuses, both parties), Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia (GOP state convention only)

Feb. 7: Hawaii GOP (tentative)

Feb. 9: Louisiana; Kansas GOP (caucuses)

Feb. 10: Maine (Democrats)

Feb. 12: Maryland, Virginia, District of Columbia

Feb. 19: Hawaii (Democrats), Washington (beauty contest), Wisconsin

March 4: Massachusetts, Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont

March 8: Wyoming (Democrats)

March 11: Mississippi

Associated Press

Related stories

Elections – Presidential

Steven Thomma
McClatchy
October 17, 2007

DES MOINES, Iowa – Ready for some presidential politics in the middle of Christmas? Some campaign volunteers elbowing carolers off the front porch? How about some really nasty brochures in the mailbox alongside the Christmas cards?

That’s the prospect facing voters in Iowa now that the Iowa Republican Party moved Tuesday to accelerate the date of its presidential precinct caucuses to Jan. 3, the earliest by far in history.

It’s also a challenge facing presidential candidates, who do their most aggressive campaigning in the week leading up to Iowa’s influential caucuses, which traditionally lead off voting for the two major party nominations.

For front-runners, that week’s the key time to solidify their lead. For challengers looking to move up or who face elimination, that’s the time to grab voters’ attention and overtake candidates ahead of them. Hotly worded charges fly, the airwaves are filled with attacks, and mailboxes bulge with campaign literature.

But this time, it’s also Christmas week.

 

“We have to be careful,” said Gentry Collins, the Iowa campaign director for Republican Mitt Romney. “The average family doesn’t want campaigns calling or knocking on the door during the holidays. It’s probably a time when they don’t want to hear a lot from the campaigns.”

Then there’s the question of how to compete on TV with all the holiday ads. An ad about the threat of a terrorist attack might not feel right before one with smiling children opening gift-wrapped toys. There also might not be much TV time available for political ads.

And it’s far from certain that the campaigns can get their volunteers out to knock on doors and make phone calls during the holidays. Many are college kids who’ll be on break.

“It certainly complicates things for the campaigns,” said Peverill Squire, a political scientist at the University of Iowa. “They want to build up to the caucuses. But they’re going to find that difficult to do with Christmas and New Year’s. … We don’t know how far the candidates will be willing to go to impose themselves.”

Why did the Iowa GOP do this? Because Iowa wants to keep its influential role as the first state to vote.

The two major parties decided to honor tradition, setting Iowa to hold the first precinct caucuses and New Hampshire to hold the first primary eight days later.

But other states are refusing to go along.

First, Florida moved up its primary. Then Michigan did, too. Now Iowa Republicans have followed suit. Iowa Democrats haven’t yet decided what to do.

Next, New Hampshire’s secretary of state will set the date for his state’s primary. Iowa Republicans think that could be Jan. 8, but admit it also could be set for early December.

Which would push the hyper-phase of the campaign into Thanksgiving.

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CE Week #7: “Does Obama’s Message Match the Moment?”


Reconciliation May Be Hard Sell to Angry Party
By Alec MacGillis
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, October 17, 2007; A01

WASHINGTON, Iowa — A hush fell over the crowd as Sen. Barack Obama crossed the field, his white shirt glowing in the sun, waves of cornstalks rustling behind him. Once inside the open barn on the county fairgrounds here, he offered a message as uplifting as the backdrop, promising a new era of consensus instead of partisan divide.

“We’re going to win an election, but more importantly, we’re going to change the country,” the Illinois Democrat said. Nothing will get done in Washington “unless we not only change political parties in the White House, but also change our politics.”

The audience of Iowa Democrats seemed receptive. But when it came time for questions, it was clear that at least some members of the crowd had not escaped the partisan mind-set that Obama said he wanted to overcome. What did he think about President Bush’s veto of a children’s health insurance bill? What, another person asked, did he make of the Bush administration’s alleged denigration of science? What would he do to prevent Republicans from taking advantage of election flaws like the one in Florida in 2000, in which the questioner said “it’s not over till your brother counts the votes”?

As Obama positions himself for the stretch run for the Democratic presidential nomination, his call for a “new kind of politics” faces a broad test in his own party, and not just of whether it makes any criticism of his chief rival, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.), seem hypocritical. As the pointed questions he received here suggest, it may be that his summons to “turn the page” past the country’s red-blue polarization is not what many Democrats want to hear after seven years of mounting anger at Bush and the Republican-dominated government.

Obama faults a broken system in Washington for failures that many Democratic voters attribute simply to having the other side in power. By contrast, Clinton more directly exploits Democrats’ feelings of resentment. She argues that the troubles of the past seven years — the Iraq war, Hurricane Katrina, the widening income gap — are the result not of broken politics in Washington but of poor Republican governance, and she says that she would offer competent leadership to fix what has gone awry since her husband left the White House.

Obama accentuated the basic differences yesterday in Iowa. Reminded by a shop owner in Vinton that Clinton is proposing a universal health-care plan just as he is, Obama countered that electing Clinton president would not be enough to get health-care reform passed. “It can’t be the same kind of partisan battling we had in the ’90s,” he said, according to the Associated Press. “I think I can do better than Hillary Clinton, and that’s why I’m running.”

Nationally, Clinton’s more straightforward appeal for a Democratic restoration seems to be working. Polls show her well ahead of Obama and the rest of the Democratic field, and for the first time she is beating him on the fundraising front — prompting him to acknowledge his underdog status yesterday on his Web site.

But the Obama campaign hopes that in New Hampshire his post-partisan message will play well among independent voters, who can vote in the primary. And in Iowa, where polls indicate Obama is running better than in New Hampshire, voters in the past have been receptive to more conciliatory appeals.

“I’m looking for someone in the middle who can bring people together and tackle things head on,” Ryan Flannery, a family doctor in Washington County, said after the fairgrounds event during Obama’s Iowa tour in the first week of this month. Added Susan Barnett, an Iowa City secretary who saw the senator speak in Coralville: “We can’t survive the divisiveness that’s been going on. We need to build bridges.”

But Gary Frost, a library conservator at the University of Iowa who was also in Coralville, noted the challenge Obama faces in running on a platform of national reconciliation at a time when Democrats are so angry. “It’s a big reach, and I give him credit for that because it’s risky,” Frost said.

The risks are on particular display now that Obama is putting more emphasis on his early opposition to the Iraq war and seeking to draw a contrast with Clinton’s support for the resolution authorizing it. Because Obama has mostly resisted attacking her by name, his critique extends to the entire Democratic establishment for not opposing the war.

In effect, this seems to lift some of the blame for the war from the Bush administration and place it on the backs of Democrats, an unlikely tack in a Democratic primary. “There are those who offer up easy answers. They will assert that Iraq is George Bush’s war, it’s all his fault. Or that Iraq was botched by the arrogance and incompetence of Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney,” Obama said in Coralville. “The hard truth is that the war in Iraq is not about a catalogue of many mistakes — it is about one big mistake. The war in Iraq should never have been fought.”

Obama offered a similar argument two days later at a Boys and Girls Club in Waterloo, saying that the country was “failed by a president who didn’t tell the whole truth” but that it was “also failed” by the rest of the D.C. establishment. But the crowd broke into such loud applause after his charge against Bush that his broader criticism of the Washington system sounded like an afterthought. Similarly, those moments on the trail when he allows himself to take clear shots at Bush — on issues such as torture, military contractors and education funding — tend to win him his loudest cheers.

David Axelrod, Obama’s chief campaign strategist, argues that there is no mismatch between the senator’s bipartisan appeal and Democratic anger at Bush, saying in an interview that Obama’s call for reconciliation is itself implicitly an “anti-Bush message.” “One of the reasons Democrats have been so angered by Bush is that he’s been so fundamentally divisive and intractable and unable to hear other points of view,” he said.

Obama’s unifying message was the strategy of choice, Axelrod said, because it has been the main theme of his career. If Obama does not criticize Bush and Republicans more, he said, it is because he has “never been an aficionado of the cheap applause line.” As for the idea that Obama should instead frame his message around the fact that he has none of Clinton’s baggage and would therefore be a better candidate in November, Axelrod said he doubts that approach would work.

“Senator Clinton has enormous negatives, were she to go into a general [election], and the fact that Barack is a good unifier is a good harbinger for the general,” he said. But, he added, “voters get sold short. They’re smart and sophisticated. They realize that it’s important to replace a Republican with a Democrat, but that it won’t do enough” if “all we do is change parties without challenging our politics.”

On the trail, Obama emphasizes the practical benefits of his ability to bring people together, but less in terms of his chances of beating the GOP nominee next fall than in terms of what he could accomplish as president. (The closest he comes to playing up his electability is to joke about Republicans he says whisper to him at events, “Barack, I’m a Republican and I support you!”) More often, he points to his success working with Republicans in the Illinois legislature and says that a desire to bring the same approach to the White House is what motivates his campaign.

“We’ve become so accustomed to just assuming that 45 percent of the country is red and 45 percent is blue. . . . Even if we [eke out a victory], we can’t govern. There’s gridlock,” he told a crowd at the University of Iowa. “My belief was that I could change the political map and end gridlock.” He added: “If we could gain a 60 percent majority on any of these issues, we could actually get something done. My goal . . . is finding that 60 percent majority.”

This applies most to reforming health care, he tells voters. He plays down differences between his proposal and those of Clinton and former senator John Edwards (N.C.), telling the state university audience that all three are going to “set up . . . plans you can buy into it if you’re poor, if you can’t afford it we’re going to subsidize it, we’re going to emphasize prevention, blah blah blah.”

The real difference, he said, lies in who would win support across the aisle. As he put it a day later in Independence: To pass universal health care, “we need to build a movement for change. It’ s not going to happen just because you elect a Democrat.”

After the University of Iowa event, Kelly Gallagher, a real estate lawyer, said she saw Obama’s point. If Clinton is elected, she said, “things will become much more divisive.” She added: “That’s part of the problem with Hillary. I think she won’t be able to get a lot done. There’s a much greater probability of Obama being able to achieve his goals.”

Irene Rosenbaum, a retired social worker, was less convinced. She agreed with Obama that “not all Republicans are bad and not all Democrats are good.” But she was not sure he would be able to rise above partisan divides any more than Clinton. “The Republicans would be against other Democratic candidates, too,” she said.

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CE Week #7: “First lady raises her voice”

Kathleen Parker Orlando Sentinel October 16, 2007

It can’t be easy being a first lady. She’s the wife-in-chief in a traditional role, but she also has a brain. And she has a voice, though it is usually muted or restricted to safe “womanly” concerns – home, hearth and domestic issues such as health, education and child care. When the first lady does step into the policy arena, as Hillary Clinton did during her husband’s first term, she faces not just scrutiny of her work, but criticism of her audacity. Doesn’t she know her place? Despite role changes beyond 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue – and notwithstanding the groundbreaking exception of Eleanor Roosevelt – we seem to prefer that our presidents’ wives (and perhaps husbands?) tend to the china and holiday decorations. Until just recently, Laura Bush had been a quintessential Missus, mostly confining her interests to such uncontroversial concerns as reading. Reading is good. See Mrs. Bush read. See Mrs. Bush smile. Every now and then, we get to see Mrs. Bush quip, as when she spoke at the 2005 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner. When she tried to participate in the larger world, however, she tended to get in trouble and then retreat from the spotlight. In 2005 while touring Egypt, for instance, she was criticized for praising Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak for taking a “very bold step” toward democracy with an election that many viewed as a sham. She also took heat a couple of years earlier from a group of American poets who responded to her invitation to a poetry conference by submitting anti-war poems or declining in protest. Ultimately, Mrs. Bush canceled the affair. The first lady got her knuckles rapped later for comments made during the Harriet Miers debacle. As liberals and conservatives alike scratched their heads over President Bush’s nomination of Miers to the Supreme Court – a tipping point for many previously loyal Republicans who could no longer defend the president – Laura Bush suggested that sexism was at play. Sexism is the mating call of the left, not the right, her critics howled. Again, Mrs. Bush retreated. And then a few days ago, Laura Bush came out with her dukes up. The serenely benign first lady has become feisty of late and for a cause few could find reason to criticize. She’s steamed about Burma’s brutal military government, which recently clamped down on dissidents, killing several and detaining up to 6,000. Most Americans are by now familiar with news and images of tangerine-clad monks protesting in the streets, but they may know little about Aung San Suu Kyi. A Nobel Prize winner and icon of Burma’s democratic movement, she has been under house arrest for nearly 12 of the past 18 years. Laura Bush wants her released, and she wants the military regime to step aside. Well, somebody had to say it. Wednesday, Mrs. Bush had an article in the Wall Street Journal decrying the treatment of Buddhist monks rounded up and imprisoned under inhumane conditions. The “Saffron Revolution,” which was sparked by a 500 percent increase in regime-controlled gas prices, has “unleashed 19 years of pent-up national anger,” Mrs. Bush wrote. It would seem that it also unleashed seven years of the first lady’s pent-up emotions. Burma, and especially the plight of Suu Kyi, got Mrs. Bush’s attention in 2002 when a Bush cousin told her about the imprisoned woman. Since then, Mrs. Bush has followed the story and last year began urging the United Nations to take action. When the first lady speaks, apparently not just her husband listens. Last Tuesday, she received a call from U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, urging her to continue her efforts. He also promised that he would send the U.N.’s special envoy back to the region as soon as possible and would encourage neighboring countries to pressure Burmese leaders to shift power to a democratic form of government. President Bush, meanwhile, has increased economic pressure on Burma, directing the U.S. Treasury Department to freeze assets of 14 senior members of the Burmese junta. Europe also has tightened sanctions. Hating juntas and demanding freedom for monks and women warriors for democracy may not be the riskiest political move in American history. But Mrs. Bush’s voice has hit the right note and telegraphs to those in danger and despair that through her they have the ear of the world’s most powerful leader. A first lady’s voice is a terrible thing to waste.

Published in: on October 16, 2007 at 6:00 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #7: “Armenians need to focus on today”

Fred Hiatt
Washington Post
October 16, 2007

Imagine what the Armenian diaspora might have accomplished had it worked as hard for democracy in Armenia as it did for congressional recognition of the genocide Armenians suffered nearly a century ago. It’s even possible that modern Armenia would be as democratic as modern Turkey.

The Armenian American community notched a political victory last week when the House Foreign Affairs Committee voted 27 to 21 for a resolution demanding that the U.S. government acknowledge that Turkey committed genocide against the Armenian people early in the 20th century. The Turkish government insists that, while terrible things happened, there was no genocide. The Bush administration, reluctant to offend an important ally, lobbied hard against the resolution.

 

There are passionate arguments on both sides of this fight: the urgency of facing history honestly, on one hand; unease over attempting to resolve such matters by political declaration, on the other. But what is sad, when members of Congress are hailing the vote as a victory for human rights, is how poorly human rights fare in Armenia today.

When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, none of its 15 component republics seemed better poised to evolve democratically than Armenia. A beautiful country of mountains and pastures and vineyards, it had a clearer sense of national identity than most, with a long pre-Soviet history as a nation; its own language, alphabet and church; and a passionate diaspora, many of whose members were ready to bring not only their skills but also their habits of democracy and civil society to Yerevan. Of an estimated 10 million ethnic Armenians in the world, only 3 million dwell in Armenia; more than 2 million live in Russia, but about 1.5 million are in the United States.

Things began well, with the honest election of a former dissident as president. But authoritarian tendencies soon emerged, the former dissident rigged his re-election in 1996, and things went downhill from there. As Freedom House noted last year, “all national elections held in Armenia since independence have been marred by some degree of ballot stuffing, vote rigging, and similar irregularities.” Meanwhile, opposition politicians have been jailed, protests have been brutally suppressed, and broadcast media have been taken under government control.

Conditions in Armenia are better than in some post-Soviet republics. Though corruption is endemic, the economy is growing and ranks relatively high in some measures of freedom for private enterprise. A parliamentary election in the spring was conducted more fairly than past polls. The ruling oligarchs tolerate some opposition parties, nongovernmental organizations and non-official newspapers.

But conditions also are a lot worse than in some republics, notably Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Many members of their diasporas also returned to their ancestral homelands, where they became passionate advocates not only of national rebirth but also of democracy and corruption-free capitalism.

Why the difference? Armenia was sidetracked early on by a war with neighboring Azerbaijan over an Armenian enclave inside that country. The enclave is under Armenian control today, but a cease-fire has not given way to a peace settlement. Consequently, the two main Armenian American lobbying organizations in Washington have focused more on security questions – opposing arms sales to Azerbaijan, for example, and opposing Turkey, Azerbaijan’s ally – than on promoting democracy in Yerevan. Armenia’s rulers have known that, no matter how they trample on individual rights at home, the lobbying groups will cover for them here.

The heads of both U.S. organizations told me that their groups have worked, sometimes quietly, to promote human rights and civil society in Armenia. Undoubtedly their influence would be limited, no matter how hard they tried.

But what if they had tried as fervently as they did to win Wednesday’s vote? It’s hard not to think that 3 million Armenians might be less poor and more free than they are today.

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CE Week #7: “Preventing gangs”

U.S. needs programs to keep kids out of groups in first place

The Baltimore Sun
October 16, 2007

The following editorial appeared Monday in the Baltimore Sun.

The proliferation of gangs in American cities has led to calls for new federal laws and tougher penalties to stem gang violence. Locking up more gang members may deplete their ranks, but only until the next teenager becomes the newest recruit. It’s the wrong approach to the real solution, which is keeping youngsters from joining a gang in the first place.

We question the need for new laws because there are few crimes unique to gangs. Their members – no matter their colors – murder, steal, sell drugs, extort money, beat up rivals and intimidate witnesses.

 

Prosecutors in Maryland and elsewhere have successfully used federal laws to convict and imprison notorious gang members, but what’s lacking is a sustained public effort to protect kids from the lure of gangs.

Federal legislation pending in Congress would commit $1.1 billion for law enforcement and prevention efforts to attack gang problems that are consuming manpower and money in cities as different as Baltimore and Boise.

The Senate bill, sponsored by Dianne Feinstein, of California, would criminalize gang activity that is already a crime and outlaw recruitment for the purposes of committing a crime for the gang.

While the Feinstein bill provides $447 million for prevention, its thrust is enforcement. But keeping kids out of gangs in the first place would save millions of dollars now spent to arrest, convict and imprison them as lawbreakers.

Experts say that kids who join gangs are looking for the family support or stable home they lack. They need comprehensive programs in and out of school that nurture kinship and camaraderie among youths and, more obviously, stronger families. Baltimore, like other cities, must rely on a patchwork of programs to serve kids at risk for gang membership.

The Feinstein bill would increase funding for prevention programs, but the effort should be robust enough to underwrite an extensive campaign to counter gang life.

The legislation rightly recognizes the increasing problem of witness intimidation and dedicates $270 million to combat it. Rep. Elijah E. Cummings, of Maryland, has been a forceful advocate for this aid because of Baltimore’s experience with witnesses who have been victimized.

When House members take up the Feinstein bill and other anti-gang measures, they should remember that tougher enforcement alone leads to only one place – prison.

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“Senator Edmund Muskie” – The War Room Reference

Presidential candidate

Main article: U.S. presidential election, 1972

Before the 1972 election, Muskie was viewed as a frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. The nation was at war in Vietnam and President Richard Nixon’s war policies (and foreign policy, more generally) promised to be a major issue in the campaign.[2]

The 1972 Iowa caucuses, however, significantly altered the race for the Presidential nomination. Left-wing dark horse candidate, South Dakota Senator George McGovern, made a strong showing in the caucuses, giving his campaign national attention. Although Muskie won the Iowa caucuses, McGovern’s campaign left Iowa with momentum. Muskie himself had never participated in a primary election campaign, and it is possible that this led to the downfall of his campaign. Although Muskie went on to win the New Hampshire primary, the victory was only by a small margin, and his campaign faltered.[2]

The collapse of Muskie’s momentum early in the 1972 campaign is also attributed to his response to campaign attacks. Prior to the New Hampshire primary, the so-called Canuck Letter was published in the Manchester Union-Leader. The letter claimed that Muskie had made disparaging remarks about French-Canadians – a remark likely to injure Muskie’s support among the French-Canadian population in northern New England. Subsequently, the paper published an attack on the character of Muskie’s wife Jane, reporting that she drank and used off-color language during the campaign. Muskie made an emotional defense of his wife in a speech outside the newspaper’s offices during a snowstorm. Though Muskie later stated that what had appeared to the press as tears were actually melted snowflakes, the press reports that Muskie broke down and cried shattered the candidate’s image as calm and reasoned.[3]

Evidence later came to light during the Watergate scandal investigation that, during the 1972 presidential campaign the Nixon campaign committee maintained a “dirty tricks” unit focused on discrediting Nixon’s strongest challengers. FBI investigators revealed that the Canuck Letter was a forged document as part of the dirty tricks campaign against Democrats orchestrated by the Nixon campaign.[4]

Published in: on October 15, 2007 at 4:49 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #7: “Recalling rope’s horrors”

Leonard Pitts Jr.
Miami Herald
October 15, 2007

This will be a history of rope.

It strikes me that such a history is desperately needed just now. It seems the travesty in Jena, La., has spawned a ghastly trend. Remember how white students at Jena High placed nooses in a tree last year to communicate antipathy toward their black classmates? Now it’s happening all over.

A noose is left for a black workman at a construction site in the Chicago area. In Queens, a woman brandishes a noose to threaten her black neighbors. A noose is left on the door of a black professor at Columbia University. And that’s just last week. Go back a little further and you have similar incidents at the University of Maryland in College Park, at a police department on Long Island, on a Coast Guard cutter, in a bus maintenance garage in Pittsburgh.

 

Mark Potok, the director of the Intelligence Project of the Southern Poverty Law Center told USA Today: “For a dozen incidents to come to the public’s attention is a lot. I don’t generally see noose incidents in a typical month. We might hear about a handful in a year.”

The superintendent of schools in Jena famously dismissed the original incident as a “prank.” It was an astonishing response, speaking volumes about the blithe historical ignorance of people who have found it convenient not to peer too closely at the atrocities of the past lest they be accidentally … moved.

But watching this trend unfold, it occurs to me that maybe what we need here is the opposite of ignorance. Maybe what we need is information. Maybe what we need is a history of rope.

A history of rope would have to include, in 1904, Luther Holbert and his wife, who had their fingers chopped off and handed out as souvenirs. Holbert was beaten so badly one of his eyes came out. It hung by a thread. A large corkscrew was used to bore into the couple’s flesh. It tore out big chunks of them each time it was withdrawn. A rope was used to tie them to a tree.

A history of rope would have to include, in 1917, Rufus Moncrief, who was beaten senseless by a mob. They used a saw to cut off his arms and otherwise mutilated him. The mob hanged Moncrief. Then, for good measure, they hanged his dog. Ropes were used for both.

A history of rope would have to include, in 1918, Mary Turner, burned alive in Valdosta, Ga. A man used a hog-splitting knife to slash her swollen stomach. The baby she had carried nearly to term tumbled out and managed two cries before the man crushed its head beneath his heel. A rope was used to tie Turner upside down in a tree.

A history of rope would include thousands of Turners, Moncriefs and Holberts. It would range widely across the geography of this nation and the years of the last two centuries. A history of rope would travel from Cairo, Ill., in 1909 to Fort Lauderdale, Fla., in 1935 to Urbana, Ohio, in 1897 to Wrightsville, Ga., in 1903, to Leitchfield, Ky., in 1913 to Newbern, Tenn., in 1902. And beyond.

You might say the country has changed since then, and it has. The problem is, it’s changing again.

It feels as if in recent years we the people have traveled backward from even the pretense of believing our loftiest ideals. It has become fashionable to decry excessive “political correctness,” deride “diversity,” sneer at the “protected classes.” Code words sanding down hatred’s rough edge. “State’s rights” for the new millennium. And now, out come the nooses. Just a prank, the man says.

Mary Turner would argue otherwise. I find it useful to remember her, useful to be reminded of things we would rather forget. To remember her is to understand that there is no prank here.

A history of rope would drown your conscience in blood.

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CE Week #7: “Good Iraq news gets short shrift”

David Reinhard
The Oregonian
October 15, 2007

Things must be improving in Iraq, because you don’t read or hear about it as much these days. If things were getting worse – or staying the same – you can bet the big networks and newspapers would be out spreading the news. The prestige media would be declaring Gen. David Petraeus’ surge a bust and dissecting its failure in lavish, even loving, detail.

Now the best anyone can come up with is another story about Blackwater, which simply doesn’t pack the wallop of Abu Ghraib and Haditha. Moreover, the recent fixation on a U.S. security firm operating in Iraq is too obvious. (Come on, guys, everybody sees what you’re doing.) Abu Ghraib and Haditha became incantations of a war gone bad. The mounting war dead became an invitation for throat-clearing “quagmire” pronouncements. Abu Ghraib, Haditha, deteriorating security in Iraq – yeah, those were the days.

 

Now the nation’s naysayers are left with this: The U.S. military reported last week that troop deaths in Iraq went down for the fourth month in a row, and the Iraqi government reported that civilian deaths declined by half in September.

What to do? Well, CBS and NBC gave the new casualty figures a few sentences on their evening news programs, and the major papers played the news far from their front pages. Only ABC led with the story. In fact, the Washington Post’s media critic, Howard Kurtz, wondered about the short shrift the media gave this news after four years of “continuously depressing” news. On CNN’s “Reliable Sources,” he asked the Washington Post’s Robin Wright and CNN’s Barbara Starr whether the news should have received more attention. Perish the thought, they both said – we’re not sure there is a trend yet.

OK, four months is not a trend. But Kurtz then asked the obvious question: If those casualty figures had gone up, wouldn’t that have made front pages? “Oh, I think inevitably it would have,” replied Starr. “I mean, that … by any definition, is news.”

OK, bad Iraq news is news, good Iraq news is not.

Even the bad news out of Iraq isn’t what it used to be. Recall Haditha. In the spring of 2006, Rep. John Murtha said that Pentagon sources had told him Marines there had murdered 24 Iraqis “in cold blood” and that the cover-up of the November 2005 massacre “goes right up the chain of command.” It was, for a season, the “event” that told ever so many all they needed to know about what was wrong in Iraq. Murtha said it happened because our forces are stretched too thin. It was going to be this war’s My Lai – a dark incantation summing up the whole rotten mess, a one-word dirge of our immediate disgrace and inevitable defeat. Haditha, Haditha, Haditha!

All that was missing were … actual facts, completed investigations and court proceedings.

Last week Haditha became not-so-much news. That is, it became good news, which, in the media’s strange calculus of Iraq, is not big news.

A senior military investigator recommended dropping murder charges against Staff Sgt. Frank D. Wuterich, the last ranking enlisted Marine charged in the case. Lt. Col. Paul J. Ware recommended the charges be downgraded to negligent homicide if the case went to court-martial. Earlier he had recommended that all charges be dropped against the two Marines accused of murder in Haditha. His conclusion in all three cases: insufficient evidence.

The New York Times reported the latest Haditha news back on Page 8. In May 2006, the paper had a Page One story declaring that “Military Expected to Report Marines Killed Iraqi Civilians.” Front-page charges, back-page exonerations. “Last year, when accounts of the killing of 24 Iraqis in Haditha by a group of Marines came to light,” The Times’ Paul von Zielbauer wrote Saturday, “it seemed that the Iraq war had produced its defining atrocity.”

Perhaps Haditha did produce this war’s defining atrocity, just not in the way so many once imagined. Rushing to accuse Marines of murdering two dozen Iraqi innocents “in cold blood” and alleging a cover-up “right up the chain of command” before the facts are known – using the alleged massacre to serve your pet theories on the war’s conduct or your anti-war stand when the conflict is going poorly – this could be the war’s “defining atrocity” if the progress on the ground reported recently is sustained.

I know, let’s get back to Blackwater.

CE Week #7: “The Disciples of Ron Paul, Spreading the Word in N.H.”


By Jose Antonio Vargas
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, October 15, 2007; C01

STRAFFORD, N.H. — There’s no mistaking which house on Lake Shore Drive, about 45 minutes northeast of Manchester, is the one full of Paulites — the intensely loyal, almost fanatical supporters of Rep. Ron Paul. Signs are everywhere. On the back window of a brand new black Toyota, on the bumper of a green Geo, on a white Volvo station wagon that sits beside a beat-up lime green Honda. “Ron Paul 2008.”

“We can run the whole New Hampshire campaign right here,” says Jim Forsythe, 39, a former Air Force pilot who’s on his driveway in jeans, T-shirt and white socks. “We’re the hard-core supporters.”

Like Paul himself, the Paulites are against the war in Iraq, against the growing federal bureaucracy, against the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Education, the income tax, against, as Forsythe says, “politics as we’ve known it.”

Inside Forsythe’s kitchen, snacking on spinach dip, there’s Kelly Halldorson, 34, a mother of three whose first presidential vote went to Bill Clinton. And Jane Aitken, 58, a retired art teacher who voted for President Bush in 2000 and 2004. And Will Albenzi, 28, a security guard who’s gotten so disillusioned with the Republican and Democratic parties that he belongs to neither.

And this being the Granite State, the first primary state famous for its independent “Live Free or Die” attitude, there’s Chris Lawless, a 38-year-old software technician who’s followed Paul’s career since 1988, when the obstetrician-turned-congressman ran for the White House as the Libertarian Party nominee.

In a state where Patrick Buchanan upset Bob Dole, the front-runner for the GOP nomination, more than a decade ago, anything is possible, says Andrew Smith, a pollster and director of the University of New Hampshire’s Survey Center. As of last November, 26 percent of New Hampshire’s electorate were registered Democrats and 30 percent were Republicans. But the biggest block of voters — 44 percent — were undeclared. Forty percent to 45 percent of those, Smith says, leaned Democrat and 25 percent to 30 percent Republican.

But whatever their backgrounds, the Paulites have catapulted a Republican candidate often described “eccentric,” “unknown” and a “long shot” into a spotlight. Paul may be the candidate who has tapped into that independent and frustrated portion of the electorate that in every race is looking for a third way.

This month, the 10-term Texas Republican stunned the GOP field by raising a little more than $5 million in the third quarter, 70 percent of it from online donations; Sen. John McCain, once considered the front-runner for the GOP nomination, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who placed a strong second in the Iowa straw poll in August, raised $6 million and $1 million, respectively. For months now, Paul has been the most popular GOP candidate on the Web, with more supporters on MySpace, Facebook and Meetup than Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson or Mitt Romney, who won the Iowa straw poll and leads in the polls here.

“Everyone — the staffers in the other campaigns, the bigwig political observers in the state — is scratching their heads. They don’t know what to make of this Ron Paul phenomenon,” pollster Smith says. A University of New Hampshire poll last month showed Paul at 4 percent in the state. The most recent Washington Post-ABC News national poll, also from last month, had him at 3 percent. “The other campaigns aren’t worried that he’d win the primary. They just don’t know who his supporters are and whose support he’s taking away,” Smith adds. “His poll numbers aren’t high now, but it’s only October. And they could see him getting 10 percent of the vote here. If you get 10 percent of the vote in a crowded field, well, you might finish third.” But the Paulites are aiming for higher than third place.

Last week, they gathered at Forsythe’s house to watch the latest GOP presidential debate. Forsythe is the most recent Paulite convert of the bunch. The father of two heard Paul speak in February and remembers how he derided big government and unnecessary wars. Says Forsythe, an aerospace engineer: “That really got me. I fought in Bosnia, Somalia and Iraq, the Iraq before this Iraq war.

“I just couldn’t believe a politician was talking about these things,” he says. “And the thing is, what’s going on with Ron Paul, what he’s tapping into, speaks to how much the Republican Party has lost its way.”

* * *

Paul isn’t using the Internet. The Internet is using him.

Yes, the 72-year-old’s main headquarters sits in a nondescript office building in Arlington. But his real headquarters may be on the Web, where Paulites have organized, raised money and created buzz, all independent of the official campaign. Take Meetup. There are 994 Ron Paul Meetup groups, more than all the other candidates in both parties combined, and New Hampshire has four, the largest being Forsythe’s. The group’s name is HQNH, and its 418 members have their own Web site, where Forsythe is the blogmaster. Kate Rick, one of Paul’s four staffers in New Hampshire, says HQNH is the candidate’s most effective grass-roots operation, handing out literature at gun shows, holding up signs at fairs and canvassing. Rick should know. She helped start HQNH.

Some quarters of the blogosphere have obsessed over Paul’s intense online following, but things kicked up early this month when Paul announced his third-quarter fundraising figures. Unlike the rest of the presidential field, Paul has consistently improved on his money haul, taking in $640,000 in the first quarter, $2.4 million in the second and $5.1 million two weeks ago. At least two-thirds of the donations, his aides say, came from the Internet. New Hampshire gave the most money per capita, according to the campaign, and the most dollars from one area came from Los Angeles County.

“This is the first politician I can truly support, ever,” says 53-year-old William D. Johnson, who runs a law firm in downtown L.A. and has donated the maximum, $2,300. A former Democrat, he switched to the GOP because of Paul. “I don’t agree with all his positions — he’s not as strong on environmental issues as I’d like — but because of his record you know that he’s a man of utmost integrity.”

There are shades of Howard Dean here, the way the insurgent Democratic candidate embraced the Web in 2003. And shades of McCain, too. The Arizona senator raised $1 million in two days online in 2000 after beating Bush in the New Hampshire primary.

But the most fitting analogy, political analysts here say, might be Patrick Buchanan. Though Paul has not been a general in the culture wars like Buchanan, both men come from the old right of the GOP, pols who champion limited government and fiscal conservatism. Buchanan was barely registering in the New Hampshire polls months before his surprise defeat of Bob Dole in 1996.

“As surprising as Ron Paul’s popularity is, you see where it’s coming from. In an election in which a party doesn’t think it will win — and a lot of Republicans here have a perception that no matter the nominee, they’re going to lose next year — voters have an opportunity to vote with their gut,” says the University of New Hampshire’s Smith. “But what Ron Paul has to overcome is this image that his supporters are people with tinfoil hats on, folks on the fringes of society. I’m not saying that’s the case, though that’s the story line that the media has on him.”

Adds Matt Lewis, a blogger and director of operations at the conservative site Townhall: “He’s connecting online, no doubt about it. His antiwar and anti-big government message — in a time of war and big government — is carrying through. But how is all this money, all this online popularity going to translate to actual votes come primary day?”

With $5.3 million in his coffers, Paul is planning to spend more money in New Hampshire, his aides say. He’s visited the state five times, they add, and recently bought his first radio spot. But the campaign is looking past New Hampshire, opening offices in Arizona, Utah and California. In July, the campaign had 10 staff members. Now it has 45.

In an interview, Paul says: “To be honest, I didn’t think we’d be in this position, getting this kind of attention, having this kind of money. I tell my staff, ‘Don’t get bloated. Be careful with the money.’ I’ve been saying the same things for a long time. But now more people seem to be listening.”

* * *

Just how far do Paulites go to show their support?

Some stamp their money with RON PAUL. Others wear T-shirts that read: “Who is Ron Paul?” There are men who carry little Ron Paul cards and drop them on top of urinals, no joke. “You have to get creative. Sometimes guys need something to read in the bathroom,” says Chris Richards, 38, who works in finance. Sometimes a Paulite gets too carried away and walks 38 miles — from Dover to Concord, a day-long trek — to campaign for Paul. After watching television pundit George Stephanopoulos tell Paul that he would bet his “every cent” that he won’t be president, Halldorson, the 34-year-old mother of three, got so frustrated that she grabbed some campaign literature and handed it out all day. A video is up on YouTube.

“Have you ever heard the expression, ‘What’s wrong is right and what’s right is wrong?’ ” Aitken, the retired art teacher, asks. “We’ve been doing things that are so wrong for so long that the right thing for some might feel freaky. Sometimes you have to stop and think, ‘Okay, this is my conviction.’ “

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CE Week #7: “Obama’s symbolic misstep”

Kathleen Parker
Orlando Sentinel
October 12, 2007

The much ado about Barack Obama’s decision not to wear an American flag lapel pin was, well, symbolic.

To follow the debate that followed the headline that followed the nonstory about a dated decision is to witness where acute partisanship has led us. From the hue and cry on the right, you’d have thought Obama had flushed a Bible down the toilet.

What Obama did might have escaped anyone’s notice but for what he said when a reporter in Iowa recently asked him about the missing pin. In the Age of Public Virtue, it is apparently essential that citizens flaunt their patriotism; crucial if they’re running for public office.

 

Obama replied that he had worn a flag pin immediately after Sept. 11, but removed it when he felt it had become a substitute for “true patriotism.”

He said he preferred to demonstrate his allegiance to the US of A by “speaking out on issues that are of importance to our national security” and by trying “to tell the American people what I believe will make this country great, and hopefully that will be a testimony to my patriotism.”

One could argue that Obama didn’t say exactly the right thing, politically. When campaigning for president, it’s probably best not to insult all those nice Iowans who have flagpoles in their front yards and flag pins in their lapels.

On the other hand, most honest brokers know exactly what he meant, and he’s not wrong. Overused symbols lose their meaning.

There was a time not long ago when displaying one’s political or religious affiliations – as well as one’s affections – was considered seriously bad form. Today it’s bad form to be private, and votes swing on which candidate lays on the best kiss.

From crucifix necklaces and fish lapel pins that declare “I’m a Christian” to colored rubber wristbands that convey solidarity with cancer victims and environmentalists, we’ve become a nation of exhibitionist symbolists.

Competitive caring is the new national sport in which the victor is judged not by acts of charity but by the number of bracelets stacked on his wrists. We wear stickers after we vote or give blood – and plaster yellow ribbons on our SUVs – lest anyone doubt we support our troops.

By making symbols fashionable, we’ve ratified boasting as an act of redemption and elevated empathy to an existential conceit. I care, therefore I am. I care more than you do, therefore I am more than you are.

I wear this lapel pin, therefore, my country ’tis of me, not thee.

But of course that ain’t necessarily so. Sometimes those most publicly virtuous are the least. Some “values” conservatives have wide stances, for instance. Some greenies travel to global warming conferences in private jets. Some politicians wear flag pins just because.

Hypocrisy isn’t inevitable, but neither is the wearing of symbols a guarantee of sincerity.

There’s an obsessive-compulsive component to this ritualized belonging that is tied to another characteristic of our age – anxiety. We find relief by forming identity groups around what we fear. We create symbols and rituals as ways of organizing that anxiety and exercising control over the thing that controls us.

Buy a pink toaster and maybe breast cancer won’t get us. Affix a fish emblem to our cars and maybe Jesus will get us home safely. Valium with adhesive backing.

Consciously, we know it’s “just” a symbol, but symbols have power by virtue of their ability to reach the unconscious – our primitive selves – and to trigger an emotional response. Our little lizard brains get upset and we react viscerally when others disrespect our cherished symbols.

That may explain why Obama’s comment caused such a stir. The American flag doesn’t just stand for patriotism. It stands for an idea and calls up an entire landscape of American memory.

It also pays silent homage to all who came before, those American forefathers who spilled their blood so that a Barack Obama – biracial son of an American mother and a Kenyan father – someday could run for president of the greatest nation man ever conceived.

That’s a heap o’ wallop packed in a cheap trinket.

Wearing one wouldn’t necessarily make Obama a better patriot, but it might make him a better politician.

Published in: on October 14, 2007 at 8:01 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #7: “More Unum, less Pluribus”

William Mckenzie
Dallas Morning News
October 12, 2007

My hunch is that for many of us, our fascination with World War II stems from a deep, hidden yearning for community. We respect the bravery of soldiers who served and bled for their country, but the new Ken Burns documentary, following the Tom Brokaw books, grabs our attention because we envy a time when America had common purpose.

We obviously aren’t united about Iraq. For that matter, except for a few weeks after Sept. 11, we haven’t been a very unified nation since before Vietnam.

 

World War II was different. One of the more interesting parts of Burns’ PBS series is his look at four communities back home while battles raged in Europe and the Pacific. He interviews people about how the war played out in towns such as Sacramento and how the conflict affected them.

He’s essentially saying that greatest generation wasn’t made up only of soldiers in the field. It was the folks back home, too. Everyone was wrapped up in the cause, right down to girls following their boyfriends’ deployments on maps of Europe and women joining the work force for the first time.

Burns summed up the difference between then and now when he recently told USA Today that we lack “the shared sacrifices World War II demanded that created community and made us spiritually richer.”

Today, “we aren’t asked to give up anything. We’re narcissistic free agents,” he said. “Surfing the Internet alone. Watching TV alone. Driving alone. There’s too much Pluribus and not enough Unum.”

It wasn’t until I considered this element of community – and who makes up the greatest generation – that I was able to put my finger on what I so admire about my mother and the ladies she has banded with for more than five decades. The more I think about them holding together as friends since they were young girls, sharing everything from Pearl Harbor to firstborns to shattering deaths, the more I realize they are a microcosm of the community for which many of us yearn.

These women still meet for cards each Tuesday, but the Poker Club, as it is called, is about much more than the aces, jacks and deuces they put on the table.

They probably wouldn’t think of themselves this way, but together they are the antithesis of today’s go-it-alone ethos. They have been meeting each week since before Eisenhower was president, before many women worked and long before anyone dreamed of the term “greatest generation.”

Like many other wives and mothers of their era, they often made their mark silently. They enjoyed common rites of passage while bearing up through adversity for the good of their families.

The Poker Club members married after World War II, had children, joined the PTA, attended Little League games, drove in carpools, hosted birthday parties, celebrated graduations and watched their children marry and start families of their own.

They also ran into their share of struggles. Together, they endured the dissolution of marriages, their children’s ups and downs and the loss of friends. At any given moment, life wasn’t working for one or more of them.

So they counseled each other, bore up through disease and addictions and survived tears at hospitals.

In other words, they persevered. And they made it through glorious and shattering personal and world events because they stuck together.

We celebrate the men who won World War II, who fought in the trenches and came home to start their careers after liberating a continent and triumphing in the Pacific.

But women like these, whom you can find in every community and whom Burns brought to light in his documentary, are just as important in helping us understand – and perhaps recapture – the sense of community their generation experienced. They may not have won a war, not literally, but they were part of the rebirth of our nation after a long and deadly conflict.

As hard as it is to imagine now, we will find our way past Iraq someday. Maybe then we can recapture that sense of community. If we do, we probably will have an even more direct connection with World War II and the greatest generation.

And may we then recall as fondly the women in our own communities who pushed their families forward, held each other together and looked ahead, not back.

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CE Week #7: “Rudy Giuliani – Would You Buy A Used Hawk From This Man?”

By   Michael Hirsh
With Sarah Elkins And Steve Tuttle

Newsweek Neocons can’t help but slink around Washington, D.C. The Iraq War has given the neoconservatives — who favor the assertive use of American power abroad to spread American values — something of a bad name, and several of the Republican candidates seem less than eager to hire them as advisers. But Rudy Giuliani apparently never got that memo. One of the top foreign-policy consultants to the leading GOP candidate is Norman Podhoretz, a founding father of the neocon movement.

Podhoretz is in favor of bombing Iran because of the country’s unwillingness to suspend its uranium-enrichment program. He also believes America is engaged in a “world war” with “Islamofascism” and that Giuliani is the only man who can win it. “I decided to join Giuliani’s team because his view of the war — what I call World War IV — is very close to my own,” Podhoretz tells NEWSWEEK. (World War III, in his view, was the cold war.) “And also because he has the qualities of a wartime leader, including a fighting spirit and a determination to win.” Giuliani clearly hopes this image, born of his heroic performance on 9/11, can carry him to the GOP nomination and to the White House. But is he really the candidate who will “keep Americans safer” if his primary tactic is to go “on offense” in the “long war,” as he often puts it in his campaign stump speech? Critics will say that the neocons already tried that — in Iraq. Still, what’s left of the neocon movement does seem to be converging around the Giuliani campaign, to some degree, because he embraces their common themes: a willingness to use military power, a tendency to group all radical Islamist groups together as a common enemy, strong support for Israel and an aggressive posture toward Iran. “He’s positioning himself as the neo-neocon,” jokes Richard Holbrooke, a top foreign-policy adviser to Hillary Clinton.

Among the core consultants surrounding Giuliani: Martin Kramer, who has led an attack on U.S. Middle Eastern scholars since 9/11 for being soft on terrorism; Stephen Rosen, a hawkish professor at Harvard who advocates major new spending on defense and is close to prominent neoconservative Bill Kristol; former Wisconsin senator Bob Kasten, who often sided with the neocons during the Reagan era and was an untiring supporter of aid to Israel, and Daniel Pipes, who has advocated for the racial profiling of Muslim Americans. (He’s argued that the internment of Japanese-Americans during World War II was not the moral offense it’s been portrayed as, though he doesn’t say Muslims should suffer the same.)

Some traditional conservatives are wary of the Giuliani team. “Clearly it is a rather one-sided group of people,” says Dimitri Simes of the Nixon Center, a Washington think tank. “Their foreign-policy manifesto seems to be ‘We’re right, we’re powerful, and just make my day.’ He’s out-Bushing Bush.” Giuliani campaign spokeswoman Maria Comella says that while the candidate listens to these advisers because “he wants to have as much information as possible, at the end of the day he makes his own decisions.” In some speeches and writings, Giuliani has clearly departed from the more extreme views of Podhoretz — who has said he “hopes and prays” that Bush bombs Iran –and others. His foreign-affairs team also consists of those who take a more centrist view, chief among them his policy coordinator, Yale scholar Charles Hill, who is more skeptical of policies like democracy promotion than most neocons. “I don’t really know much about neoconservatives,” Hill tells NEWSWEEK, adding that the team engages in “lively discussions.” Asked recently in London about Iran, Giuliani said he hoped to avoid military action in the end, but he indicated that the threat of using it should be made plain. “I believe the United States and our allies should deliver a very clear message to Iran, very clear, very sober, very serious: they will not be allowed to become a nuclear power,” he said. Podhoretz, by contrast, tells NEWSWEEK: “I believe that a bombing campaign is the only way to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear capability.”

Regardless of any differences on Iran, Giuliani’s neocons are in line with his pro-Israel stance. As mayor of New York — home to the largest Jewish community in the United States — Giuliani became renowned in the 1990s for his aggressive support of Israel and his mistrust of Palestinian leaders. In 1995, with the Oslo peace process underway, Giuliani kicked Yasir Arafat out of a concert for world leaders at Lincoln Center. Arafat “has never been held to answer for the murders he was implicated in,” the mayor said. On a trip to Israel in 2001, Giuliani told an Israeli audience: “We’re together with you. We are bound by blood.” Earlier this year, in an interview with Foreign Affairs magazine, Giuliani suggested that “too much emphasis” had been placed on promoting negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. He said “it is not in the interest of the United States, at a time when it is being threatened by Islamist terrorists, to assist in the creation of another state that will support terrorism.” One of his advisers, Pipes, has advocated “razing [Palestinian] villages from which attacks are launched.”

All the other candidates for president, both Republican and Democratic, are also advocates of Israel, as are most American voters. And Giuliani’s GOP rivals have also taken strong stands against Iran’s nuclear program. There are also a few neocons advising them — most notably, Liz Cheney, the vice president’s daughter, who has joined Fred Thompson’s team. Yet other GOP candidates, like Mitt Romney, have shied away from identifying too much with neocons, especially those who worked for the Bush administration. Romney has consulted with critics and skeptics of the Iraq War, including Gen. Anthony Zinni, Gen. Barry McCaffrey and former NATO commander Joseph Ralston — but he’s also met with hawks like Fred Kagan. “He talks to everybody, more or less,” says one campaign adviser who didn’t want to be named talking about internal campaign strategy.

Giuliani may be gambling by leaning so heavily on the unpopular neocons. He also knows, however, that painting the War on Terror as a broad moral crusade — the basic neocon approach — is probably the only way he can win over a conservative Republican base that doesn’t like his squishiness on values issues like abortion or his marriages. Giuliani has succeeded by casting the War on Terror as the “defense of Western civilization, and for many [conservative] voters that is a moral issue” that may be as important as abortion, says Gary Bauer of American Values, an advocacy group that promotes traditional marriage and pro-life views, among other conservative issues. (He’s not backing a candidate.) “Without that it would be inconceivable that a socially liberal New York mayor could be leading in the polls for the Republican nomination.” Giuliani’s support of Israel also plays well with Christian evangelicals who have made survival of the Jewish state part of their doctrine. Then there is the Clinton factor. Even key Southern evangelical leaders who don’t favor Giuliani because of his views on abortion, like Richard Land of the Southern Baptist Convention, tell NEWSWEEK that Giuliani is still running strong because the right sees him “as the only candidate who can beat Senator Clinton.” No matter whom he’s taking advice from, Giuliani knows that the impression that he can make Americans safer than Hillary Clinton could ultimately bring him the nomination and the presidency.

With Sarah Elkins And Steve Tuttle

Rudy’s Right Hands

Will Giuliani make us safer? His foreign-policy team boasts some of the Bush era’s most assertive neoconservatives. They include:

Norman Podhoretz

The latest book by neocon maestro Podhoretz, “World War IV,” warns that radical Islam poses a greater threat than communism or Nazism did. He wrote an essay, “The Case for Bombing Iran,” subtitled “I hope and pray that President Bush will do it.”

Martin Kramer

The conservative think tanker has been sharply critical of American scholarship on the Middle East. His blog argues that America should be more concerned with bringing down “Islamist zealots … who detest America” than in democracy-building.

Daniel Pipes

The historian founded the Middle East Forum, which advocates for “fighting radical Islam, whether terroristic or lawful” and “countering the Iranian threat.” The Web site he started, Campus Watch, opposes anti-American and anti-Israel bias.

Peter Berkowitz

Giuliani’s senior statecraft, human-rights and freedom adviser, Berkowitz — a professor at George Mason Law School — is a champion of philosopher Leo Strauss, the inspiration for many of the neoconservatives’ policy stances.

Nile Gardiner

The former Thatcher adviser is director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, which shapes “U.S.-British policy towards rogue states.” Gardiner says we’re in “another Munich moment” with Iran and has likened Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Hitler.

Robert Kasten

Kasten, a former U.S. senator, consistently supported aid to Israel and sided with Reagan neocons in the ’80s. He also crossed swords with the U.N. over its “coercive” family planning and favored cutting aid to countries that don’t vote with the United States at the U.N.

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CE Week #7: “Eco-Rebels”

By Bryan Walsh

Maybe it happened the day after Hurricane Katrina or the night Al Gore won an Oscar for An Inconvenient Truth, but the first phase of the global-warming debate has ended. Even Skeptic-in-Chief George W. Bush recently convened a global-warming summit, where Condoleezza Rice told foreign diplomats that “climate change is a real problem–and human beings are contributing to it.”

But the climate wars are far from over, and there are still dissidents emerging to challenge the green mainstream. Unlike past skeptics, they accept the basics of global warming but question its severity and challenge the orthodox faith that Kyoto Protocol-style mandatory carbon cuts are the best way to save the planet. Call them the bad boys of environmentalism: gadflies like the Danish economist Bjorn Lomborg, who just came out with the book Cool It, and rebel greens like the political consultants Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger, who detail their apostasy in Break Through. While their solutions may be flawed, the questions these contrarians raise about climate change are central as we shift into the next and more difficult phase in the debate: what should be done about it.

Lomborg is the right’s favorite environmentalist, and it’s easy to see why. Though he believes that the world is getting warmer and that humankind is causing it, Lomborg’s not too worried. Endangered polar bears? He insists that they’re actually thriving. Rising sea levels swamping coastal cities? Lomborg argues that floods won’t be biblical and that man-made defenses will be sufficient. The main effect of global warming, he writes, may be that “we just notice people wearing slightly fewer layers of winter clothes on a winter’s evening.”

The Dane’s grasp of climate science seems shaky at best. The polar bear is far from O.K.: the U.S. Geological Survey reported last month that two-thirds of the population will disappear by 2050 because of shrinking sea ice. But his main argument is still worth considering. Lomborg believes that it would be far too costly to reduce global carbon emissions enough to actually cool the climate. Since warming is coming no matter what we do and poor countries will suffer the most from it, we should instead direct scarce resources to helping those nations adapt to climate change. That means improving health-care systems and aiding economic growth so that poor countries are better prepared for calamities ahead, climate-related or not. Lomborg is correct to point out that if we’re so worried about the future famines and diseases and refugees of a warmer world, we might want to first do a little more for the hundreds of millions suffering from those catastrophes right now.

Americans Nordhaus and Shellenberger have backgrounds in both politics and environmentalism, and they mercilessly skewer the political mistakes of the green movement. For all the public attention climate change has won, U.S. greens have so far failed to achieve national political action on the issue–and the authors insist that won’t change as long as environmentalism remains wedded to what they call the “politics of limits.” Mandatory emission cuts alone won’t be enough to drive the kind of innovation needed to break the world of its fossil-fuel habit–and China and India will never sign on to caps that could limit economic growth. Instead, Nordhaus and Shellenberger argue for Apollo-program-style government investment in clean-energy research, on the order of $30 billion a year. It’s a smart, if not wholly original idea–not least because it would allow greens to frame climate change as an inspiring challenge, not just a pending catastrophe. And that’s a contrarian position that just might help win the climate wars.

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CE Week #7: “Still Looking For Mr. Right”

By NANCY GIBBS, MICHAEL DUFFY

One thing the Council for National Policy (CNP) is never supposed to do is make news. The invitation-only club, whose aggressively vague name is an invisibility cloak for some of the most influential economic and social conservatives in the country, meets three times a year to plot the vast right-wing conspiracy’s next moves–and remind its members not to talk to reporters or even refer to the group by name. Those attending the three-day September meeting in Salt Lake City got to hear Vice President Dick Cheney talk about the war and Mitt Romney testify on his home turf for family values. The agenda included sessions like the Next Generation of Conservatives, presented by the Rev. Jonathan Falwell; What Is Endangered: Climate or Freedom?; and Parents’ Rights in Public Schools.

But it was a much smaller group of religious conservatives attending the conference who couldn’t resist the opportunity to dust off their flamethrowers and aim them squarely at the rest of their party. On Saturday afternoon, a group of about 45 huddled privately to hear Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, handicap the 2008 race. And out of that two-hour rump session came the warning that within 48 hours landed in every political inbox: If Republicans go ahead and nominate the “pro-abortion” Rudy Giuliani, social conservatives will consider a third-party candidate in 2008. Republican leaders, explains conservative patriarch Richard Viguerie, “think they can holler, ‘The bogeyman’s coming, the bogeyman’s coming!’ every four years, and conservatives will get on board. There is zero evidence of that. They think we will be so afraid of Hillary and losing the Supreme Court that we will just fall in line. Well, we might want to run another candidate.”

The party’s right wing has been flapping for months at the prospect of a pro-choice Republican nominee. But Giuliani is also pro-immigration, pro-gun control and sufficiently indifferent to Evangelical sensibilities to interrupt his let’s-kiss-and-make-up speech at the National Rifle Association and take a cell-phone call from his third wife, whose very existence is a reminder of how little they all have in common. And yet Giuliani continues to float atop most national polls, with 30% Republican support overall and a 27% plurality among Republicans who attend church regularly. Is it possible that his fans haven’t read the fine print? “We ask if they know about his position on abortion, and an amazing number do not,” says political scientist John Green of the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, who found that even among Republicans who rank social issues as very important, two-thirds did not know Giuliani’s abortion stance.

To many values voters, Giuliani’s rise is one more insult in the wake of the serial GOP sex scandals in Congress, the failure of George W. Bush’s Administration to amend the Constitution to outlaw gay marriage, and a hunch that religious voters register on the Republican radar only when Election Day is in sight.

For a moment this summer, the savior was supposed to be Fred Thompson–who, whether or not he’s a true conservative, has certainly played one on TV. But with reminders that in real life he supported the hated campaign-finance-reform bill, lobbied for family-planning groups, didn’t go to church and was enough of a federalist to leave the definition of marriage to the individual states, it didn’t take long for Thompson’s halo to dim. Lest anyone remain smitten, Focus on the Family leader James Dobson sent his followers a rocket in September, writing “He has no passion, no zeal and no apparent ‘want to.’ And yet he is apparently the Great Hope that burns in the breasts of many conservative Christians? Well, not for me, my brothers. Not for me!”

There were some at the CNP breakout who shared the spirit but questioned the wisdom of making the third-party threat. Recalled a participant who likened the splinter group to a kamikaze mission: “I was just sitting there thinking how every third-party effort has accomplished the exact opposite of what was intended. Perot helped give America the Clintons, and Nader delivered the White House to Bush.” Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, a Southern Baptist minister often cited as the ideal bridge-building vice-presidential pick, was in no hurry to see his brethren break away. “The fact that a few people talk about a third party doesn’t mean that they are the rank and file.”

But the threat has a certain beautiful logic, even if following through with it would be suicidal. To conservatives who don’t love Giuliani but hate Hillary Clinton, the message is very simple: Don’t bother swallowing your principles to stop Clinton because if enough pro-lifers shift to a third party, Rudy loses anyway. The purists are also making a pragmatic argument: If your conscience doesn’t guide you, how about self-interest? Take abortion off the table, warns Richard Land, the Southern Baptists’ political point man, and “what you do is give the Democrats a license to go hunting for Evangelical votes on other things they care about–on climate change, economic justice, racial reconciliation.” Green’s research suggests that this risk is real. It’s much harder for the GOP to mobilize Christian conservative voters, he says, if abortion is not part of the debate.

And yet the virtuecrats face a challenge from Republican voters who back Giuliani on principle–just a different set of principles from Dobson’s. For many voters, the existential threat of Islamic terrorism trumps domestic social issues like abortion and gay marriage. A Pew Research Center poll finds a continuing shift in the issue valence: even among white Evangelical Protestants, the war is described as very important by 66%, compared with 56% for social issues. That can only help the former New York City mayor whose local war on terrorism was viewed as more competent than Bush’s and who famously ejected Yasser Arafat from Lincoln Center and practically wore a cape to work as an urban crime fighter.

Land flatly asserts that “Giuliani would be the nominee if he were pro-life.” Of course, he adds, “even if he told me he was pro-life, he also told three wives he’d love, honor and cherish them till death do us part.” As for Giuliani, he responded to the third-party threat by embracing the very argument his critics despise. “Every poll shows that I would be, by far, the strongest candidate against Hillary Clinton,” he said the day after the grenade landed. “There hasn’t been one taken in the last six or seven months that shows anything other than I’m the Republican that has the best chance to beat her.” Perhaps he is getting accustomed to being left out of the club that doesn’t want him as a member. The Iowa Christian Alliance just threw a dinner to which they invited all the GOP candidates–except one.

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CE Week #7: “Al Gore wins Nobel Peace Prize”

Ex-VP, intergovernmental body jointly honored for global warming work

MSNBC staff and news service reports

Updated: 5:57 a.m. PT Oct 12, 2007

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OSLO, Norway – Former Vice President Al Gore and the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change won the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize Friday for their efforts to spread awareness of man-made climate change and lay the foundations for counteracting it.

“I am deeply honored to receive the Nobel Peace Prize,” Gore said in a statement. “We face a true planetary emergency. The climate crisis is not a political issue, it is a moral and spiritual challenge to all of humanity.”

Gore won an Academy Award this year for his film “An Inconvenient Truth,” a documentary on global warming, and had been widely expected to win the prize.

“His strong commitment, reflected in political activity, lectures, films and books, has strengthened the struggle against climate change,” the citation said. “He is probably the single individual who has done most to create greater worldwide understanding of the measures that need to be adopted.”

It cited Gore’s awareness at an early stage “of the climatic challenges the world is facing.”

Panel’s two decades
The committee also cited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for two decades of scientific reports that have “created an ever-broader informed consensus about the connection between human activities and global warming.”

The IPCC groups 2,500 researchers from more than 130 nations and issued reports this year blaming human activities for climate changes ranging from more heat waves to floods. It was set up in 1988 by the United Nations to help guide governments.

Climate change has moved high on the international agenda this year. The U.N. climate panel has been releasing reports, talks on a replacement for the 1997 Kyoto Protocol on climate are set to resume and on Europe’s northern fringe, where the awards committee works, there is growing concern about the melting Arctic.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee said global warming “may induce large-scale migration and lead to greater competition for the Earth’s resources. Such changes will place particularly heavy burdens on the world’s most vulnerable countries. There may be increased danger of violent conflicts and wars, within and between states.”

Gore said he would donate his share of the $1.5 million that accompanies the prize to the non-profit Alliance for Climate Protection.

Ole Danbolt Mjoes, chairman of the prize committee, said the award should not be seen as singling out the Bush administration for criticism.

“A peace prize is never a criticism of anything. A peace prize is a positive message and support to all those champions of peace in the world.”

President Bush abandoned the Kyoto Protocol because he said it would harm the U.S. economy and because it did not require immediate cuts by countries like China and India. The treaty aimed to put the biggest burden on the richest nations that contributed the most carbon emissions.

The U.S. Senate voted against mandatory carbon reductions before the Kyoto negotiations were completed. The treaty was never presented to the Senate for ratification by the Clinton administration.

“Al Gore has fought the environment battle even as vice president,” Mjoes said. “Many did not listen … but he carried on.”

Fans and foes
Reaction to the award was immediate.

“He’s like the proverbial nut that grew into a giant oak by standing his ground,” Patrick Michaels, a scholar with the free market Cato Institute, said in a statement. “We can only hope that he can parlay his prize into a run for the U. S. presidency, where he will be unable to hide from debate on his extreme and one-sided view of global warming.”

British bookmakers once put 100-to-1 odds on Gore winning an Oscar, becoming a Nobel laureate and becoming president. He has now accomplished two of the three, and on Friday bookies slashed the odds to 8/1 from 10/1.

Gore, 59, has been coy, saying repeatedly he’s not running for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2008, without ever closing that door completely.

FoxNews.com columnist Steve Milloy alleged that Gore “plays fast and loose with the facts to advance his personal agenda.”

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown called Gore ” inspirational in focusing attention across the globe on this key issue.”

Julia Marton-Lefèvre, head of the World Conservation Union, said that, “as Mr. Gore and the IPCC have clearly demonstrated, we can solve the grave dangers posed by climate change if we have the will. Let the Nobel Peace Prize become the embodiment of that will.”

“Al Gore made it okay to talk about global warming over breakfast and dinner tables all across America,” added Frances Beinecke, president of the Natural Resources Defense Council. “He made this unprecedented challenge understandable and the solutions accessible for millions of people.”

‘Question of war and peace’
The Nobel committee often uses the coveted prize to cast the global spotlight on a relatively little-known person or cause. Since Gore already had a high profile some had doubted that the committee would bestow the prize on him.

In recent years, the committee has broadened the interpretation of peacemaking and disarmament efforts outlined by Swedish industrialist Alfred Nobel in creating the prize with his 1895 will. The prize now often also recognizes human rights, democracy, elimination of poverty, sharing resources and the environment.

Two of the past three prizes have been untraditional, with the 2004 award to Kenya environmentalist Wangari Maathai and last year’s award to Bangladeshi economist Muhammad Yunus and his Grameen Bank, which makes to micro-loans to the country’s poor.

Jan Egeland, a Norwegian peace mediator and former U.N. undersecretary for humanitarian affairs, called climate change more than an environmental issue.

“It is a question of war and peace,” said Egeland, now director of the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs in Oslo. “We’re already seeing the first climate wars, in the Sahel belt of Africa.” He said nomads and herders are in conflict with farmers because the changing climate has brought drought and a shortage of fertile lands.

The Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report.

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Published in: on October 12, 2007 at 7:19 am Comments (3)

CE Week #7: “No new ideas at GOP debate”

David S. Broder
Washington Post
October 11, 2007

Fred Thompson did not disgrace himself in his first formal debate as a Republican presidential candidate, but he also did not dominate the stage full of White House hopefuls in Dearborn, Mich., on Tuesday.

At least three others – John McCain, Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney – registered with policy specifics and personal anecdotes more often and more strongly.

Giuliani seized every opportunity to whack Hillary Clinton, and held his ground in a spirited debate with Romney on their respective economic records and on the issue of the presidential line-item veto – Romney praising it and Giuliani defending his view that it is unconstitutional.

 

Their claims and counterclaims on spending and tax cuts are indecipherable to a layman, and it’s questionable how many voters will be swayed by the issue.

But both men got to set their strong jaws in place – and thereby assume the posture of leadership. Romney got to utter the word “Baloney!” to dismiss his rival, but Giuliani topped it by noting that he “took President Clinton to court and I beat him” when the Supreme Court ruled against Clinton on the line-item veto. “And I don’t think it’s a bad idea to have a Republican presidential candidate who actually has beat President Clinton at something.”

McCain was challenged only by such gadfly candidates as Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul, and he used the opportunity to effectively drill home two big themes. As president, he said, he would crack down on “wasteful” spending, wielding the veto pen, and he would attack the health care inflation that he said has made Detroit cars uncompetitive in the world market.

But what was striking about the performance of the leading Republicans was the absence of fresh policy ideas. A listener satisfied with President Bush’s economic policies would be safe in assuming their continuation – if any of them won. But given the economic travail in Michigan, where the candidates were debating, such complacency seemed more than a little odd.

Thompson was treated respectfully by his rivals, and his positions differed little from theirs: supporting free trade, tax cuts, spending restraint and regulatory relief. He was specific – and politically courageous – on one point, recommending a change that would index future Social Security benefits to prices, rather than wages, a change that over time would modestly reduce monthly benefits and help keep the system solvent. That is a change that opponents easily can criticize, even though it’s good policy. But Thompson’s frowning expression conveys less optimism than Romney’s or McCain’s, and his slow drawl has little of the urgency of Giuliani’s message.

Only at the very end of the two hours on MSNBC did Thompson relax enough to show a little humor. Asked how he had liked his first debate, he said, “I’ve enjoyed watching these fellows. I’ve got to admit it was getting a little boring without me. But I’m glad to be here now.”

It was hard for the leading candidates to acknowledge any serious blemishes in the current economic scene. That was left to others – most notably former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a populist preacher who has been gaining traction among religious conservatives and disaffected working people. He admonished his colleagues that people “hear Republicans on this stage talk about how great the economy is, and frankly when they hear that, they’re going to probably reach for the dial.” He went on to say that “the people who handle the bags and make the beds at our hotels and serve the food, many of them are having to work two jobs,” and still cannot afford college costs for their kids or health insurance for themselves. While the leading candidates preached the virtues of free trade, Huckabee said that Republicans have to address the dislocations caused by imports or “we’re going to get our britches beat next year.”

When the topic turned to unions, it was Huckabee who suggested that they are likely to grow in size and influence because the gap between top executives’ and workers’ pay will “create a huge appetite” for protection of wages.

And when confronted with the question of Bush’s veto of the children’s health insurance bill, a veto that was supported by all the leading candidates, Huckabee demurred. After squirming a bit, he finally said, “I’m not absolutely certain that that’s going to be the right way. … The political loss of that is going to be enormous.”

That kind of candor – and understanding – would be welcome among others in the field.

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CE Week #7: “Chief Justice Prolongs Executive Powers Debate”

By Robert Barnes
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, October 11, 2007; A08

When a case involves the power of the judiciary, the authority of the World Court, the role of Congress in enforcing treaties and the ability of states to ignore a direct order from the president, even the nine justices of the Supreme Court need more than an hour.

So Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. told the attorneys to keep arguing — and fellow justices kept pulling out copies of the Constitution and peppering the lawyers with questions — long after the arguments in a complex case known as Medellin v. Texas were scheduled to come to an end yesterday.

The case began with a horrific rape and murder committed by Jos¿ Ernesto Medell¿n and others in 1993. But it has moved far beyond Texas’s death row to complicated questions about whether the president or an international court has the power to determine the rights U.S. courts afford criminal defendants.

Roberts was one of several justices who seemed skeptical of the deference owed to the International Court of Justice, also known as the World Court. He asked Medill¿n’s lawyer, Donald F. Donovan: If the Supreme Court thought a World Court ruling preempted federal law, “We would have no authority to review the judgment itself?”

Justice Antonin Scalia agreed, saying he has a constitutional problem with giving an international body such power. “I am rather jealous of that authority,” Scalia said. “I don’t know on what basis we can allow some international court to decide what is the responsibility of this court, which is the meaning of the United States law.”

Medell¿n, 33, has lived in the United States since he was 3; he speaks and writes English but is still a Mexican national. He was part of a gang that attacked Jennifer Ertman, 14, and Elizabeth Pe¿a, 16, as the girls walked home from a friend’s house. The girls were raped and murdered, one of them strangled with her own shoestring.

Medell¿n signed a waiver of his Miranda right to remain silent and confessed within hours of his arrest. But he was not told of his right to talk to the consulate of his country, guaranteed to those arrested outside their home countries, under the Vienna Convention. Medell¿n did not raise that right during his trial but did in one of his death penalty appeals.

Mexico, which has no death penalty, went to the International Court of Justice, and it ruled that the death sentences of 51 Mexican nationals in nine states, including Medell¿n’s, receive “review and reconsideration.”

The Bush administration first argued against Mexico, then President Bush in 2005 issued a memorandum to the attorney general saying that the United States will “discharge its international obligations . . . by having state courts give effect to the decision” of the World Court.

Bush’s home state said no. The Texas Court of Criminal Appeals said Bush’s directive exceeded his authority, and to give Medell¿n an additional hearing would violate the state’s judicial procedures.

Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen G. Breyer were most supportive of Bush’s desire to comply with the guarantees of treaties and the ruling of the international court.

“The United States gave its promise,” Ginsburg said. “It voluntarily accepted this jurisdiction. It didn’t have to.”

Breyer pulled out a copy of the Constitution and read a portion that said state judges must comply with U.S. treaties — “I guess it means, including Texas.”

Solicitor General Paul D. Clement, who joined Medell¿n’s side, distanced himself from the argument that the treaties alone would mean the court must follow the World Court’s directive. The president’s agreement with the World Court is the “critical element,” Clement said.

But Texas Solicitor General R. Ted Cruz said Bush had no authority to issue a memorandum ordering a state court to do something its laws do not authorize — in this case, another hearing for Medell¿n.

The lively debate drew in all the justices, save Justice Clarence Thomas, who maintained his customary silence. At one point, the fray grew such that Justice John Paul Stevens asked Cruz to clarify a point — and then asked colleagues not to interrupt until Cruz finished.

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CE Week #6: “Hillary still walks a fine line”

Ellen Goodman
Boston Globe
October 9, 2007

BOSTON – Here in New England, we have an unofficial fifth season.

It’s known as Foliage Season, the color-coded time of year when those not otherwise preoccupied with the Red Sox indulge in the benign spectator sport of leaf peeping.

I am not surprised that presidential politics also has its unofficial season. This is the High Risk Season, a danger zone for front-runners when the media attention is not on the inevitability of falling leaves but the possibility of falling stars.

 

All summer the story line was Hillary Clinton’s steady-as-you-go campaign. After one debate or another, she was described as “commanding,” “knowledgeable,” “experienced.” Now even Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson are pleading their case for the Republican nomination on the claim that they alone can beat Hillary.

This image of a candidate who’s passed the presidential readiness test wooed more voters to her side. She’s now leading the Democratic field by 33 points. But this hasn’t endeared her to political reporters. The one reliable media bias, we know, is not pro-liberal or pro-conservative, pro-Democrat or pro-Republican. It is pro-knockdown-drag-out campaign.

Lights, camera, action, please. Sweetheart, get me rewrite, or at least something to write about.

Thus we now enter the season when the journalistic pack, including those who rail against pack journalism, howls in anxiety at the prospect of a front-runner loping to the finish line. The colors are changing and the headlines are, too. They now read: “Can Clinton Be Stopped?” “Can Clinton’s ‘Inevitability’ Be Erased?” “How to Stop Hillary.” And “Clinton Leads Now, But Race Isn’t Over.”

Well, right, the race isn’t over. The voting hasn’t even begun. But maybe we can stop reading the maple leaves for a moment and take in a larger view of the landscape.

We are heirs and heiresses to a century of speculation on whether Americans would ever vote for a woman. I have a Wonder Woman poster from 1943 imagining the first woman president … 1,000 years in the future.

When Hillary Clinton first entered the race, the story line had a pink border. Those same headlines asked and asked and asked: “Is the Country Ready for a Woman President?” The buzz about the former first lady was about being the first woman.

It’s pretty stunning that in less than a year, the question has morphed from whether a woman is “electable” to whether she’s “stoppable.”

It’s even more remarkable that Hillary is now seen less as the woman candidate than the establishment candidate.

I began noticing the de-gendering – forgive the word – of Hillary Clinton last March. About then, the right wing’s favorite “radical feminist socialist” was becoming the left wing’s “politics as usual.” Now, as the High Risk Season opens, she’s framed less for making history than for perpetuating a dynasty. After a millennium as political outsiders, how is it possible that the serious female contender is cast – and even castigated – as the insider? As Hillary would say, “Hello?”

Remember that Clinton has not escaped the pink microscope. Who can forget the V-neck that launched a thousand treatises on the meaning of cleavage? Now cleavage coverage has been followed by cackle coverage, those endless deconstructions of her laugh.

The stakes and styles are still different for women. The late Elizabeth Janeway once predicted that the first woman president would be a Republican. She’d defuse her sex by conservatism. Hillary is no Republican, nor is she Margaret Thatcher. But women walk a fine line to erase a gender line.

So this is where Clinton is … walking that line. While Obama gets praise for making history, she gets points for experience. When Edwards outflanks her on the left, this “polarizing figure” settles deeper into the comforting center. It’s the best place for a woman in the general election.

But at the same time the media are clamoring for action – Can Hillary Be Stopped? – many Democratic primary voters are just plain clamoring. So there’s some danger in typecasting the first woman as the old guard. This is an emblem of our era. We’ve gone straight from pre-feminism to post-feminism without stopping along the way to experience the real thing.

A woman in politics was once automatically seen as a change agent, but too much of an outsider to entrust with the Oval Office. We’ve still never had a woman president. But the case against Hillary is that she’s too much of an insider?

Hillary Clinton: politics as usual. Or maybe life as usual. First you struggle to get into the establishment and then you get dismissed as too establishment. There’s got to be a touch of irony in this seasonal affective disorder. If, that is, any woman still dares to cackle.

Published in: on October 9, 2007 at 3:38 pm Comments (9)

CE Week #6: “Mich. Primary Move Splits Democrats”

Candidates Stay Away, but Others Say State’s Voice Should Match Its Size
By Peter Slevin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, October 9, 2007; A06

DEARBORN, Mich., Oct. 8 — For Debbie Dingell and Sen. Carl M. Levin, the standoff has been brewing for years. The Michigan Democrats have long worked, mostly behind the scenes, to change an electoral calendar that places vast importance on results in Iowa and New Hampshire, states that bear little resemblance to the industrial heartland.

“There’s just no possible justification for one or two states that are not particularly representative to have a dominant role in this process. It’s not fair to other states,” Levin said in a telephone interview. “Why the hell do New Hampshire and Iowa have a claim to the attention to their issues?”

Republican presidential candidates will be standing on a Dearborn stage Tuesday afternoon, discussing manufacturing, jobs and the U.S. economy. Democrats, meanwhile, are shunning Michigan in retaliation for the state’s decision to elbow its way into the early primary lineup. When Michigan moved its primary to Jan. 15, leaders in New Hampshire and Iowa leaned on the Democratic principals to stay away.

The result is a tangle, with the Democratic National Committee vowing not to seat any convention delegates Michigan chooses that day and Democratic presidential candidates facing a deadline of Tuesday to decide whether to remain on the ballot here.

Those behind Michigan’s move are warning candidates that removing their names would be risky.

“We are going January 15,” Dingell, a Democratic national committeewoman and the wife of Rep. John D. Dingell (D-Mich.), declared after a fiery speech here Friday. “No matter what, people are going to pay attention to what happens on January 15 . . . even if it’s a beauty contest.”

Meanwhile, Republican contenders are campaigning actively in a state in which their race looks wide open.

“We couldn’t have planned it better ourselves,” said Bill Nowling, the state GOP spokesman. “While they’re busy shooting themselves in the foot, I’m not going to disturb them.”

Before the leapfrogging began, it appeared that Iowa would hold its caucuses on Jan. 14, followed five days later by caucuses in Nevada. New Hampshire would preserve its customary premier primary slot on Jan. 22, and South Carolina would hold its primary Jan. 29.

The candidates planned their travel, staffing and media buys accordingly, but then Florida made a move.

Defying the DNC, Florida moved its primary to Jan. 29, which prompted South Carolina Republicans to jump to Jan. 19 and retain their state’s distinction as the first Southern state to vote. New Hampshire law requires the state’s primary to be at least seven days before any similar contest, so Secretary of State William M. Gardner declared that the vote would move up by at least a week. That gave Michigan its opening.

After the 2004 election, the DNC agreed to review the schedule with an eye toward tempering the importance of Iowa and New Hampshire. It added Nevada and South Carolina, states with more Hispanic and black voters, respectively, as the second and fourth stops on the primary tour.

Michigan’s political leaders were disappointed not to be added to the first four but went along, expecting that other states would abide by the new calendar. When the dates started to shift — and particularly when Gardner said New Hampshire would move up — they considered the deal broken.

Levin and Debbie Dingell took their case to DNC Chairman Howard Dean last month, complaining that he was standing by silently as New Hampshire broke its promise. They asked Dean to urge Democrats not to campaign there.

“Someone,” the two wrote, “has to take on New Hampshire’s transparent effort to violate the DNC rules and to maintain its privileged position.”

Instead, the DNC warned Michigan that any delegates chosen Jan. 15 would not be seated at next summer’s convention in Denver, the same punishment that Florida Democrats are suing the party over. Rules and schedules are essential, one DNC official said, to ensure “fairness and predictability.”

“I don’t see anything we can do,” the official said, “without all hell breaking loose.”

As a practical matter, no Democratic nominee wants a floor fight over Florida and Michigan delegates, state officials say.

“The Democratic candidates are too smart not to find a way to campaign in Michigan and Florida,” Levin said, “and they’re not that self-destructive.”

In Dearborn, Debbie Dingell won cheers when she told hundreds of union workers at a state AFSCME gathering that Michigan voters have been forced “for too long” to size up the candidates from afar.

In a spirited call-and-response, she asked workers whether they would rather see Democratic candidates in Michigan talking about manufacturing, jobs and their future, “instead of talking about wood-burning stoves in the middle of New Hampshire in winter.”

Danny Craig is on board. “We’ve earned the right to move up,” said the longtime union activist from Detroit.

“We’ve got two small states, not industrial states, deciding who should be the candidate leading the charge and setting the terms of the debate,” said Craig, who also believes the Democrats’ avoidance of Michigan will be lost on regular voters. “I don’t think the public will understand. I think it’s a bad decision.”

Stacie Dineen, an AFSCME representative from Kalamazoo, sees the issue in different terms. Noting that Michigan initially planned to choose delegates by caucus, she is dismayed that caucuses underwritten by the political parties will be replaced by a far more costly primary paid for by taxpayers.

“We don’t have to be the first dog on the block. I just think the timing is terrible to do that. We should be focused on the here and now,” Dineen said. “The next thing you know, we’ll be voting before Christmas.”

Published in: on at 12:14 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #6: “Romney a natural for values party”

Kathleen Parker
Orlando Sentinel
October 8, 2007

Evangelical Christians never had it so good, but they seem not to know it. Instead of supporting the candidate who most shares their values – Mitt Romney – they seem hell-bent for the proverbial cliff.

Meeting recently in Salt Lake City, conservative Christian leaders almost unanimously approved a resolution to support a third-party candidate if neither major party nominates someone who is pro-life.

To their credit, these leaders are unwilling to sacrifice conviction for political expediency, but they may be creating their own worst nightmare by dividing the party and making a Democratic victory more likely.

 

James Dobson, founder and chairman of Focus on the Family, explained in a New York Times op-ed Thursday that Christian leaders believe any presidential candidate has to commit to traditional moral values, including the sanctity of human life, the institution of marriage and other pro-family principles.

Minimally, that means anti-Roe v. Wade, no same-sex marriage, no government funding for destruction of human life at any stage and no pro-sex education. These weren’t controversial ideas a generation ago, but today they can make or break a candidate in a party whose political base is 30 percent evangelical Christian.

Perfection is a tough standard, and hardly anyone is just right. John McCain has a perfect pro-life record, but he supports federal funding for embryonic stem cell research. He also doesn’t support the Federal Marriage Amendment, or FMA, which conservatives believe is necessary to protect marriage as between a man and a woman.

Under the radar, some conservative leaders say that McCain has contempt for pro-lifers, which perhaps explains his inability to successfully woo social conservatives.

Fred Thompson, upon whom many had pinned their hopes, has turned out to be a disappointment, not to mention a cure for insomnia. In Iowa recently, Thompson had to prompt his audience – their faces masks of ennui – to applaud. Freight trains have sparked more animation.

Thompson also doesn’t support the FMA, which last week prompted one of his key campaign consultants, Bill Wichterman, to walk out. Wichterman, who previously served as conservative outreach director for former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., had been considered an important “get” for Thompson.

And then there’s Mike Huckabee. If Dobson really meant what he said in his op-ed – that winnability shouldn’t be the deciding factor in supporting a candidate – then Huckabee should be receiving bouquets of Ben Franklins with his morning beignets. A southern Baptist preacher, the former Arkansas governor is a human checklist of conservative values, as well as being personable, likable and funny.

What Huckabee doesn’t have is the golden coffer, which means that electability is, in fact, a Christian concern.

That leaves just one person – Romney – as the obvious pick for the values party. If anything, the golly-gee guy is too perfect. Nary a follicle out of place, he’s never enjoyed a caffeine buzz nor awakened to the rare tortures of having been overserved.

His resume otherwise has perfect creases. As governor of Massachusetts, he fought same-sex unions and embryonic cloning. He’s pro-life, even if he was previously pro-choice. As a businessman, he made a personal fortune and bailed out the Olympics. He’s even got a beautiful, first-ladylike wife, who thus far has not demanded cell phone reassurances of unfaltering love during her husband’s stump speeches.

The only hitch: He’s a cultist. Or so some Christians think. Even though Romney shares their belief in Jesus Christ as God, other doctrinal differences tied to his Mormon beliefs apparently cause deep conflicts for evangelicals.

The crafters of push polls are no doubt working overtime, especially in South Carolina, where nobody goes broke baiting fear and phobia. If they could convince racist voters in 2000 that McCain’s adopted Indian child was African-American, they won’t have much trouble advancing the idea that Romney is a closet polygamist – despite the fact that he’s the only leading Republican candidate who has had just one wife.

Ultimately, Christian leaders (some of whom make off-the-record, supportive calls to Romney, I’m told) most likely will back the Mormon. But their actions meantime have hurt Romney as he tries to close the deal nationally.

If they were smarter, they’d embrace Romney as the one who can beat Hillary because he, more than anyone else, unites all wings of the party – economic, security and social.

If.

Published in: on October 8, 2007 at 9:15 pm Comments (3)

CE Week #6: “Out of Reach?”

By KAREN TUMULTY

Barack Obama has just about everything going for him. At a time when the country is cranky and in the mood for a change, his is a fresh, attractive face and an inspirational message. Wherever he goes, the Illinois Senator draws huge, adoring crowds. He is raising money faster than any Democrat ever has–and from more people, including some 75,000 new donors just since June. He is building a top-notch, disciplined campaign organization, right down to the county level. His campaign has 31 offices in Iowa alone and claims this is twice as many as anyone else. What’s more, his chief opponent is one of the most polarizing figures in politics. So it seems only fair to ask: Why is Obama’s candidacy still idling?

It has been more than seven months since Obama declared his presidential candidacy, evoking Abraham Lincoln in a soaring speech on the grounds of the Old State Capitol in Springfield, Ill. But up to this point, there have been few signs that he poses a serious threat to Hillary Clinton. Her lead in national polls has solidified in the double digits, and her sure-footed campaign for the Democratic nomination is starting to take on the sheen of inevitability. Obama remains well behind her everywhere but in Iowa, site of the first presidential contest, where the two are locked in a tight race with former Senator John Edwards. And while both are looking to break a historic barrier–his of race, hers of gender–Obama’s is proving to be the more delicate challenge, as shown by questions over his response to the Jena 6 racial controversy in Louisiana.

Obama is not the first thoughtful Democrat to capture the fancy of the party’s upscale élites, convincing them he represents a new direction for their party. There was Gary Hart in 1984, Bill Bradley in 2000 and Howard Dean four years ago. But the outcome has always been the same when these phenomena have come up against more conventional rivals who appeal more explicitly to the populist voters that make up the Democratic Party’s base. So while the Obama brand has a certain cachet–celebrities like Halle Berry have been photographed around Los Angeles wearing Obama T shirts–Obama the candidate is having a hard time breaking out.

Part of the problem lies with Obama’s low-key speaking delivery, an approach that surprises listeners who know him best (and often only) from his roof-raising keynote address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention. “His style is so cerebral and so cool that it just doesn’t appeal to a wide segment of the Democratic Party,” says an adviser to a rival campaign. “They want to like him, but he just isn’t connecting with them.” And Obama has had a harder time cultivating a down-home image than his opponents. A few weeks ago, he skipped a candidate forum sponsored by aarp in Iowa–a state where 64% of those who attended the Democratic caucuses in 2004 are over 50–to appear at a fund raiser in Atlanta with R&B recording star Usher. Afterward, Des Moines Register columnist David Yepsen wrote: “There wasn’t a big winner of Thursday night’s debate among the Democratic presidential candidates, but there was a clear loser–Barack Obama.” At a rural-issues forum on a farm outside Adel, Iowa, Obama sympathized with the plight of farmers this way: “Anybody gone into Whole Foods lately and seen what they charge for arugula?” (That high-end grocery store chain doesn’t have any locations in Iowa.)

The Obama campaign has staked a lot on Iowa. “I don’t think the national polls will move at all until Iowa, absent some seismic event,” says Obama campaign manager David Plouffe. Obama’s advisers say he doesn’t have to win there, just beat expectations. In 1972, Iowa gave George McGovern a big boost in momentum, even though he finished 13 points behind Edmund Muskie. And Georgia’s obscure former Governor went from “Jimmy Who?” to front runner in 1976 on the strength of coming in 9 points behind “Uncommitted.”

Putting so much on the outcome of a single state is a big gamble, however, and there are plenty of Democrats who argue privately that the Illinois Senator is making a mistake by holding himself above the fray and praying for Clinton to slip. “He’s got to go out there and take this from her,” says a prominent strategist who is not affiliated with any candidate. “His is a subtle and nuanced campaign, and this is not a subtle and nuanced business.” Going on the attack against Clinton, however, would undercut Obama’s claim to be a different kind of politician. And in a multicandidate race, it might simply create an opening for Edwards.

That’s why the campaign pledges that Obama will resist the inevitable calls of the political class for more conflict and will engage in what his chief political strategist, David Axelrod, euphemistically calls the “vigorous comparative processes” on its own timetable and in its own way. “There is a bloodlust out there. People want us to eviscerate her, if for nothing else than the sport of it,” says Axelrod. “But how we draw the distinction is important, and we’re not going to get pushed into gratuitous exchanges to satisfy the peanut-gallery pundits.”

And then, of course, there is the biggest unknowable: What will black voters, the Democratic Party’s most loyal constituency, do when forced to choose between their longstanding allegiance to the Clintons and the prospect of seeing the first African American in the White House? Pollsters say black voters appear deeply divided, with Obama winning among younger and male African-Americans and Clinton running stronger among older African-American women. But pollsters also say that could change if Obama’s overall prospects improve.

At the same time, those voters hold their breath when Obama is asked to comment on something like the Jena 6 case. He walks a fine line, demonstrating that he is connected to the African-American community without appearing to have an agenda driven by that constituency. “Race is not just an issue in the back of the minds of white voters,” says longtime Democratic activist Donna Brazile, an African American who was Al Gore’s 2000 campaign manager. “It really is a concern with black voters. They’re worried about whether the country is ready for a black President. They’re pessimistic … He has the electability problem with black voters too.”

The Obama campaign says it isn’t worried. “We’ve tried to pace this thing the right way and keep our blinders on,” says Axelrod, fully embracing the hoary horse-race metaphor. “We’re pursuing a strategy that aims at doing well in Iowa and going on from there.” And lately Obama seems to have shifted into a different gear, one that suggests some urgency to gain ground. His debate performances have gotten sharper. He has a new, edgier stump speech that pounds harder at his theme of change and attempts to paint Clinton as what his strategists call a quasi-incumbent. Obama is embracing a more populist approach. His speech to Service Employees International Union members helped persuade them to hold off on an expected endorsement of Edwards.

Obama’s advisers argue that his strengths aren’t necessarily going to show up in the polls. Campaign manager Plouffe says the younger voters who are being drawn to Obama are less likely to register in surveys of likely voters because they have cell phones, aren’t home much in the early evening when pollsters call, and aren’t on the lists of those who have voted in primaries or attended caucuses. Even political veterans are impressed with what they are seeing of Obama’s operation on the ground. In South Carolina, an early-primary state where 30% of the population is black, his young volunteers are out knocking on doors every weekend. “It is a new crowd,” says former South Carolina Democratic chairman Donald Fowler, “and it is the most methodical voter-canvassing project I have ever seen in South Carolina.”

Still, Clinton holds a commanding lead in South Carolina and probably will continue to do so–absent “an exogenous factor that intervenes to shake things up, a significant mistake or a revelation,” says Fowler. The question for Obama: Does he wait for such an eventuality–or make one happen?

Published in: on at 5:27 pm Comments (2)

CE Week #6: “Inflating a Little Man”

By Joe Klein

A long time ago, when the Soviet Union was beginning to shatter, a Russian friend cracked a joke, and I doubled up laughing on a snowy street in Moscow. “I wish I could smile the way you Americans do,” he said. I asked why he couldn’t. He said he’d been trained by his parents never to show emotions in public. A stray smile could be misinterpreted, could mean the Gulag. I realized then that my reaction to his joke had been a political statement–a reflexive demonstration of my freedom. I thought about that when the laughter began at Columbia University on Sept. 24. I wondered how quickly it took Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to realize they were laughing at him, not with him, after his blithe assertion that there are no homosexuals in Iran. He gazed out into the audience, bemused. He could understand those who found him reprehensible; he courted their disapproval, thrived on it. But to be found ridiculous? How devastating. How delightfully Western.

Ahmadinejad’s appearance was a small but telling moment in the rolling overhyped crisis that is George W. Bush’s so-called war on terrorism. The Iranian President’s words had no practical, only symbolic, global import. He has very little real power in Iran, none over foreign policy or the nuclear program. He has no more power than his predecessor, the failed reformer Mohammed Khatami, who came to be regarded in the West and in Iran as a well-dressed cipher. Indeed, Ahmadinejad has failed in the one area where he actually does have some authority: reforming the sluggish oligopoly that is the Iranian domestic economy. There have been riots over the rising price of gasoline. His political future is shaky. And yet this strange little man who brings to mind Peter Sellers more readily than Adolf Hitler–Sellers playing one of his brilliantly befogged simpletons–occasioned a classic, free-range American outrage festival, in which everyone, even Hillary Clinton, happily granted him exactly the opprobrium he desired.

Of course, Ahmadinejad is no simpleton. He knows precisely how to exploit one of the few powers he does possess, the power to offend. He gains status in Iran and in the Islamic world by sticking his thumb in the giant’s eye. His Holocaust denial is a flagrant ploy–the easiest way to get a rise out of the Jewish community and, inevitably, U.S. politicians. Clearly, he benefits from his falsely inflated prominence. But who else does?

Well, at the top of the list are our old friends the neoconservatives, the folks who provided the intellectual rationale for Bush’s war in Iraq, many of whom are now itching for a war with Iran. Norman Podhoretz, the neocon paterfamilias, has written a trifle called World War IV: The Long Struggle Against Islamofascism and loves to posit Ahmadinejad and Osama bin Laden–a far more dangerous character–as the heirs to Hitler and Stalin. “They follow the path of fascism, Nazism and totalitarianism,” he writes. This is incendiary foolishness. Terrorists have the ability to wreak terrible damage intermittently, but they don’t represent an existential threat to the U.S. Ahmadinejad commands no legions–not even the Hizballah forces in Lebanon that attacked Israel in the summer of 2006–and if Podhoretz doesn’t know that, he should. Taking Ahmadinejad literally, as the neoconservatives do, is being disingenuous with lethal intent. It gives license to a conga line of politicians–especially Republicans running for President–to strut their stuff by jumping on Ahmadinejad and Columbia University and liberals in general. Mitt Romney runs an ad in which he brags that he denied the milquetoast reformer Khatami a police escort to Harvard University in 2006. Now there’s a man! The New York Daily News, owned by neoconservative Mort Zuckerman, runs the headline the evil has landed. The cable news networks hyperventilate. Even the president of Columbia University, Lee Bollinger, feels the need to demolish Ahmadinejad–elegantly, I must say–before the speech. A giant toxic bubble overwhelms the public square.

And then, there he is–and laughter is freedom’s only appropriate reaction. The bubble bursts. He denies not only the Holocaust but also homosexuality? Suddenly, it all becomes obvious: we are being played by extremists on both sides. To be sure, Iran does arm Hizballah, and it does have an active nuclear program that may or may not be proved to have hostile intent, and it is making trouble for the U.S. in Iraq, supplying weapons to our enemies. These are all problems to be addressed soberly and perhaps even, eventually, with multilateral force. But the neoconservative campaign to transform Ahmadinejad into Hitler or Stalin, to pretend that he has the ability to destroy the world, to make a hoo-ha over letting the little man speak, is a cynical attempt to plump for war. Ahmadinejad may be ridiculous, but Podhoretz–who recently spent 45 minutes with Bush arguing for more war–isn’t very funny at all.

CE Week #6: “GOP optimism well-based”

David Broder
Washington Post
October 7, 2007

The day had been full of ominous warnings. Polls showed the Republicans on the losing side of almost every issue and the 2008 presidential race – and now they’re forced to defend a veto of a popular children’s health bill.

But Tom Cole, the 58-year-old Oklahoma representative who this year took on the responsibility for running the GOP’s congressional campaign, is remarkably sanguine.

He had been reading about the Washington Post/ABC News poll showing that Hillary Rodham Clinton had established a commanding lead for the Democratic presidential nomination and was beating Rudy Giuliani, the current Republican front-runner, by 51 percent to 43 percent.

 

The same poll showed President Bush’s approval rating at 33 percent, equaling his historic low, and congressional Republicans at 29 percent, the lowest ever recorded for them. Democrats are trusted more than Republicans when it comes to handling Iraq, health care, the economy and the federal budget, the poll said, and the two parties are tied on terrorism – supposedly the Republicans’ strong suit.

So how could he be reasonably satisfied with his party’s prospects? The answer: The Democrats are also looking like dogs.

The approval score for their party in Congress has sunk to 38 percent – down 10 points since a poll taken just before the 2006 election that gave the Democrats their first congressional majority since 1994.

Congress as a whole rated only 29 percent approval, down 14 points from its start in January. By 82 percent to 16 percent, those polled said it has accomplished little or nothing this year. Half blame Bush and the Republicans; a quarter, the Democrats; and another fifth, both parties.

Cole, who admits Republicans hurt themselves in 2006 with scandals and out-of-control spending, said the poll confirms a comment from a Republican colleague. Speaking of the Democrats, he said, “My God, they’re dragging themselves down to our level.”

It all adds up, Cole said, to a political environment reminiscent of 1992 – a tough year for entrenched incumbents of both parties who suddenly saw their margins shrink or disappear. “The American people are rising up in disgust,” Cole said, “and incumbents will pay. It’s not anti-Republican anymore. It’s anti-Washington.”

Cole argues that the House Democratic leadership has made a strategic error by wielding its narrow majority to craft partisan bills that invite a Bush veto. That was the case with several resolutions to shorten the Iraq war, and it will be the case later with a series of appropriations bills. Polarization is exactly what the voters hate, Cole said; they are looking for cooperation and agreement.

But the crucial question at the moment, politically, is Bush’s veto of the SCHIP bill – the $35 billion expansion of the State Children’s Health Insurance Program. The Post poll found 72 percent approval for this measure, which would add 4 million children to the ranks of the insured.

Cole claims that Republicans will be protected by asserting that they favor the concept and are prepared to support a less expensive compromise.

I’m more persuaded by his argument that Republicans have little to fear from a Hillary Clinton candidacy. “That is no landslide election,” he said. “The Republican nominee, whoever he is, wins at least 43-44-45 percent against her, and that gives us a base for congressional races.”

Cole has history on his side. In 1992, he notes, incumbents were hammered, 24 of them losing in November, another 17 failing in their primaries. The Republicans achieved a net gain of 10 House seats that year, a feather in the cap of the executive director of the National Republican Congressional Committee, Tom Cole.

In 1992, the Democrats nominated Bill Clinton for president – and he won. But his party lost House seats. Cole is out to make history repeat itself.

Published in: on October 7, 2007 at 8:17 am Comments (4)

CE Week #6: “Democrats’ bill would ease warrants”

Ellen Nakashima
Washington Post
October 7, 2007

WASHINGTON – House Democrats plan to introduce a bill this week that would let a secret court issue one-year “umbrella” warrants to allow the government to intercept e-mails and phone calls of foreign targets and would not require that surveillance of each person be approved individually.

The bill is likely to resurrect controversy that erupted this summer when Congress, under White House pressure, rushed through a temporary emergency law that expanded the government’s authority to conduct foreign surveillance on U.S. soil without a warrant. The Protect America Act, which expires in February, has been criticized as being too broad and lacking effective court oversight.

 

The Democrats’ legislation, drafted by the Intelligence and Judiciary committee chairmen, is aimed to reconcile civil liberties, privacy and national security concerns. It would overhaul the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, a 1978 law amended many times that the Bush administration argues has been outstripped by technology.

“Some conservatives want no judicial oversight, and some liberals oppose any notion of a blanket order,” said James Dempsey, Center for Democracy and Technology policy director. “So the challenge of the Democratic leadership is to strike a balance, one that gives the National Security Agency the flexibility to select its targets overseas but that keeps the court involved to protect the private communications of innocent Americans.”

The bill would require the Justice Department inspector general to audit the use of the umbrella warrant and issue quarterly reports to a special FISA court and to Congress, according to congressional aides involved in drafting the legislation.

CE Week #6: “Bush hints at SCHIP compromise”

President says he’s ‘willing to work with’ Congress

Hoyer

Judy Pasternak
Los Angeles Times
October 7, 2007

WASHINGTON – President Bush indicated Saturday that he would be willing to accept a larger increase for a children’s health insurance program than the one he has proposed but defended his veto of the expansion of coverage approved by Congress.

Bush’s veto Wednesday set off an ideological battle about who holds responsibility for extending health care benefits to uninsured children: the government or the private sector.

The congressional bill would spend $60 billion over five years to expand health coverage for children of the working poor and middle-class, and it would pay for it with higher tobacco taxes. Bush has offered $30 billion, a 20 percent increase over current levels but not enough to maintain the existing enrollment in what is known as the State Children’s Health Insurance Program, budget analysts say.

The program is managed by states within federal guidelines and serves about 6 million children. An estimated 9 million children remain uninsured in the U.S. The number has been rising as employers cut back coverage.

Bush’s veto led one Democratic lawmaker last week to call the president “Ebenezer Scrooge,” while a Republican pollster noted that “it will take some superb communications to persuade voters that the White House really is on the side of children’s health.”

 

During his weekly radio address Saturday, Bush called for a compromise but offered no specifics.

“If putting poor children first takes a little more than the 20 percent increase I have proposed in my budget for SCHIP, I am willing to work with leaders in Congress to find the additional money,” he said.

Bush earlier hinted he was open to a compromise but still has not made clear what he is willing to accept. He continued to describe the measure that he vetoed as “deeply flawed,” contending that the plan was “an incremental step toward their goal of government-run health care for every American ,” which he believes is “the wrong direction for our country.”

Rep. Steny Hoyer, a Maryland Democrat who is the House majority leader, pointed out that most children enrolled in SCHIP receive coverage through private insurers who hold state contracts, even though the government subsidizes the benefits.

“The truth is, America’s largest private insurance lobbying group supports this bill – as do America’s doctors, nurses, children’s advocates and, most importantly 72 percent of Americans,” Hoyer said in the Democrats’ response to Bush’s address.

The current law, which remains in effect while the debate over reauthorizing it continues, covers children in families earning up to $40,000 a year, about twice the federal poverty level. But some states obtained permission to extend eligibility to families with higher incomes, and the bill would authorize states to allow households with an income of about $60,000 a year to enroll their children in SCHIP.

Published in: on at 8:13 am Comments (3)

CE Week #6: “Sleepwalking Toward DD-Day”

Congress, creating yet another entitlement, is not at all inhibited by the Law of Holes, which is: When you are in a hole, quit digging.
By   George F. Will
Newsweek Last Thursday was 96 days before DD-Day, the day the Demographic Deluge begins. That is Jan. 1, when the first of 78 million baby boomers reach 62, the age at which a majority of Social Security recipients begin to receive that entitlement. Social Security is unsustainable as currently configured, but is a picture of health compared with another middle-class entitlement, Medicare.

On Thursday, the Senate, following the House, voted to create another open-ended middle-class entitlement. Congress is not inhibited by the Law of Holes, which is: When you are in a hole, quit digging.

Although it is the elderly who are devouring the federal budget—and through it, a huge share of the economy’s future production—the State Children’s Health Insurance Program is (mostly) about children, at least ostensibly. But it also is about a deep divide between the parties.

The struggle over SCHIP is an unusual Washington dust-up—one that actually is as portentous as Washingtonians, with their flair for (self)dramatization, say it is. It is a proxy fight over the future of the welfare state, meaning the trajectory of government and the burdens it will place on the economy, which, by its dynamism, must generate the revenues to pay the bills.

SCHIP was created in 1997 by a Republican-controlled Congress. Today’s Democratic-controlled Congress wants to transform its mission. It began as a program whereby the federal government would subsidize state governments in providing health insurance for children from households not poor enough (generally 200 percent above the poverty line) to qualify for Medicaid but not affluent enough to afford to buy insurance. Were it to become law, the new SCHIP would be a long stride toward unlimited federal funds working as incentives for states to expand eligibility to more and more affluent families.

It would immediately include some with incomes 400 percent of the poverty line ($83,000 for a family of four). Over time, its “mission creep” would continue. Mike Leavitt, secretary of Health and Human Services, says that the new SCHIP would enroll 2.8 million more children, but 1.1 million of them would be from families for whom SCHIP had become an incentive to drop their private insurance. To that, some liberals say, sotto voce: Good.

Why? In the perennial tension between the competing values of freedom and equality, conservatives favor freedom, which inevitably increases unequal social outcomes. Liberals’ mission is the promotion of equality, understood as equal dependence of more and more people for more and more things on government.

Liberals increasingly define the public good in terms of the multiplication of entitlements. Conservatives increasingly understand their mission as the promotion of attitudes and aptitudes they think are weakened by that multiplication.

The president proposed a $5 billion increase for SCHIP over five years. In a familiar Washington folk dance, the Senate voted a $35 billion increase, and the House endorsed a $50 billion increase but receded to the Senate sum, which was therefore declared moderate. The increase supposedly would be funded by a 61-cent increase in the cigarette tax.

So, this health legislation depends on a constantly large and renewable supply of smokers—22 million new ones. This “progressive” measure requires a regressive tax (smokers are predominantly and increasingly lower class) levied to expand subsidized health insurance ever upward into the middle class.

The president proposes a plan to give everyone personal ownership of fully portable (not tied to employment) health insurance policies—tax deductions of $7,500 for individuals and $15,000 for families purchasing policies. Liberals complain that this would be an incentive for employers to stop providing coverage. To which conservatives respond: Good.

They say: If we can disentangle health care from the wage system, General Motors can go back to being a car and truck company rather than a health-care provider unsuccessfully struggling to sell cars and trucks fast enough to pay employees’ and retirees’ medical expenses. Some liberals want to preserve the entanglement until business clamors for government to nationalize the one seventh of the economy that is health care.

For philosophic reasons, Democrats wish the bill would become law. For political reasons, they welcome the president’s promised veto, which will preserve for them the issue of Republican beastliness toward “the children.”

It has become a verbal tic for politicians to say that everything they do is “about the children.” This rhetoric of pathos reflects the de-intellectualization of public life—the substitution of sentimentalism for reasoned persuasion. Bill Clinton carried this to comic lengths when, in his first State of the Union address, he noted that “not a single Russian missile is pointed at the children of America.”

Those children-seeking missiles were diabolical. The new SCHIP, which would expand the dependency of middle-class children on government, is not diabolical, but neither is it just “about the children.”
Copyright (c) 2007 Newsweek, Inc.

Published in: on October 6, 2007 at 8:36 am Comments (7)

CE Week #6: “The Constitution In Peril” MUST READ

The War on Terror didn’t start as an attack on Americans’ rights, but several new books argue that’s exactly what happened.
By   Christopher Dickey
Newsweek A slew of recent books about the Bush administration’s wars (at home as well as abroad) might leave you wondering if President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney are their own Axis of Evil. In excruciating detail, these tomes tell of torture and warrantless wiretaps; they show a relentless arrogation of power and abrogation of what were thought to be solid constitutional principles. In these books, apocalyptic delusions got us into Iraq and misjudgments have helped keep us there. The picture that emerges is so bleak that even serious journalists and scholars sometimes veer toward conspiracy theories.

Consider, for instance, the lurid title of an otherwise scrupulously researched book by Pulitzer Prize-winning Boston Globe reporter Charlie Savage: “Takeover: The Return of the Imperial Presidency and the Subversion of American Democracy.”

The administration’s impassioned defenders, meanwhile, grow strident. Norman Podhoretz, the dean of neoconservatives, writes in “World War IV: The Long Struggle Against Islamofascism” that the Bush administration is up against “a domestic insurgency” led by “journalistic devotees of the Vietnam syndrome,” isolationists, “liberal internationalists” and (heaven forbid) “realists.”

In fact, the situation is far from a “civil war,” as Podhoretz (an adviser to Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani) would have us believe. But this is a good moment to take stock of the more subtle narrative in these books: stories of score-settling at home, a new kind of enemy abroad, righteous intentions, grand visions and bad information. And if there is a recurrent theme, it’s that this administration set out to create its own reality, whether approaching the Bill of Rights like a classified document to be redacted or girding itself for war in Iraq with a steady diet of dubious intelligence.

The Bush and Cheney who emerge from these pages cherish secrecy, they deplore constraint and they sneer at dissent, so nothing and nobody can dissuade them from their chosen course. Reality checks are not allowed. “Democracies die behind closed doors,” federal appeals court Judge Damon Keith said in 2002. “The Framers of the First Amendment did not trust any government to separate the true from the false for us. They protected the people against secret government.”

Jack Goldsmith, who served briefly in 2003 and 2004 as head of the Office of Legal Counsel—a key position because it determines for the government what is legal and what’s not—suggests that the “strange and unattractive views on presidential power” held by Bush and Cheney will create a backlash compromising future presidents. That may be, but for now, in many respects, the Bush-Cheney vision has triumphed. Savage concludes that Cheney and Bush will leave presidential powers enhanced at the expense of Congress and the courts, to the detriment of the checks and balances essential to our constitutional system. (Savage suggests there’s already some nervousness among Republicans fearful that Hillary Clinton will reap the benefits. No president will want to see his or her imperial authority eroded.) “The expansive presidential powers claimed and exercised by the Bush-Cheney White House are now an immutable part of American history—not controversies, but facts,” says Savage. The worldwide war with terrorists that is so important to the arguments for that presidential power, including the occupation of Iraq, will go on as well. Last week all the leading Democratic presidential candidates admitted as much. What might have seemed farfetched political and military fantasies seven years ago are inescapable realities today.

To tell the story of how this happened, it’s useful to start, as Savage does, by following Cheney’s career. Cheney was chief of staff in the Gerald Ford White House, fighting a rear-guard action to protect presidential power from a vindictive and meddlesome Congress in the aftermath of Vietnam, Watergate and public scandals about the CIA’s secret operations. Later, serving in Congress himself, Cheney remained a passionate defender of the executive, arguing that the legislative branch had no right to rein in the secret presidential activities that led to the Iran-contra scandal. As secretary of Defense under President George H.W. Bush in 1991, Cheney insisted that approval from Congress wasn’t needed for a war against Saddam Hussein. The elder Bush overruled him. But when Cheney became vice president 10 years later, the veteran Washington infighter was paired with the younger Bush, George W., who was, as Savage puts it, “one of the least experienced presidents ever to take the oath.” Cheney and his staff, particularly his longtime aide David Addington, soon came to dominate almost every debate over constitutional issues that touched on national security and executive authority. Goldsmith remembers how they addressed all laws they didn’t like: “They blew through them in secret based on flimsy legal opinions that they guarded closely so no one could question the legal basis for the operations.”

From the beginning Bush’s staff, guided by Cheney’s, “hoped to enlarge the zone of secrecy around the executive branch, to reduce the power of Congress to restrict presidential action, to undermine limits imposed by international treaties, to nominate judges who favored a stronger president and to impose greater White House control over the permanent workings of the government,” writes Savage. Then 9/11 happened and suddenly “the war on terrorism’s climate of perpetual emergency provided a vehicle for turning [Cheney's] vision of an unfettered commander in chief into a reality.”

Goldsmith, a conservative academic and generally a supporter of a strong executive, argues in his book “The Terror Presidency: Law and Judgment Inside the Bush Administration” that much of what was done in the early days after 9/11 is perfectly understandable. Threats seemed to be everywhere. A second wave of attacks appeared imminent and all but inevitable. “The President had to do what he had to do to protect the country,” writes Goldsmith. “And the lawyers had to find some way to make what he did legal.” But unlike previous war presidents—Lincoln, FDR—who bent the Constitution in order to save it, and took responsibility for doing so, the Bush administration stonewalled, as if public ignorance were the best way, in many cases, to give the president the powers he needed.

It was the administration’s ignorance of the enemy that it now confronted that led it, in part, to resort to extreme tactics. Al Qaeda had emerged as a major threat in the late 1990s. Ever since the end of the cold war, the Central Intelligence Agency, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the National Security Agency and more than a dozen other intelligence organizations that answer to the president had been struggling to adapt their sources and methods to the new menace. As Amy B. Zegart argues in “Spying Blind: The CIA, the FBI, and the Origins of 9/11,” they just weren’t up to the job. “With FBI agents keeping case files in shoe boxes rather than putting them into computers, with CIA operatives clinging to old systems designed for recruiting Soviet officials at cocktail parties rather than Jihadists in caves … the U.S. Intelligence Community did not have a fighting chance against Al Qaeda,” Zegart writes. The intelligence community was well aware of the threat. It had given Bush a daily brief in August 2001 with the heading “Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US.” But the paper was full of old news, and the various agencies failed to act on the new information that they actually had in hand about some of the 9/11 terrorists living in the United States. Zegart, blaming institutional inertia more than individuals, counts more than 20 specific instances where the CIA or the FBI missed chances to stop the 9/11 attacks.

Problems that ran so deep were not going to be changed in time to meet the clear and present danger that now faced the country. As the United States launched a war in Afghanistan (and planned for one in Iraq), the administration needed a lot more information about Al Qaeda than was available. “Really, they did not have anything very useful,” says Karen Greenberg, head of New York University’s Center on Law and Security. “It was worse than you can imagine.” One answer to the problem: the use of extreme and painful methods to make captured members of Al Qaeda and other suspects tell everything they knew—and sometimes more than they knew. “The most advanced nation in the world was relying on 14th-century torture techniques,” says Greenberg. (The same problem arose in 2003, when U.S. forces in Iraq discovered they knew next to nothing about the insurgents attacking them. The resulting abuses at Abu Ghraib were partly born of desperation.) Suspected Qaeda prisoners were taken to secret sites, or to Guantánamo, or grabbed by “rendition” teams who took them to countries where interrogators had long experience with torture, or simply held incommunicado in American military prisons. Still another measure: dispensing with warrants when tapping into phone conversations between the United States and suspected terrorists or their contacts in the rest of the world.

To a layman’s eyes, all these measures would seem to violate the Bill of Rights (and in some cases the Geneva Conventions). The pervasive secrecy threatened the First Amendment’s guarantee of free speech. The wiretaps flew in the face of Fourth Amendment guarantees that no warrants for searches (or, by extension, surveillance) would be issued without probable cause and specific details. The detentions, especially of American citizens designated “enemy combatants,” defied the Sixth Amendment rights to a speedy trial, to be confronted with witnesses and to have legal counsel. And the interrogation techniques certainly were cruel and unusual punishments of a kind you’d think is prohibited by the Eighth Amendment. Indeed, these issues continue to be fought ferociously in the courts and debated in Congress. But the president’s positions have been hard to roll back.

The reading of the Constitution, the Geneva Conventions, international treaties and congressional laws on torture by the administration’s smart and highly ideological lawyers was quite different from a layman’s. In a series of opinions from the Office of Legal Counsel that were written by conservative zealot John Yoo but signed by his superiors, conventional understandings about the meaning of the Constitution were turned on their heads. In an August 2002 opinion, Yoo defined torture as “only extreme acts” of the kind that might “cause death or organ failure.” This was to be part of the guidance used by American interrogators, who wanted to make sure they couldn’t be prosecuted later for what the administration approved today. It told them a whole world of pain and suffering could be inflicted so long as the subject didn’t expire. For example, such techniques as “waterboarding” might make a suspect fear he was on the brink of drowning.

“The message,” says Goldsmith, “was indeed clear: violent acts aren’t necessarily torture; if you do torture, you probably have a defense; and even if you don’t have a defense, the torture law doesn’t apply if you act under color of presidential authority.” Goldsmith revised some of the legal reasoning of the August 2002 opinion in late 2004. But by then most of the key leaders of Al Qaeda responsible for September 11 had been captured (apart from bin Laden and his colleague Ayman Al-Zawahiri), and they had already been squeezed for months or years to extract whatever tales they might tell to stop the pain. (There was some measure of vengeance, in fact. According to a CIA officer privy to high-level discussions at the agency who did not want to be named because he is not authorized to speak to the press, there was internal opposition to having the CIA hold these suspects at secret sites after they’d told what they could about imminent attacks. But others argued that “these people were just scum and they wanted to waterboard them every day forever,” the officer told NEWSWEEK. The waterboarders won until 14 of the prisoners held at secret sites were finally transferred to Guantánamo last year.)

Meanwhile, as we now know, the Bush administration had begun preparing for an attack on Iraq to oust Saddam Hussein even before the war in Afghanistan was over. The potential dangers to the United States posed by Saddam’s erratic behavior and longstanding desire to have weapons of mass destruction were a major preoccupation for many in the administration, especially those around Cheney. Containment wouldn’t be enough. A new war was needed that would “shock and awe” America’s enemies, and possibly even open the way for new democratic regimes throughout the region. It would also continue the sense of emergency that helped shore up presidential power in Washington.

But, again, the intelligence community was disappointing the Bush administration. Leads in the supposedly slam-dunk case against Saddam kept losing their bounce.

So the administration and the top CIA leadership put increasing faith in an Iraqi defector code-named Curveball, who supposedly had worked as a chemical engineer in Saddam’s biological-weapons program, and claimed to have seen what could be mobile bioweapons factories mounted on trucks. Los Angeles Times correspondent Bob Drogin lays out the whole sorry tale in his forthcoming book, “Curveball: Spies, Lies, and the Con Man Who Caused a War.” The defector was in German hands, and was never interviewed by the Americans before the invasion. The Germans had warned that Curveball might be making up all or most of his story—and he was. He had never worked in the biological program; he’d been a taxi driver before heading to Germany to seek asylum. There were no mobile labs. The Bush administration had believed what it wanted to believe.

“President Bush launched the wrong war,” writes Philip H. Gordon in a book titled, as it happens, “Winning the Right War: The Path to Security for America and the World,” an argument for combating terrorism with more than military might. Bush “hyped the terrorist threat as a means of winning political support,” says Gordon, a fellow at the Brookings Institution. “And while he talked of a war that challenged the nation’s very existence, he fought it on the cheap, as if he knew that Americans would not have been onboard had they been told what the war would entail.”

Today, of course, those costs are no secret. And the Bush administration’s very special vision of a powerful president waging endless war, which once would have seemed fantastical, has become the painful reality that Americans may be living for generations to come.
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THE FIGHT OF THEIR LIVES: In films such as ‘Battle for Haditha’ (top), ‘In the Valley of Elah’ (far left) and ‘Redacted,’ fact and fiction aren’t always easy to tell apart

Copyright (c) 2007 Newsweek, Inc.

CE Week #6: “The Real Sputnik Story”

Forget the hype. The ‘57 launch wasn’t such a big shock.
By   Sharon Begley
Newsweek On the Saturday morning in 1957 after the Soviet Union launched the world’s first manmade satellite and inaugurated the space age, President Dwight Eisenhower played golf, a NEWSWEEK reporter in Boston described “massive [public] indifference” and some American papers ran the story as a small box on page three. And why not? The Soviets had announced plans to go into space no fewer than 20 times since 1951: as part of their participation in the International Geophysical Year (IGY), a global program to study Earth’s physics starting in July 1957, they even told an American official the orbital speed and launch site of the little satellite they planned.

It usually takes time for myths to take hold. But in the case of Sputnik—launched on Oct. 4, 1957—myth supplanted reality within days and continues to warp the lessons of that “red moon.” Less than a week after Sputnik began orbiting Earth once every 96 minutes, politicians and the press had spun it into a shocking symbol of Soviet superiority that could soon lead to nukes falling on American cities. But far from being alarmed by Sputnik, newly released archives show, Eisenhower and his military and intelligence advisers welcomed it. The terror triggered by the uninstrumented, 184-pound silvery satellite, roughly the size and shape of a blue-ribbon watermelon and emitting an A-flat beep from its rudimentary radio transmitter, had little basis in reality. With Sputnik’s 50th anniversary this week, we’re in danger of getting it wrong yet again, for the supposed lessons of Sputnik are ones we should actually unlearn. Most important, it is wrong to believe “that the American people need ‘another Sputnik’ ” to increase our competitive juices in space or technology, says historian Walter McDougall of the University of Pennsylvania, author of the 1997 book “The Heavens and the Earth.” The United States “does not need another ill-conceived spasmodic reaction to some humiliation that does not pose an immediate threat.”

The chief myth of Sputnik is that it took America by surprise. Yes, the public was shocked that “the clod-hopping Russians could surpass the U.S. in a vanguard technology,” says McDougall, even though newspapers regularly reported on the Soviet satellite program. But the Pentagon and the Central Intelligence Agency knew the status of the Soviets’ rocket program, and viewed the prospect of a satellite with such complacency that they weren’t even prepared to monitor it. Sputnik passed over the United States twice before the government knew about it, through an Associated Press report. “The Russians had announced they were going to do it, and we even knew what frequency Sputnik would transmit on,” says NASA historian Steven Dick.

Far from being a bitter blow, Sputnik furthered one of Eisenhower’s cherished military goals. Called “open skies,” the policy would allow any nation to undertake aerial reconnaissance of any other. “The administration welcomed Sputnik,” says McDougall. “The Soviets could hardly deny the right to launch satellites over the territory of other countries if they did it first.”

Nevertheless, administration critics and the press seized on Sputnik to pummel Ike for letting the United States fall behind technologically. In fact, the Soviet Union beat the U.S. into space only because the U.S. was in no great hurry to get there. Ike had chosen the Navy to develop a satellite for the IGY, partly because its program seemed more scientific and less militaristic than the Army’s (which was headed by Wernher Von Braun and used Redstone rockets dubbed “city wreckers”). Although Von Braun pushed for his own satellite launch, he was turned down repeatedly by the military brass. If he’d gotten a green light, his satellite might well have claimed the place in history now occupied by Sputnik, argues Paul Dickson in his 2001 book “Sputnik: The Shock of the Century.” When Von Braun’s team launched a rocket from Cape Canaveral in September 1956, it had to use a dummy fourth stage—an engine filled with sand instead of rocket fuel—so it would not accidentally reach orbit.

The shock and panic, misplaced as it was, did light a fire under the American space program. Without Sputnik there would have been no Apollo program, no race to the moon, no 1969 landing. But while Apollo “was a sterling success in the short run,” argues McDougall, “it skewed NASA spending toward a big public relations program that went nowhere in the long run.” A slower, steadier program leading to cheaper rockets, space planes and a sustainable Moon base—which NASA now has its sights on for 2020—would have given the United States vastly more to show for its space investment than it has now. On Jan. 4, 1958, Sputnik re-entered Earth’s atmosphere and burned up, but its wrongheaded legacy persists.
photo
‘DUDNIK’: The U.S. Vanguard missile fails

BETTMANN—CORBIS

Copyright (c) 2007 Newsweek, Inc.

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CE Week #6: “Romney putting personal millions into campaign”

Self-financed candidates

Several politicians have tapped their personal fortunes in recent times to run for office:

Steve Forbes: 1996 Republican presidential contest: $37.7 million (failed), 2000 Republican presidential contest: $38.7 million (failed).

Ross Perot: 1992 presidential contest: $63 million (failed), 1996 presidential contest: $8 million (failed).

Michael Bloomberg: 2001 New York city mayor: $74 million (won), 2005 New York city mayor: $85 million (won).

Jon Corzine: 2000 U.S. Senate, from New Jersey: $60 million (won).

Thomas Golisano: 2002 New York governor: $75 million (failed).

Figures are from the Federal Election Commission, the Institute on Money in State Politics and the Center for Responsive Politics.

Jim Kuhnhenn
Associated Press
October 6, 2007

WASHINGTON – Mitt Romney once said financing his own campaign would be a “nightmare.” Writing checks, he said this week, is “painful.” It doesn’t seem to be stopping him.

Romney is his presidential campaign’s most generous supporter, lending $17.5 million from his personal fortune so far. His Republican rivals are bracing themselves for him to do it again. And again.

Romney is hardly the first presidential candidate to cut himself a check – Steve Forbes and Ross Perot spent far more than he has. But the businessman-turned-politician, who can raise money AND open his wallet, may have the best chance to win the presidency.

 

The former Massachusetts governor has two more shots at testing what his money can do to supplement his campaign’s finances and help him win the GOP nomination. The first is during the 90 days left before the early presidential contests of Iowa and New Hampshire. If he survives those, he can spend again in the last weeks of January before the make-or-break primaries in Florida, New York, California and New Jersey.

“The Romney strategy is very clear: win Iowa, get a bounce to New Hampshire, win New Hampshire and write yourself a check for the Feb. 5 states and start advertising,” said Tony Fabrizio, a Republican strategist who has worked on presidential campaigns but is unaffiliated this election.

If Romney writes himself a sizable check in January, his spending might be evident, but the size of his contribution would not be a public record until mid-February, well after the nomination is likely to be sewn up. That could protect Romney from voters who would object to a candidate “buying” the nomination.

But Jennifer Steen, a political scientist at Boston College who has written extensively on self-financed candidates, believes the public doesn’t care if a wealthy candidate writes his campaign checks.

“What I’ve noticed is that it has been terribly frustrating for opponents of self-financers that their own outrage at self-financing is not shared by the voters,” Steen said

Compared with candidates like Forbes and Perot, Romney is a piker. Perot pumped $63 million into his failed 1992 presidential contest. Forbes contributed about $38 million in each of his unsuccessful White House bids, in 1996 and 2000.

Unlike those millionaires, Romney entered the presidential race with a political pedigree.

He had run for the Senate against Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., and had been elected governor of Massachusetts in 2002.

Overall, Romney has receipts of about $62 million, with $45 million raised from about 100,000 donors this year. That means he has dipped into his pocket for 28 percent of his total.

This year, Romney’s personal contributions have been increasing as his fundraising has been declining. In the first quarter, he lent his campaign $2 million. In the next three months, he put in $6.85 million. This summer, he contributed $8.5 million. Meanwhile, his donations dropped from $21 million in the first three months to $10 million this past quarter.

Advisers say he is prepared to give to his campaign as long as it seems reasonable he can win.

Romney faces no great personal risk in supporting his candidacy. His assets are estimated at between $190 million and $250 million – or, as he has described it, “a bloomin’ fortune.”

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CE Week #6: “Thompson sees benefit limit”

Candidate outlines plan to slow growth of Social Security

Republican presidential hopeful Fred Thompson addresses the Americans for Prosperity Foundation convention in Washington on Friday. Associated Press (Associated Press)

Margaret Talev
McClatchy
October 6, 2007

WASHINGTON – Former Sen. Fred Thompson promised fiscal conservatives Friday that he’d trim the cost of government by slowing the growth of Social Security benefits.

Stepping squarely onto an issue long known as “the third rail of politics,” the Republican presidential candidate said, almost in passing, that changing the formula that adjusts Social Security benefits to keep pace with the cost of living would keep the program solvent over the long term.

While he wasn’t specific, numerous academic studies have concluded that the only way such a plan could work is if it slashes future Social Security benefits by one-fourth to one-half below what’s promised under current law.

“We could have the same level of Social Security benefits, for example, and adjust the cost of living increases to cover inflation,” Thompson told the Americans for Prosperity Foundation convention, and that “would solve the problem for probably 75 years.”

Thompson has been slowly rolling out his Social Security idea. He told the Des Moines Register’s editorial board this week that he supports the idea of indexing the growth of Social Security benefits to goods rather than to wages. Wages tends to increase at a higher rate than do the prices of goods.

 

Thompson spokeswoman Karen Hanretty said the candidate hasn’t settled on details for how his formula adjustment would work.

However, President Bush’s 2001 Social Security Commission offered such a proposal. Under it, a worker born in 1977 who earned average wages and retired at age 65 would get Social Security benefits 27 percent lower than under the current benefit structure – $14,432 a year instead of $19,423, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal think tank.

There are many variations of possible “price-based” cost-of-living-indexes, but the only one that would eliminate Social Security’s solvency problem for 75 years by itself would require benefits to be cut by more than 50 percent by 2075, according to a 2005 study by the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Whatever formula Thompson settles on will likely be a difficult sell to a Democratic-controlled Congress and to the public. David Certner, legislative policy director for the AARP, formerly the American Association of Retired Persons, said the effect of shifting to a price-based benefit system starts small but compounds over time.

“It affects younger workers more than older workers,” he said. “I’m sure it appeals to certain sectors of the (Republican) base. But people generally don’t support cuts in Social Security.”

Thompson also vowed to extend Bush’s tax cuts and to cap corporate tax rates at 28 percent.

“I’ve got this complex economic policy: Let’s keep doing the things that work and quit doing the things that don’t work,” he said.

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CE Week #6: “GOP hurts itself denying D.C. vote”

DeWayne Wickham
Gannett News Service
October 6, 2007

There’s a war raging inside the Republican Party.

You may not have noticed because it’s not being fought in the trenches of the presidential selection process. This low-intensity fight is being waged in the halls of Congress – and it threatens to push the GOP into the political abyss that swallowed up the Know Nothing Party.

In a fratricidal firefight a few days ago, Republicans stopped the Senate from voting on a bill that would give the District of Columbia’s congressional representative full voting rights. In doing so, they were at war with themselves.

 

The measure was backed by GOP presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, former Rep. Jack Kemp and Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah. It also was supported by two of the nation’s most prominent black Republicans: former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele, and J.C. Watts, the former Oklahoma congressman who held the fourth highest leadership position among House Republicans before retiring in 2003.

But the bill also had powerful Republican opponents. Chief among them were President Bush and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.

In April, the House passed the bill on a 241-177 vote. But a few days ago, the Senate fell three votes short of the 60 needed to overcome a procedural hurdle that blocked the body from voting on the measure. At the urging of McConnell – and backed by a Bush veto threat – 41 of 49 Senate Republicans voted against the motion.

Supporters of the measure say not giving D.C.’s lone member of Congress full voting rights amounts to “taxation without representation.”

Opponents argue that giving the nation’s capital – whose population is 57 percent black – a full-fledged voting member of Congress would violate the Constitution, which says members of the House should be selected by “people of the several states.”

But earlier this month, Kenneth Starr, a conservative Republican who was appointed to a federal judgeship by President Reagan and served as U.S. solicitor general for President George H.W. Bush, disputed that position.

The Constitution gives Congress the power “to exercise exclusive legislation in all cases whatsoever” over the District of Columbia,” Starr pointed out in an op-ed article he co-wrote with Patricia Wald for the Washington Post. Starr’s position is supported by an impressive array of fellow Republicans.

But for many blacks, this fight is not a constitutional issue. It is, instead, a civil rights issue.

“The Senate Republican leadership can’t have it both ways. They can’t be the party of Lincoln while driving the Southern strategy’s low-road,” said Wade Henderson, executive director of the Leadership Conference on Civil Rights.

During his 1968 presidential campaign, Richard Nixon used race as a wedge issue to pull Southern states into the Republican column. Ronald Reagan made an even bolder use of the “Southern strategy” when he launched his presidential campaign in Philadelphia, Miss., with a speech about states’ rights.

It was in that Mississippi hamlet that three civil rights workers were brutally murdered in 1964 by members of the Ku Klux Klan. States’ rights was the mantra of Klan members and other civil rights opponents.

Just as voting rights for blacks was a pivotal issue of the 1960s civil rights movement, it remains central to the continuing push by blacks for equal rights today. And nothing is more demonstrative of this struggle than the long-running effort to obtain full voting rights in Congress for residents of the nation’s capital.

Hatch and Watts and Huckabee and Steele understand this. I suspect they also understand something even more chilling.

As this nation hurdles toward the day in the not too distant future when minorities are expected to make up a majority of this nation’s population, the Republican Party risks extinction if it persists in behaving like the party of American apartheid.

The fight to win full voting rights for the District of Columbia is not over. And neither is the struggle among Republicans for the soul of their party.

CE Week #6: “Fla. Dems Sue National Party on Primary”

By BRENDAN FARRINGTON
The Associated Press
Thursday, October 4, 2007; 3:30 PM

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Congressional Democrats from Florida sued their own party Thursday, hoping to restore the national convention delegates stripped from the state because it scheduled an early presidential primary.

The party violated the Constitution and federal voting laws by taking away Florida Democrats’ ability to have a say in choosing the presidential nominee, says the lawsuit filed by Sen. Bill Nelson and Rep. Alcee Hastings against the Democratic National Committee and Chairman Howard Dean.

“For the DNC to say to the fourth-largest contingency of Democrats in the nation that their votes will not matter in next year’s presidential primary is not only shocking and ironic, but we believe is illegal,” Hastings said at a news conference in Washington.

The national party’s rules committee voted to take away Florida’s 210 delegates after the state party chose to go along with a Jan. 29 primary. That date was set by Florida’s Republican-led Legislature and signed into law by Republican Gov. Charlie Crist.

Democratic Party rules say states cannot hold their 2008 primary contests before Feb. 5, except for Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

The DNC issued a statement saying the Supreme Court has previously ruled that political parties _ and not states _ have the right to decide how their candidates for president are selected.

“The state of Florida moved the date of their primary knowing full well what the consequences from the national parties would be. The DNC has the absolute legal right to treat the state-run primary as a mere beauty contest,” the statement said.

Nelson said they tried to compromise with party leaders before filing the lawsuit. “We didn’t have any other choice,” he said.

The calendar was designed to preserve the traditional role that Iowa and New Hampshire have played in selecting the nominee, while adding two states with more racial and geographic diversity to influential early slots.

Meanwhile, South Carolina Democrats will decide within two weeks whether to ask national party leaders to move the state’s primary to Jan. 19 and make it the party’s first contest in the South.

That would move the state out of Florida’s shadow. South Carolina Republicans already have decided to vote Jan. 19.

“The concern is we don’t want to be 10 days after the Republican primary,” Joe Werner, the state Democratic Party executive director, told The Associated Press on Thursday.

The Iowa and New Hampshire congressional delegations on Thursday sent a letter to House leaders asking them to stay out of the simmering fight over primary election dates.

“Constitutional questions have already arisen related to congressional action to set the order of presidential primaries and caucuses,” the letter said. “We believe that this matter is best left to the two major political parties and the states.”

The lawsuit filed by the Florida lawmakers in Tallahassee said, “For the right to vote in a presidential primary to have any meaning, those presidential primary ballots must result in votes that are going to count at the party’s national convention.”

It notes the controversy over vote-counting in Florida that extended the 2000 presidential election, which was decided only after a Supreme Court ruling.

“In the aftermath of the shattering events of 2000, Democrats here and around the country have made continued efforts to assure that every vote counts,” it said. “It is thus truly a monumental irony for the Democratic National Committee to replace its own commitment to assuring that every vote must be counted with a decree that no Florida Democrats’ vote will count.”

___

Associated Press Writers Jim Davenport in South Carolina and Ann Sanner in Washington contributed to this story.

Published in: on October 5, 2007 at 6:27 pm Comments (1)

CE Week #6: “GOP rivals wage fiscal fight”

Romney, Giuliani trade barbs on taxes

Showing similar game plans Thursday, GOP presidential hopeful and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, at left, visits MaryAnn’s Diner in Derry, N.H., while rival candidate and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani stops at a coffee shop in Clayton, Mo. Associated Press photos (Associated Press photos)

Republican fundraising

WASHINGTON – Several presidential candidates have disclosed their third-quarter fundraising totals this week. Here are the numbers released by Republican candidates:

Rudy Giuliani

» Total fundraising to date: more than $44 million

» Third-quarter fundraising: $11 million

Mitt Romney

» Total fundraising to date: about $45 million

» Third-quarter fundraising: $10 million

Fred Thompson

» Total fundraising to date: $12.7 million

» Third-quarter fundraising: $9.3 million

John McCain

» Total fundraising to date: about $30.9 million

» Third-quarter fundraising: $6 million

Ron Paul

» Total fundraising to date: more than $8 million

» Third-quarter fundraising: $5 million

Associated Press

Michael Finnegan
Los Angeles Times
October 5, 2007

MANCHESTER, N.H. – Mitt Romney and Rudolph Giuliani clashed over taxes Thursday in a flare-up that illustrated a sharpening rivalry between two leading contenders for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination.

Campaigning in southern New Hampshire, Romney pounded Giuliani’s fiscal record as mayor of New York. The Giuliani campaign snapped back, calling Romney a hypocrite who as governor of Massachusetts showed little restraint with public money.

The spat was part of an increasingly fierce battle by each man to be perceived in New Hampshire, a state with no income tax and a strong anti-tax tradition, as a paragon of fiscal discipline.

More broadly, it captured the intensifying conflict between two candidates who are taking starkly different tacks in the race for the nomination but whose ambitions are colliding head-on here.

Romney is banking on winning the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary to build momentum elsewhere. He has sought to unite religious conservatives behind him, especially in Iowa.

Giuliani’s liberal stands on abortion and other social issues have positioned him poorly in culturally conservative Iowa. But he is counting on a New Hampshire win to foreshadow a sweep of the Feb. 5 primaries in California, New York, Florida and other big states.

 

So in New Hampshire, Giuliani and Romney are tussling hard over fiscal conservatives.

At St. Anselm College on Thursday, Romney criticized Giuliani for going to court to overturn the line-item veto that Congress approved under President Clinton. Giuliani won the case in the U.S. Supreme Court.

“It is the single most important tool we have to stop excessive spending, and that was a serious mistake,” Romney said.

He also took issue with Giuliani’s refusal to sign a no-new-taxes pledge and slammed the former mayor for suing to preserve an income tax that New York City imposed on people who worked in the city but lived elsewhere.

“Can you imagine a greater outrage than this, which is that not only did you have to pay the local taxes in New York City if you were commuting there, but you had a special tax applied to you called the commuter tax?” Romney asked.

“Can you imagine,” he added, “what would have happened up here in New Hampshire if I, as governor of Massachusetts, said everybody who commutes to Massachusetts is going to have to pay an extra special tax as a commuter? It just seems absolutely wrong.”

In response, Giuliani’s team dispatched another former Republican governor of Massachusetts, Paul Cellucci, to attack Romney’s fiscal record during a conference call with reporters. He described Romney’s attack as “some desperation as the polls close in.”

Giuliani supports the line-item veto, he said, but only by constitutional amendment.

The senior Giuliani adviser also faulted Romney for approving “no broad-based tax cuts” as governor.

“And talk about hypocrisy: One of the loopholes he closed was that he increased income taxes on people who did not reside in Massachusetts but were employed or had a business in Massachusetts,” Cellucci added.

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CE Week #6: “Obama tells why he doesn’t wear flag pin”

It’s ‘ what’s in your heart,’ not on lapel

John Mccormick
Chicago Tribune
October 5, 2007

INDEPENDENCE, Iowa — In this patriotically named town, it seemed like as good a place as any for Sen. Barack Obama to explain why he does not wear an American flag pin on his suit lapel as some politicians do.

It was a topic the Illinois Democrat and presidential candidate was forced to address Thursday, following an answer he had given the day before to a television station in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

Obama told KCRG that he wore such a pin shortly after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, but later dropped the practice.

 

“I decided I won’t wear that pin on my chest,” he said, according to a transcript provided by his campaign. “Instead, I’m gonna’ try to tell the American people what I believe will make this country great and hopefully that will be a testimony to my patriotism.”

But after the issue made national news Thursday, he was forced to address the topic again. His campaign, sensing the topic was dominating campaign trail news, had earlier made clear he had not worn such a pin for years.

“I’m less concerned about what you are wearing on your lapel than what’s in your heart,” he said under a county fairgrounds pavilion here, a giant American flag draped behind him.

“You show your patriotism by how you treat your fellow Americans, especially those ones who served.”

He suggested some politicians who wear such pins act in disingenuous ways.

“After a while, you know, you start noticing people wearing a lapel pin, but not acting very patriotic, not voting to provide veterans with the resources that they need,” he said.

Earlier, his campaign had issued a statement that said patriotism “isn’t what you wear on your lapel. It’s what you carry in your heart. I don’t need a pin to certify my love for this country.”

Republican politicians often wear flag pins. But Thursday the other two top Democratic candidates steered clear of the topic.

A spokesman for Sen. Hillary Clinton, of New York, declined to comment on whether she regularly wears such a pin, although she has worn one in the past.

A spokesman for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards said he wears an Outward Bound pin from his late son, Wade, who died a decade ago.

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CE Week #6: “Bush studies means test for drug benefits”

Seniors earning over $80,000 would pay more

Ensign

Jonathan Weisman
Washington Post
October 5, 2007

WASHINGTON – The Bush administration is advancing a proposal to levy higher premiums and deductibles on upper-income seniors enrolled in Medicare’s new prescription drug benefit, raising fees on beneficiaries with incomes over about $80,000 a year, administration officials said Thursday.

The administration is working with Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev., to attach to upcoming legislation a “means testing” provision that would save the government billions of dollars. In the past, however, similar proposals have been blocked by the furious response of seniors.

“You say it saves money and these people can afford it, but it also eats away at the incomes of seniors. It erodes their sense of the reliability on these federal programs, and it certainly erodes political support,” said John Rother, policy director for AARP, the powerful senior lobby.

The plan was originally drafted as part of President Bush’s fiscal 2008 budget, but it died this spring with little notice. Now, at Ensign’s request, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, which administers the federal health plan for the elderly, has revived the measure.

The timing of the effort could not be worse, some Republicans said. The proposal is surfacing when Bush’s approval ratings are at record lows, his war policies are embattled and his veto this week of a children’s health insurance bill has drawn fresh fire.

 

Ensign put a similar proposal to a Senate vote in March. It was rejected 52 to 44.

But Ensign, who chairs the campaign committee responsible for electing Republicans to the Senate, is undaunted, vowing to add means testing to any Medicare measure that comes before the chamber.

“Working couples with incomes over $160,000 should not be subsidized by retired firefighters or schoolteachers,” he said. “They should pay more of their share.”

Already, the section of Medicare that pays for outpatient care, including doctors’ fees, imposes some means testing. Single seniors with incomes exceeding $82,000 and couples with incomes above $164,000 pay higher premiums on a sliding scale as their wealth rises. Those thresholds rise each year with inflation.

The original Bush proposal would have frozen those thresholds at $82,000 and $164,000, so more seniors would have been affected by means testing over time. The same thresholds would have applied to the new prescription drug benefit.

According to the White House budget office, the proposal would have saved more than $10 billion over five years: $7.1 billion from the physicians’ portion of Medicare and $3.2 billion from the drug coverage. The higher fees would have hit only the richest 4.3 percent of seniors enrolled in the drug program, Ensign said.

The new plan is likely to maintain inflation adjustments, Ensign said. But the senator was adamant that means testing be added to the drug benefit, and he said he has secured a strong White House commitment. The Finance Committee, of which he is a member, will probably take up legislation within weeks to stave off the scheduled cuts to physician reimbursements under Medicare.

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